Centre Court wrote:So a top tier MLB manager is only worth 2 or 3 wins max over 162 games?
Uh, okay......
Are you one of those Maddon 20+ win proponents or something?
There's only so much that managers can do that differentiate themselves from the others in this sport. It's not like this is a basketball/football game where the coaches are out there running different offensive and defensive schemes. For his part, Gibbons does a lot less stupid **** than most (at least until this September when the organization decided to go into tank mode), but that in itself isn't going to lead to a ton more wins over the course of 162 games. Ultimately, it's the players that largely determine what a team's record is.
Criticizing baseball managers is a pastime as American as baseball itself. Players make their share of gaffes, but few mistakes are dissected with as much scrutiny as those made by the men in the dugout, especially during the postseason. Whether it’s his faulty in-game tactical choices or just the vague sense that he’s lost control of the clubhouse, the manager is an easy target. (As the old saying goes, you can’t fire the players.)
Yet sabermetrics tells us that most dugout decisions barely have any effect on the outcome of the game.1 Furthermore, if we look at effects on player performance, it’s evident that hardly any manager can distinguish himself from his counterparts. Based on my analysis, 95 percent of all managers are worth somewhere between -2 and +2 wins per 162 games. Last year alone, 21 batters and seven pitchers were worth more to their teams than nearly every manager of the last 112 years.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/mos ... rity/#fn-1