daddy's handicapping (23-20 against the spread)

DaddyBigD · Post #41 » by **DaddyBigD** » Sun Oct 26, 2014 4:35 pm

El Turco wrote::lol: tennessee didn't cover

damn you're right. F! :banghead:

TheKingofSting · Post #42 » by **TheKingofSting** » Mon Oct 27, 2014 12:25 am

#blametennessee

DaddyBigD · Post #43 » by **DaddyBigD** » Mon Oct 27, 2014 6:37 am

DaddyBigD wrote:week 8
new England -6 vs Chicago
KC -7 vs st. Louis
Seattle -6 vs Carolina
jets -3 vs buffalo
Miami --6.5 vs Jacksonville
Houston -3.5 vs Tennessee
Cincinnati +3 vs Baltimore
Philadelphia +1 Arizona
Pittsburgh +4 vs Indianapolis
Oakland +6 vs Cleveland
Dallas +9.5 vs Washington

lots of games to play this week.

pats cover winning by 28 w
kc covers winning by 27 w
jets lose by 20 L
Seattle fails to cover winning. by 4 L
Miami covers winning by 14 W
texas covers winning by 14 W
underdog Cincinnati wins by 3 W
Philadelphia chokes away a win losses by 4 L
underdog Pittsburgh won by 17 W
Oakland loses by 10 failing to cover L

6-4 on Sunday I'll take it. and fix the error in last week's Tennessee outcome 15/12 becomes 14/13. + 6/4 = 20/17 on the season. not where I'd like to be but recovering from a bad week takes time. its a grind mot a sprint.

Monday game tonight obviously a typo. Dallas is not the underdog. line dallas -9.5

ps go Dallas especially romo and Bryant. if both have slightly above average games statistically (romo 275 yards 3 tds or 300 yards 2 tds and Bryant 7 receptions for 115 yards and a td ) should get me top 10 in my dfs tournament. maybe $2000 winnings

DaddyBigD · Post #44 » by **DaddyBigD** » Sun Nov 2, 2014 6:02 pm

week 9
chargers +3 vs dolphins
browns -7 vs bucs
Vikings pick em vs redskins
pats +3 vs bronos
pitt pickem vs Baltimore

TheKingofSting · Post #45 » by **TheKingofSting** » Mon Nov 3, 2014 3:00 am

Chargers

DaddyBigD · Post #46 » by **DaddyBigD** » Mon Nov 3, 2014 9:30 am

chargers got blown out 0-37 L
browns don't cover -7 they win by only 5 L
Vikings win in pick em game vs redskins W
Brady continues to own peyton Pats 43 Broncos 21 W
big ben throws 6 touchdowns for the second week in a row steelers 43 ravens 23 W

also last Mondays game I lost cowboys lost badly W

week 9 3-2 plus week 8 Monday night game loss 3-3

brutal. 23 - 20 on the season ats. if you think it's terrible go to cbs sports and check out how their "experts" are doing at the halfway point.

spoiler: 6 of 8 are sub .500 against the spread

http://mweb.cbssports.com/nfl/expert-picks?v=1&vc=2

DaddyBigD · Post #47 » by **DaddyBigD** » Mon Nov 3, 2014 9:50 am

week 9 Monday night game im gonna take colts -3

(posting this week 9 Sunday night, week 10 lines just released)
week 10 picks
im jumping on Pittsburgh -2.5 against jets. this line is should have been Steelers -9 stupid Vegas
don't need to wait to know this is about as sure a bet as you'll see all year. in fact I'll triple wager it.

DaddyBigD · Post #48 » by **DaddyBigD** » Wed Nov 5, 2014 9:58 am

Colts win and cover. week 9 final 4-2. season total 24-20

DaddyBigD · Post #49 » by **DaddyBigD** » Thu Nov 6, 2014 10:28 am

DaddyBigD wrote:week 9 Monday night game im gonna take colts -3

(posting this week 9 Sunday night, week 10 lines just released)
week 10 picks
im jumping on Pittsburgh -2.5 against jets. this line is should have been Steelers -9 stupid Vegas
don't need to wait to know this is about as sure a bet as you'll see all year. in fact I'll triple wager it.

edit Wednesday night adding these
saints -4.5 vs 49ers
Broncos -11.5 vs raiders

ps Pittsburgh line now at -5 lol Vegas is gonna get killed on this game

El Turco · Post #50 » by **El Turco** » Sat Nov 8, 2014 12:06 pm

jets-steelers has trap written all over it. banged up, poor pittsburgh run defense going against a run heavy team, i wouldn't flinch if jets won straight up.

TheKingofSting · Post #51 » by **TheKingofSting** » Sun Nov 9, 2014 2:56 am

I thought about picking the Jets but couldn't talk myself into it.

DaddyBigD · Post #52 » by **DaddyBigD** » Sun Nov 9, 2014 6:02 am

rumors are that a major nfl betting syndicate put huge money on the jets after the line moved to 5.5
I think I might have fallen right into this trap... I'm nervous

I wonder what's up with this game. is the fix in?

DaddyBigD · Post #53 » by **DaddyBigD** » Sun Nov 9, 2014 6:24 am

week 10 pick

Pittsburgh -2.5 at jets (triple bet)
saints -4.5 vs 49ers
Broncos -11.5 vs raiders
st Louis +6.5 vs Arizona cardinals
Chicago +7 vs green bay
Philadelphia -7 vs Carolina
buffalo +1 vs kc chiefs

system says to bet Jacksonville +7 vs Dallas. I'm not going to though, a rare over ruling by me. after all, the system works I know it does, but I can't do it here.

so there it is week 10.

El Turco · Post #54 » by **El Turco** » Sun Nov 9, 2014 9:37 pm

DaddyBigD wrote:
ps Pittsburgh line now at -5 lol Vegas is gonna get killed on this game

vegas makes its money from these type of games, using honey trap lines to pray on casual gamblers.

DaddyBigD · Post #55 » by **DaddyBigD** » Sun Nov 9, 2014 10:27 pm

Vegas makes money on the vig, ideally they get even betting on both sides. this stings though, 0-2 on triple bet "locks" ouch

El Turco · Post #56 » by **El Turco** » Sun Nov 9, 2014 11:45 pm

Not necessarily. If it was all about the vig, line wouldnt have been so juicy.

TheKingofSting · Post #57 » by **TheKingofSting** » Mon Nov 10, 2014 1:52 am

I knew I should have picked the JETS.

El Turco · Post #58 » by **El Turco** » Tue Nov 11, 2014 4:51 pm

ouch let's hope op still has rent money left after all the triple bets. shoulda taken my advice and stop gambling on week 2.

TheKingofSting · Post #59 » by **TheKingofSting** » Wed Nov 12, 2014 1:39 am

One guy had a perfect card until he picked the Panthers!

DaddyBigD · Post #60 » by **DaddyBigD** » Thu Nov 27, 2014 7:13 pm

back at it. here we go
week 13.
its halfway through the bears/lions game so that game is off the board

Dallas -3 vs eagles
giants -3 vs jags
Steelers -4.5 vs saints
Arizona -2.5 vs Atlanta
patriots +3 vs green bay
Miami -6.5 vs jets