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Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013

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Post#161 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Fri Nov 16, 2012 2:38 pm by AFM

Can I give my prediction? I know I'm late, but please put me down for 25 wins.
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Post#162 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Fri Nov 16, 2012 3:01 pm by rockymac52

I unfortunately missed out on making my prediction.

I texted my friend about a week before the season started that I thought we'd get 37-40 wins this season, even with the injuries. So since I'm late, go ahead and put me down for a record of 40-42.

Don't quite see that happening as much now that we're 0-7 and the pessimism is growing day by day, but oh well, that's what I said to my friend, so that's all I have to go off of, so that's what I'll be sticking to I suppose. Then again, if Wall and Nene can return in the next 2-3 weeks, I still believe we can be a .500 team or so. We'd need to go 40-35 from here on out for my prediction to be correct. Seems like a bit of a stretch, but it's within reach.
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Post#163 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Fri Nov 16, 2012 3:10 pm by Zonkerbl

If the zards go 0-16 before Nene and Wall get back, they'll have 66 games left to play. If they play .500 ball the rest of the year they'd have 33 wins and miss the playoffs.

God, this franchise sucks.
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Post#164 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Fri Nov 16, 2012 3:28 pm by AFM

You shouldn't really begin that sentence with "if".
WizarDynasty wrote:Ted is trying to transform you from a bullet .....piece of metal shot from a gin into a wizard....wise.... wisest fans in the .ba. board has a long way to go but ee have wise wizard posters to guide into Ted the savior rescue operation.
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Post#165 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Sat Nov 17, 2012 9:22 pm by closg00

closg00 wrote:Injury issues and scoring problems, put me down for 33 wins.


Is it too-late to change our win-total to that of last years Bobcats?
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Post#166 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Sun Nov 25, 2012 2:25 pm by Joe_Wiz

It looks like my prediction way back on page 2 of this thread never got put into the final list. While I'm pointing this out, I'd like to add that there was a typo in my original prediction. Whereas I typed "37-45", what I REALLY meant was 17-65 (or maybe I meant 7-75 . . . I'm having trouble remembering -- ask me in March).
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Post#167 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Sun Nov 25, 2012 2:38 pm by montestewart

Yeah, but 17-65 or 7-75, it'll be the best ever!
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Post#168 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Sun Nov 25, 2012 4:53 pm by Halcyon

I think mid-20 wins is doable. I'm feeling good about my prediction...

:(
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Post#169 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Fri Jan 11, 2013 7:58 pm by JAR69

Bump. If Wall comes back against Atlanta, that is the start of the rest of the season. Predictions for the last 49 games? I'm going to optimistically say they are a .500 team, and will go 25-24.
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Post#170 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Fri Jan 11, 2013 8:23 pm by mohammed10

JAR69 wrote:Bump. If Wall comes back against Atlanta, that is the start of the rest of the season. Predictions for the last 49 games? I'm going to optimistically say they are a .500 team, and will go 25-24.


:noway:
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With sixty seconds’ worth of distance run,
Yours is the Earth and everything that’s in it,
And—which is more—you’ll be a Man, my son!

'If' - by Rudyard Kipling
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Post#171 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Fri Jan 11, 2013 9:01 pm by Chocolate City Jordanaire

JAR69 wrote:Bump. If Wall comes back against Atlanta, that is the start of the rest of the season. Predictions for the last 49 games? I'm going to optimistically say they are a .500 team, and will go 25-24.


They are 5-28 now playing at a .152 win pace. They win 1 and lose 5.6 games currently.

Let's say with Wall they're twice as good. That projection would give them a .300 pace, which over 49 games is about 15 wins and 34 losses. Their final record would be 20-62, but I think they'll finish slightly better than that.

If they play .400 ball the rest of the way it would be 20 wins and 29 losses and give them 25-57 for their final record at best.

I think they'll finish around 22-60.

Best possible: 30-52 (That will take the 25-24 winning pace so boldly predicted above).
Worst case: 16-66 (That will take an improved 11-38 pace. I can't see them staying the same pace for only 8 or 9 wins and a 13-69 season. That won't happen).

If the Wizards want to pull a Redskins and make the playoffs, it will take an IMO impossible: 40-42 or 35-14 the rest of the way
It's not fool's gold. The Wizards are for real! Otto Porter is going to be a good one.
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Post#172 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Sat Jan 12, 2013 6:45 am by DaRealHibachi

Upper Decker wrote:I've tabulated everyone's predictions, if I missed one please repost with the edit. There were 51 submissions with a mean win prediction of 33.5, a median of 33, and a mode of 32. Historically the average projection of the board is 8-9 higher than actual. We shall see...

