At a point very late in the season,
Griffin's per-40 pace adjusted averages were 26 points and 16 rebounds. He played enough minutes to average 14 rebounds a game in college.
Given over 25 minutes, I predict Griffin would EASILY average 9 rebounds (like Antawn does playing 38 to 40 minutes nightly). I say Griffin's a better rebounder than a good-rebounding Jamison.
FWIW, DeJuan
Blair's per-40 minute averages in the NCAA were 24 points and 19 rebounds.
He averaged over 9 offensive rebounds per 40 minutes.
I think Blair is a better rebounder than Kevin Love, the best offensive rebounder in NBA. I think he's better than Danny Fortson, one of the great NBA rebounders. I think, like Glenn Davis, that Blair will come into the league and defy those who only go by the eye test and who predict he'll struggle in the NBA.
By what I can tell, tangible stats and intangibles like his teams winning at every level to include HS, AAU, youth international play, NCAAs--Blair is going to be a great, great player. Perhaps better than Boozer
or Millsap.
That, or he'll make me look bad by getting Sweetney-esque fat!
What do these two have to do with Jamison: I'd take either as potential upgrades over a good NBA player, Jamison. Blair can't defend the pick and roll well, but he gets a lot of steals, is a wall to get around in half court, and could actually benefit going to the NBA where he will get one additional foul and more leeway on contact than he did in the NCAA. After watching Big Baby Davis, I see a role for Blair at PF or C in the NBA. His defense is very underrated as is his ability to convert putbacks.
I think the whole Griffin debate vs Antawn reminds me of when Charles Barkley came to the Sixers team that had Moses and (an older than AJ in terms of age and ability) Doctor J. Those guys couldn't run, jump, and dunk like Barkley. Dr J, like Jamison, wasn't a bull of a physical player. Barkley always was the type to try to rip the rim off. Griffin can do things Jamison never could and IMO will be a better basketball player than Antawn. I remember feeling astonished that Barkley, a fat guy from Auburn, was better than an all time NBA great pretty much right away.
I think Griffin might be better on day 1 than Jamison, and that's no knock on Jamison.
Another comparison: Rookie Tim Duncan came into the NBA and worked
with David Robinson and they won it all.
If the Wizards luck out and draft Griffin I would like them to start him with Jamison over Butler at SF, because Blake's a good passer and Jamison would be open all day long. Antawn's a better rebounder at SF and he can post up better at SF than Caron. (This past season Jamison owned his matchups at SF far better than Caron did.) In my scenario Caron would become the Wizards Ginobili -on the court at the end of the games and would still average near 20 ppg and 35-38 minutes a game.
What a great luxury to have!
Bye bye Beal.