Bernman wrote:stitches wrote:What's the fascination with Payne anyways? He's a virtual Trey Burke 2.0.
Payne is 6'2/6'7.25. Burke is 6'1/6'5.5. So I think it falls apart a little already at the measurements. Then I'd say Payne has more shake to get into the lane, and a floater once he makes it there. Finishing at the basket is somewhat of a question, but not to the degree of Burke. Also, Payne has special timing on his passes.
But Exum should be considered the point guard going forward. Too good of a playmaker off the dribble for himself and teammates, not a good enough shooter. So I don't think Burke should be the pick for that reason.
from DX, combine measurements:
measurement- Burke-Payne
height ------6' 1.25" - 6'1.5''
wingspan---6' 5.5"-6' 7.25"
reach -------8' 1.5"-8' 1.5"
max vert ---36.5-35.5
sprint -------3.16-3.28
lane agility- 11.20-10.89
It's not a perfect comparison, but the point is short PGs like that need to be special in some way to overcome the physical limitations - either be special shooters, special feel for the game and distribution, etc. Just play the DX scouting videos of both... the strenghts and weaknesses pretty much match 1:1. The one thing is Payne has a better floater, which is one of the least effective shots in the game in general. If you rely on your floater to make your game, you are in trouble. Again, not a perfect comparison, but I think the similarities are much more striking than the small differences.
The bar to clear (Burke) is not high at all, so I'd expect him to be better, but how much better? If he manages to be a 36-38% 3p shooter he will be a NBA player for a long time because he has some ball skills and seems like a smart player, but I don't see him as a high level PG, I don't think he'd ever be above average PG in the league. My ceiling for him is low-level starter - good level backup.