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Looking at the numbers . . .

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Post#161 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Mon Jan 21, 2013 2:21 pm by Jay81

Nivek wrote:Latest stats update, including a look at Beal's January and Wall's start to the season.


what the heck is AJ price doing on that over 100 list? Did Ernie actually make a good move?
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Post#162 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Mon Jan 21, 2013 2:23 pm by Nivek

Price has played well recently. We'll see where he ends up, but at present put Price in the "Ernie found one" column.

Need to go back and re-run the numbers on Price with some of the tweaks I've made to PPA this season.
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Post#163 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Mon Jan 21, 2013 8:09 pm by hands11

Nivek wrote:Price has played well recently. We'll see where he ends up, but at present put Price in the "Ernie found one" column.

Need to go back and re-run the numbers on Price with some of the tweaks I've made to PPA this season.


Along with Webster.

Webster is at TS% .581
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Post#164 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Mon Jan 28, 2013 2:43 pm by Nivek

Latest stat update looking at the full season, and at the last 10 games. For those past 10 games, Okafor playing like a top 10 player in the league, Webster like a top 15 player, Price like a top 50. Beal, Wall and Nene are the other players producing at an average or better rate, according to PPA over the past 10.
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Post#165 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Mon Jan 28, 2013 3:18 pm by Zonkerbl

I see you've changed "replacement level" from 70 to 45...
Comparing Rose to Wall is like asking which is a more impressive cat: A cheetah or a wolf? Dude, Wall ain’t no damn cat!
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Post#166 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Mon Jan 28, 2013 4:30 pm by MJG

Zonkerbl wrote:I see you've changed "replacement level" from 70 to 45...

It used to be 10th man, and was changed to 11th man. And I think that it was 60, rather than 70.
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Post#167 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Mon Jan 28, 2013 6:30 pm by LyricalRico

Nice to Vesely's rating improve.
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Post#168 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Mon Jan 28, 2013 10:57 pm by hands11

http://espn.go.com/nba/player/gamelog/_ ... eka-okafor

After that game, Okafor is now averaging a double double for January.

10.7 rebounds 10.1 pts

His last two games have been awesome.

15 rbs and 23 pts
16 rbs and 15 pts
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Post#169 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Mon Jan 28, 2013 11:41 pm by mohammed10

hands11 wrote:http://espn.go.com/nba/player/gamelog/_/id/2399/emeka-okafor

After that game, Okafor is not averaging a double double for January.

10.7 rebounds 10.1 pts

His last two games have been awesome.

15 rbs and 23 pts
16 rbs and 15 pts


Woah...those are Cousins' type numbers
If you can fill the unforgiving minute
With sixty seconds’ worth of distance run,
Yours is the Earth and everything that’s in it,
And—which is more—you’ll be a Man, my son!

'If' - by Rudyard Kipling
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Post#170 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Tue Jan 29, 2013 3:55 am by B-easy

Wall shooting 45% from the field now, pretty good.
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Post#171 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Tue Jan 29, 2013 8:41 am by Nivek

MJG wrote:
Zonkerbl wrote:I see you've changed "replacement level" from 70 to 45...

It used to be 10th man, and was changed to 11th man. And I think that it was 60, rather than 70.


Yep. Replacement level was the hypothetical 10th man, now it's the hypothetical 11th man. So, from 60 to 45. The idea being the approximate level of production a team can expect from basically a D-League call-up.

Haven't run the numbers from last night, but over that 7-3 stretch, Okafor was averaging a pace-adjusted 15.9 rebounds per 40 minutes. I would think that last night's game would boost that average.
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Post#172 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Tue Jan 29, 2013 3:03 pm by dobrojim

B-easy wrote:Wall shooting 45% from the field now, pretty good.



I may be looking through beer goggles but his J seems more reliable to me
than last year.
A lot of what we call 'thought' is just mental activity
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Post#173 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Tue Feb 5, 2013 12:47 pm by Nivek

Weekly stat update is on the blog.

I ask the question: Is Wall A Franchise Level Player?

The answer will be unsurprising to readers of the Wall thread -- Nope. At least not yet.
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Post#174 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Tue Feb 5, 2013 12:53 pm by Ruzious

Nivek wrote:Weekly stat update is on the blog.

I ask the question: Is Wall A Franchise Level Player?

The answer will be unsurprising to readers of the Wall thread -- Nope. At least not yet.

The more relevant question in my mind is whether or not this organization is capable of developing a player to franchise level or even to a good all-around player, and the answer is No. It's an organizational problem much more than an individual player problem.
"Morey plays three dimensional chess. EFG plays tic-tac-toe and can't seem to get the hang of it."
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Post#175 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Tue Feb 5, 2013 4:16 pm by Nivek

Playoff update...

Projected record for the 8th seed: 42-40.

Wizards would need to go 30-5 in their remaining games to reach that record. Based on what they've been doing since Wall returned, it's looking like they'll finish the season with 30-33 wins total.
"A lot of what we call talent is the desire to practice."
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Post#176 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Tue Feb 5, 2013 4:31 pm by Zonkerbl

Huh, so my prediction for 30 wins still has a chance.
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Post#177 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Thu Feb 14, 2013 2:56 pm by Nivek

Two pieces up at the blog (so far) today. One is basically this:

Image

Red = team defensive rating (points allowed per 100 possessions)
Green = team offensive rating (points scored per 100 possessions)
Blue = pace (possessions per 48 minutes)

The light blue line shows league average. The yellow/orange line shows Wall's return game.

The other piece is my weekly stat update, in which I open up by hammering Randy Wittman's lineup ill-logic.
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Post#178 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Thu Feb 14, 2013 4:26 pm by Nivek

Last thing going up on the blog today: an update on my semi-regular comparison of Beal to other teen rookie guards.

Summary: He's about average for the group, but he has improved steadily as the year has progressed.
"A lot of what we call talent is the desire to practice."
-- Malcolm Gladwell

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Post#179 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Thu Feb 14, 2013 4:28 pm by Nivek

double post
"A lot of what we call talent is the desire to practice."
-- Malcolm Gladwell

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Post#180 Re: Looking at the numbers . . .
Thu Feb 14, 2013 6:25 pm by hands11

dobrojim wrote:
B-easy wrote:Wall shooting 45% from the field now, pretty good.



I may be looking through beer goggles but his J seems more reliable to me
than last year.


I think that was Takillya you were drinking.

Take my advice. Not only should you not be judging basketball talent on that stuff but don't bring any women home after it either. The morning after could be a nasty surprise.
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