"I wrote about Brandon Nimmo earlier today through the lens of age, but what about the Mets’ other high school hitters from the 2011 draft class?
At this point I want to issue a note of caution: Rany Jayazerli’s study at Baseball Prospectus which found a large return on young high school hitters, and prompted this series of posts, covered only the first 100 picks in the draft. In expanding the list beyond that, we’re beyond the reach of Rany’s study.
Anyway, Major League teams selected 101 high school position players in the first 500 picks of the June 2011 draft. The Mets drafted four.
Name – Round – Rank – Age as of June 1, 2011
Brandon Nimmo – 1st- 28 – 18.18
Bradley Marquez – 16th – 50 – 18.46
Joe Tuschak – 6th – 76 – 18.62
Philip Evans – 15th 92 – 18.72
Rank refers to where the player stands among the 101 high school position players drafted in 2011.
The average age for this sample of 101 hs hitters from the first 500 picks, is 18.39 essentially identical to the age for HS position players drafted in the top 100 (18.41).
Phillip Evans’ age is an interesting red flag. The Mets paid him supplemental first round money to sign ($650,000) and Mike certainly liked his tools, but had he been among the top 100 picks, he would have been the sixth-oldest high school hitter, the worst performing group in Jazayerli’s study.
What’s it mean? A little something. Evans is years away, but now apparently, in addition to all of the usual battles young players face to get to the big leagues, he’s fighting an uphill battle against draft history."
http://www.metsminorleagueblog.com/more ... lip-evans/