76ciology wrote:Ideally, we get 4-5 Embiid level talent with our tanked top 3 picks.
Realistically, there will be fallouts that will turn into sunk costs.
Deep inside, with a superteam type set-up (championship or bust built), most of us knew that out of the three centers we draft, only one will stay (i was stubborn with this). The two? They will turn into assets.
We LIKELY won't get a star, superstar or good draft picks for the two fallout centers. What's the next best thing? 3&D wings. They are plug and play. If theY turn out well and be like RoCo, Crowder or Bazemore then you can win big. If just average, they'll always have their place in anytime like a Joe Ingles, Kyle Anderson, Harkless, Turner, PJ Tucker or Crabbe?
Here's the thing. 3&D wings and centers are oversupplied in the league. Teams won't give much for them but most are willing to exchange one for the other.
I don't think 3 and D wings are oversupplied. Several of the guys you listed (Harkless, Turner, Crabbe) don't even satisfy both of the two requirements to being a 3 and D wing - being at least league average at both 3 point shooting and defense. They're just wings (though Crabbe probably has the tools to eventually be a positive on both ends). I also don't think Bazemore is deserving of being listed in the same tier as Crowder and Covington.
I also don't think you can really have too many 3 and D wings. Ideally you have at least two of them on the court at a time, and the nature of the archetype means that they can be slotted into just about any lineup, making for smoother player rotations. Given the contracts we've seen given to mediocre guys like Crabbe and Bazemore, it seems demand still far exceeds supply. Otto Porter is also in the elite tier and is going to get a max contract.
I agree that the opposite seems to be true for centers though. There's a massive oversupply as the demand for bigs has decreased as teams go smaller more frequently and few teams run two big lineups.