44 – Shorty, payitforward
43 – doclinkin
42
41 – nuposse04
40 – CaPtaiN eYeSaNo, Rafael122, Pancakes3
39 – dobrojim, Illuminaire
38 – DaRealHibachi, Free Balling
37 – BarnabyJones, Nate33, Nivek
36 – fugop, JAR69
35 – Higga, Tontoz, AnotherFinn, LyricalRico, Severn Hoos
34 – DCZards
33 – FAH1223, truwizfan4evr, Fishercob, dandridge 10, closg00
32 – MJG, Gesa2, Dangermouse, GhostsOfGil, The Consiglieri, hands11, miller31time
31 – Zonkerbl, willbcocks, bulletproof_32
30 – TheBigThree, montestewart, floydfan29
29 – CCJ, Benjamin, Dat2u, verbal8, benjamin
28 – hermitkid, Earth2Ted
27 – Halcyon
26
25 – Jay81
24 – sashae
23
22 – Upper Decker


A lil late , but:

DaRealHibachi wrote:34-48...


This was my prediction on page 2, last post, somehow I ended up with 38...???
On Eric Maynor, nate33 wrote:Our record in games that Wall played was roughly .500. Meanwhile, on a per48 basis, with Maynor in the game, we lose games by an average of 30 points.
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Post#173 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Sat Jan 12, 2013 9:25 am by FreeBalling

^^^^^^

I see how it is, you don't want to be associated with the 38's...Is John Wall going to get me 33 more wins?
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Post#174 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Sat Jan 12, 2013 10:29 am by MJG

I think we'll get to 20 wins, capped off by a 7-2 record in April
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Post#175 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Sat Mar 16, 2013 10:11 pm by doclinkin

Upper Decker wrote: I've tabulated everyone's predictions, if I missed one please repost with the edit. There were 51 submissions with a mean win prediction of 33.5, a median of 33, and a mode of 32. Historically the average projection of the board is 8-9 higher than actual. We shall see...

44 – Shorty, payitforward
43 – doclinkin
42
41 – nuposse04

40 – CaPtaiN eYeSaNo, Rafael122, Pancakes3
39 – dobrojim, Illuminaire
38 – Free Balling
37 – BarnabyJones, Nate33, Nivek
36 – fugop, JAR69
35 – Higga, Tontoz, AnotherFinn, LyricalRico, Severn Hoos
34 – DaRealHibachi, DCZards
33 – FAH1223, truwizfan4evr, Fishercob, dandridge 10, closg00
32 – MJG, Gesa2, Dangermouse, GhostsOfGil, The Consiglieri, hands11, miller31time
31 – Zonkerbl, willbcocks, bulletproof_32
30 – TheBigThree, montestewart, floydfan29
29 – CCJ, Benjamin, Dat2u, verbal8, benjamin
28 – hermitkid, Earth2Ted
27 – Halcyon
26
25 – Jay81
24 – sashae
23
22 – Upper Decker


Knocked off our first bottom feeder anyway.
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Post#176 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Mon Mar 18, 2013 3:48 am by willbcocks

willbcocks wrote:31- 51. I expect they'll look like a 27 win team for much of the year and turn it on at the end, like last year.

I was really looking forward to watching Wall play after a summer of working out with coaches and training camp. I'm steeling myself for disappointment, which could be severe, since he's supposed to be our franchise savior.


Slightly off on a few things, but overall, my back is going to be pretty sore from all the patting I'm giving myself on this one.
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Post#177 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Mon Mar 18, 2013 3:59 pm by Rafael122

I'm such a homer, but I thought 40 wins was doable, then Wall got hurt.

I look at their remaining schedule, I see 6 wins, MAYBE 7 if the Lakers don't have Kobe or Gasol. Other than that, 30 may be hard to come by.
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Post#178 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Mon Mar 18, 2013 4:08 pm by Nivek

Based on how they've been playing since Wall returned, they project to 33 wins. Dangit -- if only Wall had come back a couple weeks earlier, they'd be right on target for the 37 I predicted. :(
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Post#179 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Thu Mar 21, 2013 8:31 am by payitforward

Nivek wrote:Based on how they've been playing since Wall returned, they project to 33 wins. Dangit -- if only Wall had come back a couple weeks earlier, they'd be right on target for the 37 I predicted. :(

And, had they been healthy, they'd be right on target for the 44 I predicted.

I'd like it noted that I (moi) am the one who predicted the level they are playing at right now as the level their healthy team would be at.

And that I still didn't -- and don't -- like the Okariza trade or most of Ernie Ugfield's off-season moves.

(Edit: also worth noting that some of the biggest "homers" and EG supporters predicted way below what the team is capable of -- recognize yourself in that observation, Hands ?? :) )
People say I'm mellowing with age. Nah.

It is still not possible to formulate a counter-argument -- even if I say... Is so!
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Post#180 Re: Predict the Wizards record in 2012-2013
Thu Mar 21, 2013 8:50 am by Nivek

Yep -- you and I were in agreement on the Okariza trade. Didn't like it then, still don't like it now. Didn't like it when my preseason analysis projected 37 wins. Didn't like it when my "full health" projection would have had them at 44 wins.

It is interesting to see how many homers predicted fewer wins than some who didn't like the trade.
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