rove wrote:You can't project stats reliably - that's logic.
If you say this seasons' PER so far will sustain for the career (hell, even this season), then Lowry will be better than LBJ (32.31 PER vs 30.79). Does that make sense to you?
By saying double BayBay's minutes he'll become Westbrook, that's an illogical argument. The reason he's not playing starter minutes is because he can't - 4 teams agreed on that! And currently he's playing on a team that's starting Conley - he is no Chris Paul. If Baybay i's THAT good, he'll play.
It's not illogical because my argument isn't based on the notion that Bayless will be Westbrook b/c if you double his minutes his stats will look similar. It's based on the
fact that Bayless was always more highly touted and at the very least just as touted as Westbrook up until draft night. Bayless was projected to be better than Westbrook. If you told any scout that Westbrook had a better offensive skillset than Bayless in 2008 they would have disagreed with you. Bayless and Westbrook are similar players both with an elite level of talent.
My argument is that Westbrook got the opportunity and Bayless didn't, that happens in sports. Some guys never pan out because they never found the right situation. Yes some guys are THAT GOOD that they will rise no matter what, some need to find the right situation to prosper. Westbrook is one of those guys and Bayless is another.
If Westbrook didn't get free reign and the chance to develop the way he did, and got stuck on a playoff team from the start instead in my opinion he'd be what Bayless is right now. Westbrook was a player that NEEDED the right situation to prosper. With his style of play imo it becomes that much more likely that he doesn't pan out the same way if he doesn't get the right situation. He's everything people on this board generally dislike in a player.
4 teams agreed that Chauncey Billups wasn't good enough to be that main guy, he could have very easily fell by the wayside if he didn't land on Detroit.
If I told you Jeremy lin would have the stretch he did last year and score 38 points against the Lakers there's a 0% chance you would have believed that. If the ball didn't bounce the right way and he didn't land that opportunity NOBODY would think he was adequate to be a starting PG in this league.
There's a lot to consider, you can't just say "well if he was good enough someone would see it". Nah it doesn't always work that way.