Post#6 » by MJG » Mon Sep 28, 2009 4:49 pm
I think that is a fine ranking. Last year, the 15th best team went .500, and that's a pretty realistic floor for us. So, if someone doesn't really love our team, but still thinks we'll be relatively healthy and back to our usual form, that's about where they should put us.
And really, now that I look at it, I see the 13th best team last year won 46 games, and that's probably a fairly solid general prediction for us, so being 15th really isn't that big of a drop from there. I'd say if you didn't want to go out on a limb either way, 12-13th is a good spot for us.
If you do love our team though, then that's when you can start talking 9-10 range. That's basically saying 50-52 wins, assuming the league holds true to the past couple of years. These are probably the same guys that will name us as their preseason dark horse or team to watch. There likely won't be a ton of them, but even just a few is better than in years past, so no complaining about that.