Rock Hardy wrote:That's not realistic IMO. Lin is making 15M iirc. Reggie is a much better PG than him. 4/40 isn't getting him signed. You have to look at the market and see what other guys are making that he is comparable to. Then, you have to increase that by 50% or so for the new TV money. I'm gonna guess 4/60 is not out of the realm of possibility. Rubio makes 14M as well. I'm thinking your estimate is very low.
Lin's deal isn't a good barometer since it was a fairly bizarre 5/5/15 deal. He didn't get the max or anything like that.
Reggie is averaging 15 a game on 42/28 shooting (50% TS). He's not a good playmaker and he has poor efficiency despite playing with two top 5 players. He's been pressing this year for a max deal and been incredibly selfish in doing so. He's basically a scoring PG that's shown a tendency to ballhog at times and isn't even good at scoring. I would be shocked if he got a max deal.
Rubio got way overpaid as well but it's a bit of a different situation since it was an extension. Teams don't like to go after RFAs quite as much because it ties up their money for a few days in which other players can go off the market. I'll make a bet with you just like DoM. If he gets a max, I change my username to whatever you want, if he doesn't, I choose yours.
If you asked me right now, I think he gets signed-and-traded for a 4/44 deal. Slight overpay but not too bad.