2014-15 Predictions

[JazzMatt13]

Gal...dude I just spent 20 minutes looking for this, cause I knew I called 30+ season.

I was back like 14 pages all the way from summer league to new years, and I could use the search.

[JazzMatt13]

Wins

Floor: 25
Ceiling: 33
Guess: 30

Jazz MVP: Burke and Hayward (like S2M)
Offense: Kanter
Defense: Gobert

Best Lineup: I loved Hayward and Exum in the backcourt.
Tough: Any combo with Burke, Hayward and Kanter.

Scoring Leader: Who and How Many
Rebounds: Gobert 8.8
Assists: Burke and Hayward 8
Blocks: Favors 2.1
Steals: Exum 1.1
TO: Kanter 3.2

Biggest Surprise: Exum starting PG on bench
Biggest Disappointment: Favors

Biggest issue heading into next off-season: Who should start, kanter and burks contract.

Hayward's Stats and Shooting: Dude will beast it, i expect 15-5-5 type nights, everynight.

So my games won looks solid, and Jazz are going to beat my expectations.

Gobert is the defensive MVP, and Kanter was the dud who I deep down knew he was.

I knew the Exum + Hayward line up would rock, but thought Kanter could work with Burke, durp.

I guess my biggest surprise came true, and biggest disappointment isn't Favors, it was Kanter, cause Kanter is a pathetic excuse for a basketball player who can't play defense. I will post something soon to show how Jazz's defense rose when he left, and Thunders defense plummeted when they got Kanter.

[StocktonShorts]

I'm going to update this thread as soon as numbers post with the actual stats for the stat-based predictions.

[JazzMatt13]

Wins

Floor: 25 (correct)
Ceiling: 33 (This was Lillard's rookie season record, I knew if Burke or Exum could be great, they could get 33. Exum won 15 games since March, and 24 since Jan 22 of 40 games, when he started, meaning Exum went 24-16, which is 48 wins in a 82 game season)
Guess: 30 (wrong as hell)

Jazz MVP: Burke and Hayward (like S2M) (Correct, Hayward was MVP, Burke bench MVP)
Offense: Kanter (I meant to say Favors)
Defense: Gobert (correct)

Best Lineup: I loved Hayward and Exum in the backcourt. (correct)
Tough: Any combo with Burke, Hayward and Kanter.

Scoring Leader: Who and How Many
Rebounds: Gobert 8.8 (correct) -.7
Assists: Burke and Hayward 8 (correct) +0.4
Blocks: Favors 2.1 (wrong, Rudy won, and Favors only got 1.7 on season)
Steals: Exum 1.1 (wrong)
TO: Kanter 3.2 (IDK, don't care, Kanter was worst player)

Biggest Surprise: Exum starting PG on bench (I was SUPER Correct)
Biggest Disappointment: Favors (I meant to put Kanter here)

Biggest issue heading into next off-season: Who should start, kanter and burks contract. (This was technically right, but we solved half the issues by dropping Kanter's contract which ultimately made is simple as to who to start, and then the rest was Burks signing his contract.)

Hayward's Stats and Shooting: Dude will beast it, i expect 15-5-5 type nights, everynight. (Correct, Hayward is the group of players of ELITE status, but is just under the Uber Elite that James spearheads, where you need higher FG%, 20+ ppg, and 5 and 5. Hayward should be there next season if he again increases all stats)

[JazzMatt13]

Exum Starting, 24-16, that is so awesome. That is basically 50 wins had we done it sooner and worked equally as well.

Gobert Starting: 37 games, 10.6-12.4-1.7 <-these are MIP and DPOTY numbers, especially with 2.8 blocks, 59% FG% and only freaking 1.9 TOV!!!!

Post-All-Star, Gobert averaged 13.4 rebounds per game. I mean that is freaking NUTS!

These two players are special.

Post All-Star, Hood averaged 11.8-2.1-2.2, that is great for a rookie, especially shooting 46% FG% and 42% 3pt%, it is a crying shame that Hood isn't in running for ROTY. I think it was BS on NBA's part to completely exclude him from Rookie Ladder all year.

Look at Hood's starting numbers since All-Star, yet he isn't even considered a top 10 rookie. Joe Ingles is better than half them on that list. Between Hood, Wiggins and Noel, if I were to pick any of the three for my team using their rookie campaign, I would take Hood all day.

[dautjazz]

Not really sure, but I'm LOVING the way the team has played in the preseason, I can really see this team surprise a lot of teams and come out of the gates strong, and play very well at home.

Low 30
Guess - 40
High - 45+

I can see us being the Suns of this year, taking the league by surprise. A lot of it has to do with the MUCH needed coaching change, which coincidentally is what pushed the Suns up too.

Points: Burks
Rebounds: Favors
Assists: Burke
Blocks: Favors
Steals: Burks or Hayward

Biggest Surprise - I think for the league it may be Gobert, then Burks.

Disappointment - Kanter. I think a new coach will have less patience, and Gobert is already better IMO, so I see him taking away a lot of minutes, not to mention Booker has showed up very well in the preseason, and if we need to space the floor Novak will get playing time too. I hope I'm wrong, but Kanter just might not turn out as good as we hoped.

Issue - Probably the lack of a star player, though I think Burks is about a season away from becoming an All-Star level playe, hopefully sooner!

Hayward's stats - I expect similar to last year, but with much better efficiency

Coach - I love what I've seen from the team this summer, so if it's any indication, I think he's doing a GREAT job. I like him a lot right now.

Well I wasn't expecting Burks to be out obviously, if he was healthy I think north of 40 would of been easy. I was dead on with Biggest Surprise, and Disapointment I think I did well too. Tough to say if I got Issue right. Hayward's stats I was a little off, he had a little bigger jump than I expected. And the Coach did a great job! Burks being out screwed up my stats leaders, but atleast I got assists and steals. I definitely didn't expect Gobert to be THIS good, 9.5rpg 2.3bpg is nuts for someone who averaged 26.3mpg and only started 37 games.

[stitches]

Either I am horrible at predicting win/loss records or the team has made an incredible and very hard to predict jump.

[StocktonShorts]

I've pulled these numbers from Basketball Reference. For a few of the rate statistics I've applied a "common sense" minimum games/minutes requirement.

Wins
Actual: 38
Expected (pythagorean): 42
(this is based on points differential; the Jazz finished +18 total on the season)

Best Lineup
The best lineup that saw significant minutes (more than 100 total) posted a +16.9 net/100 possessions and was composed of:
Burke
Hayward
Ingles
Favors
Gobert

Scoring Leader
Hayward 19.3/game
Hayward 20.1/36min

Rebounds
Gobert 9.5/game
Gobert 20.7 rebound%

Assists
Burke 4.3/game
Burke 25.0 assist%

Blocks
Gobert 2.3/game
Gobert 3.2/36min

Steals
Hayward 1.4/game
Millsap 2.2/36min

Turnovers
Hayward 2.7/game
Hayward 2.8/36min

Hayward's Stats and Shooting
19.3/4.9/4.1 (pts/reb/ast) on .445/.364/.812 shooting
.567 TS%
20.2 PER
3.6 VORP
111 ORating, 105 DRating
4.23 RPM (http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/rpm/_ ... position/5), 4th best among small forwards

[Dry Fly]

So do I win a prize? My prediction of 37.5 +\- 2.5 is by far the closest. Haha.