RHODEY wrote:Johnstarks wrote:I know I've said this before but I really think people are overestimating the impact rose will have. Calderon was a floor spacer with an extremely low usage rate. He scored when he shot and he didn't throw possessions away. He didn't cramp spacing for other guys to go to work. That's not a bad offensive player if he's your SF or PF.
Now since he's your PG it stands out because you have to initiate offense with a potentially less efficient ballhandler/penetrator but if we theoretically had one it would not be so pronounced. Example pairing Dellevedova with leBron or Beverley with harden.
Okay so now they replace him with rose. Rose has a much higher usage rate and gets penetration but the net effect is when he's off the ball the knicks get a downgrade in spacing. And when he's on the ball they consume a lot of extra empty possessions on his bricks. And there's no proof he creates enough additional baskets via assists and penetration to offset his higher brick ratio...
Getting rid of a low usage, floor spacer doesn't necessarily improve your offense, it just reallocates your possessions... we have to do something productive with them to improve the offense
Lee improves our spacing but takes away a playmaker as he's basically just a catch and shoot guy. Noah is a downgrade on offense from lopez in all likelihood. Porzingis is a defensive star, his offense is still being nurtured. He could break out but I'd expect more of a transition improvement before he truly becomes a goto scorer.
Anthony has been in steady decline with his knee issues. I'm just not seeing a top 15 offense here.
Noah isn't a dpoy candidate at this stage of his career and lopez was solid on that end. Rose is a terrible defender much like Calderon. Anthony is still anthony. Porz is terrific but he was already terrific last year. Who knows how much improvement he has on thwt end? Lee is a solid defender and an upgrade over afflalo but it's not like we went from Jamal Crawford to Danny green or anything.
I just think these "upgrades" or relatively slight. And the lingering health concerns will be there all year. There are so many across the board that it's virtually impossible a few prolonged injuries don't bite us and the bench is weak.
Then combine thwt with very little continuity amongst the players, coaches, or system. And a bunch of egos. And a high profile media market... this thing all seems extremely combustible.
Like there is a slight hope this could really work and the team star power aligns and this team wins a round in the playoffs...
But doesn't it seem almost as likely the wheels fall off and this team goes 30-52? I just don't have much optimism for this group.
In the end I think they go through some hot stretches thwt get everyone excited. And some dreadful stretches that get so much more attention than warranted because it's the knicks and they have big names this year. Roller coaster ride for this team in a conference where teams like indy, det, cha the knicks are chasing have much more stability. And even teams like mia, Atlanta, mil Waukee look better on paper to me.
Can I have some of what you're smoking?
First, I defended Jose last year with many of the same arguments. He was miscast as a starting pg compounded by havin no penetrators. His 114 Ortg supported him being a positive on that end. He'd actually be ok as that third pg we need this season.
Rose regularly is among league leaders in hockey assists. Jose had a 22.4% asst rate last year, Rose 25.5.
Those possessions are going to be reallocated to a better playmaker with the skill we most lacked last season; ability to dribble penetrate. If we had a guard who could shoot like Jose and penetrate like Rose he'd be a hall of famer. Check the numbers. It doesn't exist.
Lee had a 9.1 asst %, AA had a 9.9% but Lee is a better shooter and defender by the numbers. I'll take that trade off, easily.
Lopez was almost all nba caliber as a rim defender last year and a tank who played 82 games. He was also a phenomenal offensive rebounder. Noah was better on the O boards, strong as a rim defender and a vastly superior perimeter defender. Plus he has a point guard level assist rate; 24.2%.
Melo is going to get lots of low effort jumpshots on skip passes and pullups or lay ups on cuts to the rim.
We added waaay better playmakers; by percentages like 3 fold in total, better penetration by 2.5 fold, better perimeter defense by far between the upgrade at pg, big upgrade at shooting guard and huuge upgrade at center. And lost some rim protection and back to the basket scoring. I'll take those trade offs for faster pace, more high percentage shots at the rim with better offensive rebounding, and cleaner looks from the outside for jumpshooters.
Will it all gel, I don't know. There is aloooot of continuity that has to be built, new personalities, some injury history etc etc. Potentially tho, we got alot better without even considering the fact that Jennings brings some of the same strengths as Rose. Or having a muucch more experienced coach with an offense that should be tailor made for DRose. Anybody remember how Eric Bledsoe looked when Coach Horn was running things?
Rose is in the perfect position for a career resurgence.
This season is going to be exciting and full of basketball-centric storylines.