semi-sentient wrote:
It's not about room for improvement (potential), but results. Right now, we know how good we are with Gasol as the 2nd option. There is no doubt who has been the better fit. I'm not saying Gasol should be a permanent replacement for Bynum, but if there was a choice to be made RIGHT NOW, it would be Gasol. I'm pretty damn sure most everyone within the Lakers organization would feel the same, Kobe in particular.
We know exactly what we get from Gasol for the next several seasons, and you don't waste that with Kobe in his prime for someone who put together a couple of weeks worth of great games.
Yes we do, and what we know is that Gasol is an excellent offensive player - when he's not playing against good defensive teams. We also know he plays worse in the playoffs this year and for his career, and that he's not a great rebounder period.
I want to reiterate that I'm not downplaying Gasol's contributions. We would not be in the Finals without Gasol. However, as I argued in my previous post, I believe we would have gotten here with Bynum as well.
And while Gasol's maturity as a player can be extolled, the downside is that he's maxed out as a player, while Bynum has still a ton of potential left. Is Gasol going to hit the weights and finally put on some muscle at 28 years old? Is he going to start cleaning the glass and become an intimidating defensive presence? No, I don't think so.
Will Bynum develop a couple post moves? Yes, and then it's over for the league.
Maturity is great and all, but maturity doesn't help Pau when he gets pushed around. How did his mature game show when he continues to throw weak ass shots around the rim?
He averaged that over, what, 5 games? That's not enough to convince me that Bynum is worth choosing over someone who has been putting up solid numbers for multiple seasons and has been the 1st option on another team. Nevermind the experience and IQ advantages that Pau has.
Ok, first of all, Pau hasn't been a very good 1st option, which is why everybody is acknowledging he's better as a 2nd option. Second, let's take the entire season into account.
Gasol: 18.8, 7.8, 1.6 in 34 minutes.
Bynum: 15.5, 12, 2.4 (actual numbers: 13, 10, 2 in less than 29 minutes).
Even this season, I would argue that Bynum's numbers are better, even considering Gasol's assists. The advantage Gasol has over Bynum is his passing (1.4 more assists, adj for min), but then again, we haven't used Bynum in that high post, since Bynum's game and future is low post play. And the ability to score in the low post, as we've seen in the playoffs, is considerably more valuable against elite defenses.
Well then, why not just get rid of Gasol since it was everyone else but him that's responsible for our ridiculous run since he was traded here?
Yes, because that's what I've been arguing, right?
Seriously though, Odom became much better because he played off of the additional attention that Gasol attracted. That's what has made him so effective.
I think Gasol helps alleviate the pressure, which helps Odom psychologically, and probably is responsible for one additional basket from Odom (on that pipe cut). Yet, I think Odom steps up after the all-star break anyways. In fact, Odom had a fine December (15 and 11) playing next to Bynum, it was his January, leading up to the all-star break, where he just played miserably (12 points on 41% shooting). I chalk that up to trade-deadline jitters.
In reality, Odom didn't play out of this world with Gasol's return. He wasn't more aggressive, he actually took fewer shots. It did increase his FG%, but his real impact was on the boards and the hustle categories, which don't really have much to do with Gasol at all. Well actually, Gasol's lack of rebounding probably encouraged Odom to hit the glass harder.
Come on. You're comparing his 5 game average to what Gasol has put up for a season. If Bynum does that for 82 games, then yeah, I'd say he's clearly #2, but until then, it's Gasol.
But as I've showed, I'd take Bynum's numbers right now over Gasol's. I'd take the rebounds and I'd take the shotblocking, I'd take the defensive presence over Gasol's extra 3, 4 points.
Additionally, we don't know what Pau's potential is and whether or not it's been reached as a Laker. It's far too early to tell that, but it doesn't matter because we already know how big of an impact he's had, and that's without even having played in the triangle for a season. Imagine how much more in tune with the team he'll be next season, on both ends...
I don't think our offense has that much more potential. We're already one of the best passing and scoring teams in basketball. What's next, 130 points a game? We've already seen how elite teams will defend us, and that's to push Pau away from the basket and force him and our team to make perimeter shots. So far, Pau hasn't been an answer to that. In the Jazz series, it was Kobe who busted the Jazz's defense and got to the foul line. Pau was getting pushed around. In the Spurs series, it was Kobe who beat the Spurs defense by hitting jumper after jumper. Pau wasn't able to get anything going inside.
so it's never certain who the 2nd option is. I'll give you that Bynum does have some advantages defensively, but that's where it ends. Besides that, are we really hanging our hats on one guy to change the teams defense? I hope not, because it's going to require a team effort. Sure, Bynum can help anchor that defense, but he still has plenty to learn in that department. He's no Kwame Brown, you know.
Yeah, he's no Kwame Brown because Kwame Brown blocks about as many shots as I do. Bynum is an elite shotblocker, already, and it was clear his presence in the middle discouraged and intimidated many teams. How can that be overlooked? Bynum takes up a lot of space, sends shots back, clears the glass. Pau somehow plays much smaller than he is, and despite his decent shotblocking now and then, doesn't discourage anybody from attacking the basket.
