Post#83 » by Skin » Fri Jul 8, 2016 12:35 am
More trash from BSPN:
Kevin Pelton
ESPN Staff Writer
The deal
Magic get: Cash considerations
Blazers get: Guard Shabazz Napier
Portland Trail Blazers: B
This trade is unlikely to work out quite as well for the Blazers as when they picked up an unwanted player from Orlando this time last year: Maurice Harkless, who emerged as a starter by the end of the season and is now a restricted free agent in demand.
Napier's NBA track record isn't nearly as promising. The Magic more or less used Harkless' roster spot to pick up Napier for cheap from the Miami Heat after a disappointing rookie season, and Napier actually shot worse in Year 2: 32.7 percent on 3s and a dreadful 35.1 percent on 2-pointers -- third worst among players with at least 90 2-point attempts.
Still, I'm not ready to completely abandon Napier Island. Point guards tend to develop later than players at other positions, so even though Napier is about to turn 25 -- he's nearly two years older than Harkless, who has two years more NBA experience -- the 50 most similar players at the same age based on my SCHOENE projection system improved about 3.8 percent the following season.
Most of the closest comparisons, including former Portland guard Steve Blake, developed into solid backups or in some cases even starters.
If Napier can shoot the 3 as he did as a rookie (36.4 percent), he's a good fit with the Blazers, who don't need a pure backup point guard because C.J. McCollum runs the offense with starter Damian Lillard on the bench.
And at worst, Portland can walk away after this season by declining the fourth-year option on Napier's rookie contract by Oct. 31.
Orlando Magic: C
Having agreed to sign D.J. Augustin to go along with C.J. Watson as backups to starter Elfrid Payton, the Magic surely didn't want to keep a fourth point guard on the roster. Unlike the Harkless deal, which was one of several cases of Orlando undervaluing its own talent, this isn't selling particularly low on Napier. It's unlikely he had any positive trade value at this point in his career.
Why oh why do people think Harkless is any good?
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