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Statistical Expectations for AK?

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Post#46 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Wed Aug 8, 2012 4:55 pm by aaa

Any updated predictions on AKs stats after watching him in the Olympics? I'm pretty optimistic.
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Post#47 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Wed Aug 8, 2012 7:49 pm by wolfcat

At the moment AK is at his most comfortable. He's had a very light year of basketball. He's playing for his country with his countrymen. He is playing European style ball. They are easily getting the best AK there is to get.

I would like to think Adelman could get nearly as much from him. He certainly is getting paid to bring it so I hope his motivation stays high here. I doubt we can bring all the comforts of home but hopefully we will be the next best thing. If he shows 80% of what we are seeing in the Olympics here on a consistent basis I won't be unhappy.
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Post#48 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Wed Aug 8, 2012 9:36 pm by aaa

I'm gonna be a little disappointed with less than 12/6/3/1+/1+ in about 30 minutes after getting a look at him. Dudes got a lot left in the tank, those who think otherwise haven't seen him lately.
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Post#49 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Wed Aug 8, 2012 11:10 pm by Klomp

aaa wrote:Any updated predictions on AKs stats after watching him in the Olympics? I'm pretty optimistic.

Don't expect the 18/7 he's averaging.

I think his ceiling is somewhere around 15/5, but expect more like 12/4.
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Post#50 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Wed Aug 8, 2012 11:18 pm by Narf

Klomp wrote:
aaa wrote:Any updated predictions on AKs stats after watching him in the Olympics? I'm pretty optimistic.

Don't expect the 18/7 he's averaging.

I think his ceiling is somewhere around 15/5, but expect more like 12/4.
He'll get more than 4 rebounds ;)
12/5/3 is his "expected" stat line I think.
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Post#51 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Wed Aug 8, 2012 11:26 pm by Klomp

Narf wrote:
Klomp wrote:
aaa wrote:Any updated predictions on AKs stats after watching him in the Olympics? I'm pretty optimistic.

Don't expect the 18/7 he's averaging.

I think his ceiling is somewhere around 15/5, but expect more like 12/4.
He'll get more than 4 rebounds ;)
12/5/3 is his "expected" stat line I think.

Arguing over 1 rebound?
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Post#52 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Thu Aug 9, 2012 8:17 pm by cpfsf

14/5/2
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Post#53 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Thu Aug 9, 2012 8:46 pm by The J Rocka

Klomp wrote:Arguing over 1 rebound?

4.5 reb


**spit shake**
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Post#54 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Thu Aug 9, 2012 10:38 pm by Gideon

In AK's last 3 seasons, playing in a Utah system that IMO really obscured his strengths, he averaged 12-5-3 with just over a block and a steal, playing just under 30 mpg on average. I really think he will do better than that in Adelman's system. I also think he might get more minutes than we are expecting.

My prediction (in 34 mpg) is 15.8-6.4-3.4-1.7-1.6 with 48%fg 33%3p 75%ft

AK is just as good (or at least very close to that) a player as he was a few years ago... he didn't really get worse or age past his prime or anything... what happened was Utah signed Boozer and AK got less playing time and less focus on offense as a result. It also didn't help that D-Will tended to really freeze him out on offense -- it seemed like there was some sort of conflict between them. Utah was just a really bad situation for him... weird (and unfortunate) he played 10 years there.

I posted in another thread about just how valuable I think AK is, and I truly believe that. He's an excellent defender, incredibly versatile, and ranked top 100 all-time in multiple advanced metrics categories (check basketball-reference.com -- the number of these categories he excels in is surprising). IMO AK really changes games, if he was on those early 2000s Kings teams I believe he would have fit perfectly and got them over the hump, and I expect him to thrive for us under Adelman.
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Post#55 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Fri Aug 10, 2012 10:42 am by cpfsf

I'm adjusting my original 5 rebound prediction to 6 rebounds.

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I'm crediting the system + faster pace for this outlandish change in thought.
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Post#56 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Sat Aug 11, 2012 8:36 pm by AK47MVP

Hey, big AK fan here. Last season watched few more Wolves games then usual because of Adelman and Rubio. Now you guys got AK so my interest in Wolves grew even more:).
I think it is very reasonable to expect 13pts/6reb/4ast/1.5stl/1.5blk from AK. Maybe close to 2 blk a game if he will get few minutes at PF when Adelman decides to go small. Maybe even more assists as Adelman system will let him handle the ball more then in Utah. AK is great passer and this Wolves team will be among leaders in assists, you can bet on it:)
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Post#57 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Mon Aug 13, 2012 11:06 am by funfactor

Welcome to the boards. I'm not sure if the team will be in top assists but pretty sure will go up that list. (not too hard btw). I would say 11pts/ 5reb/ 3ast/1.3 blk/ 1.6 stl in 25 mins. cant wait to see AK in Timberwolves uniform running "like a young deer", ^^
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Post#58 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Mon Aug 13, 2012 10:08 pm by sorokii

He will have a much bigger impact than reflected on stats.

I see him around 10 ppg 5.5 rpg 2.5 apg 1 spg 1.5 bpg
da da da da daaaaaa...
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Post#59 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Tue Aug 14, 2012 1:32 am by wildvikeswolves

After the olympics he just had an feeling like were the perfect fit for him I'm thinking something around 14 PPG 5 RBS 2.5 ASTS 1.5 STLS 1 BLK
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Post#60 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Sat Jan 5, 2013 8:20 pm by guille_4

It seems like most of us underestimated his rebounding!
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Post#61 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Sat Jan 5, 2013 11:20 pm by Klomp

guille_4 wrote:It seems like most of us underestimated his rebounding!

We also were counting on a healthy Love
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Post#62 Re: Statistical Expectations for AK?
Sun Jan 6, 2013 1:21 pm by Narf

Narf wrote:I think he'll actually get more steals than blocks, and with our depth play just under 30 minutes per game. We're going to run the other team ragged with fresh legs.

28 minutes, 11.9 points, 5.4 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 1.2 blocks, 1.4 steals, .570 TS%

The A in AK stands for Anarchy, he's going to be all over the place on offense and defense.

Not the best, but not too shabby a prediction :)
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