We don't know what would have happened if Bynum were here instead of Gasol. The only thing we can really go off of is what Bynum did in the regular season against the opponents we faced in the playoffs, and the numbers aren't all that and a bag of chips:
DEN (2 games): 7.0 PPG (66%), 7.5 REB, 1.0 STL, 2.0 BLK, 1.5 AST, 0.5 TOV
UTA (3 games): 11.0 PPG (57%), 9.3 REB, 0.3 STL, 1.0 BLK, 1.3 AST, 0.3 TOV
SAS (2 games): 8.5 PPG (50%), 11.5 REB, 0.0 STL, 0.5 BLK, 0.0 AST, 1.0 TOV
And forget the discrepancy in minutes? 26 minutes against Denver, 24 against Utah, 26 against the Spurs.
Adjusted to Gasol's minutes in the playoffs, this is how they compare:
Bynum: 11, 11.6, 3
Gasol: 22, 9, 3
Bynum: 19.8, 16.7, 1.8
Gasol: 18.5, 8, 3
Bynum: 12, 16.7, 0.7
Gasol: 13, 9.6, 1.6
Even with the small sample size, Bynum matches up favorably. Bynum only played 2 games against Denver, and one of them was a 2 point, 2 rebound game early in the season. Still, his numbers look pretty good, and some quirks aside (shotblocking), Bynum would have been the better play against Utah and the Spurs.
I won't even waste my time posting what Perkins did to Bynum because that would be downright mean.
Eh, only 2 games, plagued by foul trouble, earlier in the season, and anyways, Perkins is a tough matchup, one that the Lakers aren't even CONSIDERING putting Gasol on.
I don't disagree with that, but it takes more than just defense to win. We happen to have a formula that works, and regardless of how "soft" people claim Pau to be, his defense has been much improved in the playoffs. Our defense as a team is much improved. Do we give all the credit to Kobe? Odom perhaps? Well, it doesn't matter, IMO. What matters is that right now we are getting the job done with what we have, and we are playing some rather solid team defense. Don't believe me? Compare our opponents regular season averages to that of the playoffs. While you're at it, compare team defensive statistics for all teams that made it past the 1st round. We have been one of the better defensive teams in the post-season.
6/16 in opposing team shooting percentage, 12/16 in points given up. That's not being one of the better defensive teams, that's being fairly mediocre.
That's not to be understated. Aren't championship teams usually among the very best defensive teams? And yes, I'd give a lot of credit to Kobe and Odom for our improved defense. And considering Odom played possibly his best series in his career against the Jazz, and Kobe played the best series in his career against the Spurs, I'm not so thrilled about Gasol's mediocre series against those teams.
Yes, and I don't care the least about PER. Here is a list of players that had a higher PER than Kobe this past season:
LeBron James
Chris Paul
Amare Stoudemire
Kevin Garnett
Dirk Nowitzki
Tim Duncan
Manu Ginobili
Would you take any of them over Kobe, particularly those that are younger? Outside of James, I don't think I'd consider any of the others. Not for the Lakers, at least.
Well, this is a bit of red herring argument, to bring in Kobe, isn't it? Is PER a definitive measure of a player's worth? No. Is it a fairly good measurement of a player's offensive productivity? Yes.
Kobe Bryant was not the most productive player last year. The PER reflects that. Yet he's still the best player in the league, because he scaled back, he was great on defense, he was a great leader, and he takes over the game when it counts. PER doesn't reflect those attributes.
On the other hand, can we say the same for Gasol? Does PER sell him short? No way. Gasol didn't scale his game back, he doesn't play great defense, and he's not a clutch player, he's not a tough player. PER actually favors guys like Gasol.
And still, Bynum has the better PER.
esus! We already have a guy who cleans up the boards in Lamar Odom, and Pau is a pretty good finisher as it is. You sound like you're getting angry here with all these "soft" comments. Does he need to dunk it with authority to get approval around here? Maybe change the color of his skin? Get a few tattoos and throw up gang signs ala Paul Pierce? You're being a little overly critical of Gasol here, considering where he's helped take us.
Calm down. You're starting to stray away from a basketball argument, aren't you?
It has nothing to do with tattoos or gang signs, it has everything to do with just playing tough. The soft label on Gasol is something that's indisputable, he was soft in Memphis, he's soft in L.A. I'm not holding it against him, I knew this.
But we're comparing him to Andrew Bynum, which is what this thread is about. I love Gasol, but compared to Bynum, yeah, he's soft around the basket and can't come within sniffing distance of Bynum's ability to rebound. I'm sorry if that offends you, but I'm just stating what I see as indisputable facts.
Bynum finishes around the basket with authority, he rebounds and blocks shots on an elite level. Those are his advantages over Gasol, those are things we could use in the playoffs, and aside from Denver, Gasol's game has been limited. Because the playoffs can be a grind it out affair, and as Gasol's playoffs stats show, he struggles in that kind of game.
We can't play Denver all the time. Against the elite teams, against these great defensive teams, Gasol will and continue to struggle, because his strengths can be taken away from him, and his weaknesses are magnified.
It just so happens that Gasol's weaknesses are Bynum's strengths, and I'm thrilled both players have complementary skills. But make no mistake, Bynum's game is suited for the playoffs, it's suited for these slug-fests, it's suited for these gut-check, all-out-wars.
“OH! Caruso parachutes in! You cannot stop him - you can only hope to contain him!” -Kevin Harlan, LAL-GSW 4/4/19