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Ruzious wrote:I think Vegas has it right. 30.5-47.5.
I could be off by half a game... or so.
With Wall's injury and Nene missing training camp, I was thinking probably just short of 30 wins. They'll be yet another miserable start to the season (8-32, around .250 winning percentage) and an extended yet utterly meaningless feel good late season run (around .500) that has a strong possibility of taking us out of the running for a high lottery pick this time around. And once again, that run will have the front office thinking, they're just a bit of good health & one player away from competing for the playoffs. And the reign of Ernie Grunfeld continues.
Of course I need to see some preseason games to get a real feel for things but I'm not overly optimistic about the season or long term.
I just wonder when the novelty of having older, professional players with marginal talent will wear off and the board begins to yearn for guys with "upside" on the roster once again.
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Healthy Nene and Wall all season are worth about 42-43 wins.
Wall being out the first month will cost us 3-4 wins.
Healthy Nene, Wall missing first month, 39 wins.
Every month Nene misses, lop off 3 wins from that.
So yeah, put me down for 31 wins. Because I'm just that optimistic.
- Chocolate City Jordanaire
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I think they'll go 29-53.
I believe there will be significant games missed by Nene to curb any enthusiasm. Wall missing games will probably not be as traumatic or costly to the win total as most think. I think Shelvin might do better than most imagine. I don't see enough offense and star power to win games any other way than defensively.
If Nene plays 70 games, I would up the record to 37-45; but I think he's going to miss a good bit of the season.
http://basketball.realgm.com/nba/teams/ ... ds/30/Home
- Sixth Man
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montestewart wrote:truwizfan4evr wrote:33-45 if healthy.
And 4 ties, right?
I'm saying if wall And Nene come back healthy maybe in December we have a chance to get 35+ wins
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You make a lot more money betting on the Wizards to be underwhelming than the converse.
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I'm continuing to practice my policy of deliberately unrealistic optimism. However, the extent of this optimism is mitigated by decades of disappointment, and Wall starting out the season injured is not promising either. I think 37-45 is about the most optimistic prediction I can bring myself to make at this time. Maybe I'll come back later & revise it, but unless and until I do, this is my official prediction.
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