fendilim wrote:p0peye wrote:Problem is in BPA approach. At #4, Gordon probably was not Best Player Available, which is why people feel we could've fared better. However, Henny took Gordon and Payton, as those two probably were Best Pair Available picking at #4 and #12.
Moreso, I'd venture a guess that Henny probably doesn't put much stock into who went at what spot between them and it might not be farfetched to say that, if asked, he would gladly put Payton as more valuable player of the two, now and in the future.
Could'nt agree more.
I think drafting Payton did this draft justice though. Henni knew he could get a steal in Payton at the 12th, so he drafted a wildcard at #4. However, I still have my doubts on drafting a defensive specialist at 4, when I think Henni could have moved down and acquire some assets and still get Gordon.
I have a little problem with that type of thinking. Hennigan said he explored both trading up and trading down scenarios and in the end he stayed put and drafted Gordon. How do we know he wouldn't be drafted by Utah at the very next pick if we had taken Exum? How do we know that Utah would have valued Exum enough to trade extra assets to move up one pick (ditto for any other team who took Gordon). Gordon himself said the night of the draft that he expected to go anywhere from 4-8 in the draft so obviously he was highly valued.
I have also seen others suggest we should have drafted Payton at 4 and picked someone else at 12 or use Afflalo to trade up. If we had gone the first route, we would have ended up with Elfrid and Randle at best (not my cup of tea) and if we went the second route and just use 12 to draft whoever (Adrien Payne or Saric). There is also another path where we draft Payton first, trade Afflalo for Stauskas and drafted whoever was available at 12.
Elfrid Payton, Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier
Elfrid Payton, Julius Randle (no Afflalo or Fournier)
Elfrid, Stauskas, and either Saric or Payne (no Afflalo or Fournier)
In every scenario, you get Elfrid. The difference is the value of the other players who drafted or traded for. Out of Gordon, Saric, Randle and Payne, I'd say Aaron would be the best pick for us and was the person we wanted to target (he was highly valued by other teams as well). Out of Fournier, Afflalo and Stauskas, I think the Fournier fit our team best as he was very young (younger than Dipo), he is on a rookie contract, he is better than Stauskas and fits our timeline and financial situation better than Afflalo.