Master Ze wrote:Daddy 801 wrote:Master Ze wrote:People keep acting like the 76ers got a great rebuild.
They started their little fire sale in 2013. It's 2017 now and they're still a lottery team.
Granted they have Simmons and more picks on the way, but before we praise Hinkie let's see how long it takes them to win a playoff series... Rebuilds shouldn't last more than 3 seasons imo.
Why? Why a timeline? Why be mediocre for decades and get mad a rebuild takes more than three years?
Hinkie is amazing. He deserves all the credit.
What credit does he deserve? They have young promising players but almost 5 years since the fire sale they're still not anywhere close to the playoffs. Are they making the playoffs next season? I don't think so.
They've drafted Embiid, Noel, and Simmons, all of whom have had serious injuries that could persist in the long run.
Again, let's celebrate and praise Hinkie because the 76ers are "gonna" be good, they're not good yet though.
Noel had an ACL injury which was major but he has fully recovered and now played 3 more years without a recurrence and seems to have lost nothing athletically afterwards. The Plica surgery this year was very minor and was called elective by the Sixers.
Simmons seems to have recovered just fine from his Jones fracture. He is running, cutting, jumping and doing box jumps. Why the Sixers are holding him out is unclear but he looks healthy and has one more doc visit and scan this week.
Embiid is the big question mark but it has nothing to do with his foot. His foot is 100% healed and has caused no problems since the operation which occurred about 18 months ago now. The big concern with Embiid's health is that he plays too reckless and I think the Sixers are working with him on that. He's moving around on the court well and should be back soon after his bone bruise.
Now in terms of your timeline, Hinkie was GM for only 3 years. It hasn't even been 4 years yet since he was originally hired so your timeline is a bit off there. Furthermore, Hinkie said it would take 5 years from the very beginning. The team put up a 10-3 record with Embiid healthy. Heck the team has been 14-10 since Dec 30th so they haven't even been bad for awhile now. So you ask are we making the playoffs next year - the answer is we are probably making the playoffs. I think the question for most 76ers fans is if Embiid returns could we make the playoffs this year but that becomes a bit less likely with each passing week.
Here's a stat for you to ponder. When Embiid is playing and Okafor is not playing the team has a Net Rating of +7.5 points per 100 possessions. That level of success is consistent with a 60 win team. So if Embiid plays 32 mins and we play neutral ball without him on the court that'd give the team a net rating of +5 with an expected win output of 54 games. Well let's say we go by Noel's current stats at -6 net rating playing 20 mpg. That'd give the team a net rating of +3 and an expected win output of 49 wins.
Now that's our current bare bones team full of young guys who are still on the upswing of their careers (TJ, Dario, TLC, Noel, Holmes) and Ben Simmons who we have yet to see. We also have about $65M in cap space that we can spend. We have a lottery pick if we don't make the playoffs with Sac swap rights as well as the Lakers top 3 protected pick.
So the situation is not so bleak here in Philly. We're going to be just fine thanks to our fallen captain, Sam Hinkie.
A "few promising prospects but that's about it".
