yardbarker

NCAA Wiretap Headlines

No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?

Moderators: miller31time, pineappleheadindc, LyricalRico, nate33, WizStorm

Post#1 No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 9:22 pm by JWizmentality

I say 40-40.


































.....he he. I wrote p*ssy in the title. :D
JWizmentality



General Manager
User avatar
Posts: 9,247
And1: 1,126
Joined: Nov 21, 2004
Location: Cosmic Totality
Top

Post#2 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 9:26 pm by closg00

The Denver and Clipper games will be good barometers. The Bulls are blowing-out ATL now and Orlando is up and down.
Guys on a message board could do a better job managing the Wizards than Ernie Grunfeld.
closg00
RealGM
User avatar
Posts: 15,011
And1: 242
Joined: Nov 21, 2004
Top

Post#3 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 9:32 pm by MikeTheKid

Image
Image

All Thanks to Turbo_Zone for the sig
MikeTheKid





Analyst
User avatar
Posts: 3,223
And1: 296
Joined: Jan 24, 2012
Location: Upper Marlboro, MD
Top

Post#4 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 9:34 pm by Benjammin

November 3rd....2013.
Benjammin
Assistant Coach
Posts: 4,391
And1: 36
Joined: Jan 17, 2003
Location: Richmond VA
Top

Post#5 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 9:41 pm by JWizmentality

Benjammin wrote:November 3rd....2013.


Party poopers. :(
JWizmentality



General Manager
User avatar
Posts: 9,247
And1: 1,126
Joined: Nov 21, 2004
Location: Cosmic Totality
Top

Post#6 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 9:49 pm by miller31time

Looks like I'm gonna have to break out the ol' "lock and ban".
miller31time



Global Mod
Global Mod
User avatar
Posts: 25,521
And1: 473
Joined: Jul 25, 2005
Location: Baltimore, MD
Top

Post#7 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 10:04 pm by nuposse04

they'd have to go 34-13.....That would be like nearly as miraculous as the Redskins run to end the season...I'd love to see it...but I'mma go with....YES
nuposse04


Head Coach
Posts: 7,218
And1: 1,258
Joined: Jul 19, 2004
Location: on a rock
Top

Post#8 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 10:12 pm by Chocolate City Jordanaire

nuposse04 wrote:they'd have to go 34-13.....That would be like nearly as miraculous as the Redskins run to end the season...I'd love to see it...but I'mma go with....YES


Beat OKC. Beat ATL by 10. Favored by 2 but beat ORL by 29….

Very motivated team that really did a good job not bailing out on each other during the worst of times...

Last season they won their last 6 and 8 of their last 10. If they can win 5 of their next 7, then they have to go 29-11. If they win 15 of their next 20, they would need to finish 19-8. Very, very, highly unlikely this happens--unless this win streak can go on another 4-5 games.
Washington Wizards are not THAT good yet.
Chocolate City Jordanaire
RealGM
User avatar
Posts: 32,072
And1: 656
Joined: Aug 4, 2001
Location: Ft. Washington, MD/Mililani, HI
Top

Post#9 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 10:28 pm by Ed Wood

So would a 0-0 record technically be disqualified because of the whole dividing-by-zero issue? Are we talking an even record in a strictly mathematical way or is this more of a metaphysical state? Please these are all very important issues that must be resolved prior to my reply.
Ed Wood


Sixth Man
User avatar
Posts: 1,549
And1: 26
Joined: Feb 11, 2005
Location: Well we have a big star: Rashard Lewis.
Top

Post#10 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 11:11 pm by AFM

28-28
WizarDynasty wrote:Ted is trying to transform you from a bullet .....piece of metal shot from a gin into a wizard....wise.... wisest fans in the .ba. board has a long way to go but ee have wise wizard posters to guide into Ted the savior rescue operation.
AFM
Starter
User avatar
Posts: 2,321
And1: 834
Joined: May 25, 2012
Top

Post#11 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 11:23 pm by JWizmentality

miller31time wrote:Looks like I'm gonna have to break out the ol' "lock and ban".


B*itch I dare ya!
Image
JWizmentality



General Manager
User avatar
Posts: 9,247
And1: 1,126
Joined: Nov 21, 2004
Location: Cosmic Totality
Top

Post#12 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 11:35 pm by pineappleheadindc

miller31time wrote:Looks like I'm gonna have to break out the ol' "lock and ban".



LOL!

Nothing ever changes.
"Wheresoever you go, go with all your heart."
--Confucius

"Try not. Do or do not. There is no try"
- Yoda
pineappleheadindc




Global Mod
Global Mod
User avatar
Posts: 15,401
And1: 821
Joined: Dec 16, 2001
Location: Cabin John, MD
Top

Post#13 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 11:41 pm by tontoz

AFM wrote:28-28



I'll have what he's having.
tontoz
RealGM
User avatar
Posts: 13,255
And1: 595
Joined: Apr 10, 2005
Top

Post#14 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Mon Jan 14, 2013 11:45 pm by AFM

We'll see who has the last laugh tontoz.
WizarDynasty wrote:Ted is trying to transform you from a bullet .....piece of metal shot from a gin into a wizard....wise.... wisest fans in the .ba. board has a long way to go but ee have wise wizard posters to guide into Ted the savior rescue operation.
AFM
Starter
User avatar
Posts: 2,321
And1: 834
Joined: May 25, 2012
Top

Post#15 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Tue Jan 15, 2013 9:17 am by Nivek

In his book, Dean Oliver addressed the issue of winning streaks. He makes the point that a team that wins 70% of its games should have 3-game win streaks about 35% of the time. A team that wins 30% of its games -- about 3% of the time.

