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No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

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No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby JWizmentality on Mon Jan 14, 2013 9:22 pm

I say 40-40.


































.....he he. I wrote p*ssy in the title. :D
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby closg00 on Mon Jan 14, 2013 9:26 pm

The Denver and Clipper games will be good barometers. The Bulls are blowing-out ATL now and Orlando is up and down.
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby MikeTheKid on Mon Jan 14, 2013 9:32 pm

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MikeTheKid wrote:No disrespect to Beal when I say this but Im starting to wish our 09-12 drafts should've went Curry, DMC, Klay/Kawhi, Drummond.

Dammit why are we cursed with EG!!!
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby Benjammin on Mon Jan 14, 2013 9:34 pm

November 3rd....2013.
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby JWizmentality on Mon Jan 14, 2013 9:41 pm

Benjammin wrote:November 3rd....2013.


Party poopers. :(
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby miller31time on Mon Jan 14, 2013 9:49 pm

Looks like I'm gonna have to break out the ol' "lock and ban".
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby nuposse04 on Mon Jan 14, 2013 10:04 pm

they'd have to go 34-13.....That would be like nearly as miraculous as the Redskins run to end the season...I'd love to see it...but I'mma go with....YES
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby Chocolate City Jordanaire on Mon Jan 14, 2013 10:12 pm

nuposse04 wrote:they'd have to go 34-13.....That would be like nearly as miraculous as the Redskins run to end the season...I'd love to see it...but I'mma go with....YES


Beat OKC. Beat ATL by 10. Favored by 2 but beat ORL by 29….

Very motivated team that really did a good job not bailing out on each other during the worst of times...

Last season they won their last 6 and 8 of their last 10. If they can win 5 of their next 7, then they have to go 29-11. If they win 15 of their next 20, they would need to finish 19-8. Very, very, highly unlikely this happens--unless this win streak can go on another 4-5 games.
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby Ed Wood on Mon Jan 14, 2013 10:28 pm

So would a 0-0 record technically be disqualified because of the whole dividing-by-zero issue? Are we talking an even record in a strictly mathematical way or is this more of a metaphysical state? Please these are all very important issues that must be resolved prior to my reply.
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby AFM on Mon Jan 14, 2013 11:11 pm

28-28
RIP Big Balls. Goodnight sweet prince...
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby JWizmentality on Mon Jan 14, 2013 11:23 pm

miller31time wrote:Looks like I'm gonna have to break out the ol' "lock and ban".


B*itch I dare ya!
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby pineappleheadindc on Mon Jan 14, 2013 11:35 pm

miller31time wrote:Looks like I'm gonna have to break out the ol' "lock and ban".



LOL!

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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby tontoz on Mon Jan 14, 2013 11:41 pm

AFM wrote:28-28



I'll have what he's having.
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby AFM on Mon Jan 14, 2013 11:45 pm

We'll see who has the last laugh tontoz.
RIP Big Balls. Goodnight sweet prince...
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Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Postby Nivek on Tue Jan 15, 2013 9:17 am

In his book, Dean Oliver addressed the issue of winning streaks. He makes the point that a team that wins 70% of its games should have 3-game win streaks about 35% of the time. A team that wins 30% of its games -- about 3% of the time.

Dean Oliver wrote:That does not mean your local .300 team will rarely win three straight games. "Three percent of the time" means that the .300 team will win 3 straight for 3 percent of the (independent) three-game sequences in a season. Given that an NBA season is 82 games long, there are a lot of three-game sequences. ... In fact...there is actually about a 90% chance that a .300 team will win three in a row sometime in the season.


So, what does the Wizards 3-game winning streak mean? They're a .200 team at the moment. According to the able on page 70 of Dean's book, a .200 team has a 47% chance of winning three straight at some point during an 82-game schedule. Their odds are lower in a shorter season. Dean also has a table for a 32-game season, which is close enough to 35 for this. A .200 team has about a 21% chance of winning 3 in a row during a 32-game season; a .300 team has a 56% chance.

Getting to ~.300 is a reasonable goal for the Wizards this season. They'd have to go 18-29 the rest of the way to get there. They'd finish the season with 24-25 wins.
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