Official Trade Thread XXI (12/13/12 - 02/06/13)

[TGW]

I would still demand that he be fired for his incompetence. That fact that he lucked into a mulligan doesn't excuse his incompetence last offseason. I'm just saying we may as well benefit from his incompetence leading us to another tank season and another high pick. Then just dump EG and hire a real GM to complete the rebuild.

His incompetence is the reason why i don't think he will be able to take a lemon and make lemonade. Your moves operate under the assumption that EG can admit the Okariza trade/Vesely pick were bad ideas. I doubt this is the case.

Exactly. Just a few months ago, they were claiming they were making a "clever" trade. I don't see how a egotistical guy like Ted Leonsis is going to just take that back.

[mhd]

My latest:

Cavs trade Varajeo+Gibson+Walton+Casspi for Emeka+Barnes+Jefferson
GSW trade Barnes+Jefferson for Varajeo+Ariza
Wiz trade Emeka+Ariza for Walton+Gibson+Casspi

WHY FOR THE WARRIORS? They go for it now. Varajeo gives them a huge upgrade in the frontcourt with Bogut's uncertainty. Moreover, Ariza gives them a defensive wing that they lack on the roster now.

WHY FOR THE CAVS? They get Barnes to be the SF of the future alongside Waiters and Kyrie. Moreover, Emeka can hold down the fort at Center until their pick (which likely will be a big) is ready for primetime. They hold off FA for one more year as Emeka and RJ expires after 2013-2014.

WHY FOR THE WIZ? They get expirings, plain and simple.

[rl25g]

let's just say for kicks Nene, Crawford and Martin sat out tonight because they are being traded ( i know, that is more than probably untrue.) What is the best semi-realistic trade that package can get ?

Nene, Crawford, Martin, 2013 1st to Minnesota for Love, Lee.

Minnesota trades the disgruntled Love for Nene, immediate wing help, and a high draft pick in the draft. They try and salvage the season due to injuries. The Wiz get a legit star and try a big 3 of Love, Beal, and Wall.

[nate33]

His incompetence is the reason why i don't think he will be able to take a lemon and make lemonade. Your moves operate under the assumption that EG can admit the Okariza trade/Vesely pick were bad ideas. I doubt this is the case.

Exactly. Just a few months ago, they were claiming they were making a "clever" trade. I don't see how a egotistical guy like Ted Leonsis is going to just take that back.

I dunno. EG could spin it as if it was the plan all along. Instead of pay Rashard Lewis not to play, the plan was to pay the same amount of money to Okafor and Ariza to play 2/3rds of a season and then flip them for expirings.

[deneem4]

I was thinking the same thing about Martin, nene, crawford, maybe singleton as well
...based on those 4. ..we'll be trading for a forward and/or guard

I think potential partners
Wolves (love)
Sixers (t. Young ???) *best for wizards
Kings (cousins) *wishful thinking
Lakers (pau) *good chance
Rockets (needs a nene)
Nets (humpries ??)
Celtics (green/lee??)
Bulls (boozer ??)

Or maybe a multi team trade with bucks and grizzlies ?
Ellis grizz
Nene bucks
Gay wiz

[BigA]

I would still demand that he be fired for his incompetence. That fact that he lucked into a mulligan doesn't excuse his incompetence last offseason. I'm just saying we may as well benefit from his incompetence leading us to another tank season and another high pick. Then just dump EG and hire a real GM to complete the rebuild.

His incompetence is the reason why i don't think he will be able to take a lemon and make lemonade. Your moves operate under the assumption that EG can admit the Okariza trade/Vesely pick were bad ideas. I doubt this is the case.

Exactly. Just a few months ago, they were claiming they were making a "clever" trade. I don't see how a egotistical guy like Ted Leonsis is going to just take that back.

Ted says all kinds of things that he goes back on later.

[BigA]

His incompetence is the reason why i don't think he will be able to take a lemon and make lemonade. Your moves operate under the assumption that EG can admit the Okariza trade/Vesely pick were bad ideas. I doubt this is the case.

Exactly. Just a few months ago, they were claiming they were making a "clever" trade. I don't see how a egotistical guy like Ted Leonsis is going to just take that back.

I dunno. EG could spin it as if it was the plan all along. Instead of pay Rashard Lewis not to play, the plan was to pay the same amount of money to Okafor and Ariza to play 2/3rds of a season and then flip them for expirings.

I think I remember around the time of Okariza, people saying "well, maybe the real plan is to flip them, so this perhaps isn't as disasterous as it looks."

[nuposse04]

^
Follow that up by trading Seraphin + Vesely + top 10 protected 1st for Cousins.

Then see if we can trade cap space straight up for Ryan Anderson (who plays the same position as Antonio Davis and may therefore not be a good fit given his contract.) Next year:

PG: Wall/Crawford
SG: Beal/Crawford
SF: Shabazz/Webster
PF: Nene/Anderson/Booker
C: Cousins/Nene

And cap room to spare.