Dean Oliver wrote:That does not mean your local .300 team will rarely win three straight games. "Three percent of the time" means that the .300 team will win 3 straight for 3 percent of the (independent) three-game sequences in a season. Given that an NBA season is 82 games long, there are a lot of three-game sequences. ... In fact...there is actually about a 90% chance that a .300 team will win three in a row sometime in the season.


So, what does the Wizards 3-game winning streak mean? They're a .200 team at the moment. According to the able on page 70 of Dean's book, a .200 team has a 47% chance of winning three straight at some point during an 82-game schedule. Their odds are lower in a shorter season. Dean also has a table for a 32-game season, which is close enough to 35 for this. A .200 team has about a 21% chance of winning 3 in a row during a 32-game season; a .300 team has a 56% chance.

Getting to ~.300 is a reasonable goal for the Wizards this season. They'd have to go 18-29 the rest of the way to get there. They'd finish the season with 24-25 wins.
"A lot of what we call talent is the desire to practice."
-- Malcolm Gladwell

Check out my blog about the Wizards, movies, writing, music, TV, sports, and whatever else comes to mind.
Nivek





Head Coach
User avatar
Posts: 7,038
And1: 764
Joined: Sep 29, 2010
Top

Post#16 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Tue Jan 15, 2013 9:41 am by Ruzious

I'm still sticking with my preseason prediction of exactly 30.5 wins.
"Morey plays three dimensional chess. EFG plays tic-tac-toe and can't seem to get the hang of it."
- Benjamin
Ruzious
RealGM
Posts: 25,892
And1: 536
Joined: Jul 16, 2001
Top

Post#17 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Tue Jan 15, 2013 10:13 am by Zonkerbl

To get to .500, they'd have to win 41 games. They have 7 wins so far, and have played 35, so they have 47 games left to play. So, to win 41 games, they need to win 34 of the next 47 games (34-13). That's a win percentage of 72.3%, giving them a record equivalent to San Antonio's, about a 59 win pace. A 50 win team has a win percentage of 61%.

If they go on a tear and win their next seven games for a ten game winning streak, they will have 14 wins with 40 games left to win another 27, so they would need to go 27-13 over that stretch. That's a .675 probability of winning each game, about equal to Miami which has gone 24-12 so far, a 55 win pace.

If they had a 61% win percentage over the next 47 games, they would win 29 games and finish up with 36 wins. After a 7 game win streak, a 61% win percentage over the next 40 games would give them another 24 wins, good for a total of 38 wins.

So... does this team look like it could win at a 59 win pace for 47 games?
Healthy Wall/Price
Beal/Crawford
Webster/Ariza
Healthy Nene/Ves/Booker
Okafor/Seraphin

I would have Ves be the first PF off the bench so he can play with Wall. Seraphin would have to get his minutes backing up Okafor at C.

I think Vesely could maintain the kind of production he had yesterday, and Okafor. Beal as well. Price is the only one playing at an unsustainable level right now, and that production should be replaced by Wall's as his minutes go up. So I think this team will do well. I think a 50 game pace is not too optimistic, so most likely we'll end up with something like 36 wins. If we have as much good luck to end the season as we had bad luck to start it, we might squeak out a lucky 40 wins. Not terribly likely though.
Comparing Rose to Wall is like asking which is a more impressive cat: A cheetah or a wolf? Dude, Wall ain’t no damn cat!
Zonkerbl




Forum Mod
Forum Mod
Posts: 3,623
And1: 248
Joined: Mar 24, 2010
Top

Post#18 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Tue Jan 15, 2013 10:17 am by Induveca

We will lose 4 in a row soon enough and all this nonsense, sadly, will be forgotten.
Induveca


Lead Assistant
User avatar
Posts: 5,711
And1: 111
Joined: Dec 1, 2004
Top

Post#19 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Tue Jan 15, 2013 10:35 am by tontoz

Ruzious wrote:I'm still sticking with my preseason prediction of exactly 30.5 wins.



I can say with confidence they won't win 30.5 games lol.

Seriously though my prediction of 35 wins seems like a spec in the distance. Having a strong defense allows you to win even when your offense is off. But this offense has been soooo bad.....
tontoz
RealGM
User avatar
Posts: 13,255
And1: 595
Joined: Apr 10, 2005
Top

Post#20 Re: No Pussyfooting! When do we hit .500?
Tue Jan 15, 2013 10:52 am by Higga

Image
Eric Maynor is the worst basketball player I've ever seen.
Higga
Analyst
User avatar
Posts: 3,299
And1: 344
Joined: Jan 29, 2007
Location: Tyson's Corner, VA
Top

Next

Return to Washington Wizards


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users