If we trade for Cousins, it'll only because we're playing well and Wall+Nene would be a good for Cousins mental state. I'd also swap C. Singleton and Vesely in your original proposal We're not gonna get Shabazz either if we start playing well. I think like a top 7 protected pick is a bit more reasonable. I also doubt the Pelicans would be so fast to get rid of Anderson. I'd take a gamble with Minny if they still see Love in their future (although he's hurt right now). Maybe Crawford+Booker+lotto protected 14th pick for D. Williams+Luke

Wall/Luke/Tomas
Beal/Temple
Webster/Whoever/Ariza
Nene/D. Williams/Vesely
Cousins/Nene/Vesely

One can dream I guess.

[daSwami]

I think I remember around the time of Okariza, people saying "well, maybe the real plan is to flip them, so this perhaps isn't as disasterous as it looks."

I was actually in this camp, and I still hold on to a thread of hope that this whole debacle might not look so bad in a couple of years. Going into next season the Wiz should have some tradable assets in a (hopefully) healthy John Wall as well as the large expiring contracts of Okariza. I'm hoping that Wall's value alone might be enough to attach a couple of expirings to. I'd also be ok with cutting bait on some of our 'young core' players (esp Vesely and Crawford) with the exception of Beal. Dunno, I think we have some options that, in the hands of a competent GM (read: not EG), could be parlayed into something decent. And who knows? Maybe our draft pick this off-season will pan out.

My biggest fear is that Ted won't want to part with EG because he's the guy whose 'plan' we're executing.

[LyricalRico]

I think I remember around the time of Okariza, people saying "well, maybe the real plan is to flip them, so this perhaps isn't as disasterous as it looks."

I was actually in this camp, and I still hold on to a thread of hope that this whole debacle might not look so bad in a couple of years. Going into next season the Wiz should have some tradable assets in a (hopefully) healthy John Wall as well as the large expiring contracts of Okariza.

Same here. I've always said that I wanted to see the whole situation play out - first get everyone on the court healthy and see how far they can go, and then see what the Summer 2013 trade possibilities are. The first half of that has been a flop, but the second half could be interesting.

[jivelikenice]

No reason to deal Okafor now. He's been steadily playing better as the season has progressed and will have a lot more value this summer as an expiring player, who is more than just dead weight.

Ariza on the other hand......Trade him for whatever you can get unless he's given an indication that he hates it so much here that he's going to opt out.

[tontoz]

I have a higher view of Crawford than many here but realistically his trade value now is as high as it will ever be. With Wall coming back his minutes will take a big hit which may not sit well with him. He has improved each year and has over a year left on a cheap rookie deal.

Basically it is now or never if they want to trade him. If they wait past the feb deadline i think his trade value drops a lot.

[LyricalRico]

An effort to involve us in the Gay-to-Phoenix scenario...

TRADE 1

Wizards trade: Ariza and Crawford
Wolves trade: Ridnour and Barea

Why? Gives Minny help on the wings and gets them out of the last year of Barea's deal. Gives us a better backup for Wall and another trade chip.

TRADE 2

Wizards trade: Barea and 2013 2nd
Wizards receive: Wes Johnson and LAL 2015 first

Suns trade: Dudley, S.Brown, Johnson, and LAL 2015 first
Suns receive: Gay and WAS 2013 2nd

Grizzlies trade: Rudy Gay
Grizzlies receive: Barea, Dudley, and S. Brown

Why? Gives Memphis the depth and cap relief they need, sends a big name to Phoenix, and helps Washington's cap plus adds a future pick. Big question is would the Suns be willing to add that much salary.

[nate33]

No reason to deal Okafor now. He's been steadily playing better as the season has progressed and will have a lot more value this summer as an expiring player, who is more than just dead weight.

This is not true. Players have value either because they are good, OR because they are an expiring contract. The two together aren't cumulative. Basically, players who aren't worth their salary become more valuable as their contract becomes shorter. Players who are worth their salary become less valuable as their contract becomes shorter.

The reason to deal him now is specifically BECAUSE he is playing better. That's why teams might want him. He may actually be worth his current salary.

[hands11]

No reason to deal Okafor now. He's been steadily playing better as the season has progressed and will have a lot more value this summer as an expiring player, who is more than just dead weight.

This is not true. Players have value either because they are good, OR because they are an expiring contract. The two together aren't cumulative. Basically, players who aren't worth their salary become more valuable as their contract becomes shorter. Players who are worth their salary become less valuable as their contract becomes shorter.

The reason to deal him now is specifically BECAUSE he is playing better. That's why teams might want him. He may actually be worth his current salary.

I don't see why that would be true. I see how both can easily be true. Not an either/or.

He is more valuable playing better in both situations. His contract getting shorter means its easier to him dump sooner if he starts to sink later or you get the inside track on signing him to a more resonable contract once his expires if he is staying productive. Not like he is going to play better enough to get extended at 10M a year again. I would guess the team that signs him next gets him for around 5-6M/year over 2-3 years. That might be something they want.

Right now the Wizard hold these options. They can cash in now or let it play out. And until I get to see what they look like all together, I wouldn't cash out on Okafor just yet.

My guess is that they are not making a move now. They want to see what everything they assembled looks like together. That could raise his value more or they might like it and build from what they have.