The-Power wrote:Poor game from him. He missed good looks he usually makes but this happens, nothing to blame him for because he works as usual for his looks and keeps getting them. I can also accept a couple of turnovers since the way we are playing is very risky and based on the potential reward, which works quite well I'd say. The decrease in assist numbers has to do with recent changes in the Curry/Green PnR which is extremely effective this way and our offense through the bigs has been a trademark the last year as well, this trend simply continues.
But he has to stop being sloppy, especially with the simple passes. Damn, the whole league watches and scouts us. You can't expect to have an easy pass to Green in every PnR-situation or an easy pass out to Klay at the 3pt-line. Sometimes it looks like Curry is already one step ahead of the actual play, as if he has something in mind for the situation after the pass was made and therefore forgets to look out for players playing the passing lanes. But you could see how frustrated he has been with this kind of sloppy play (and with some of the misses he expects him to make more often) lately and I'm convinced he turns this around pretty soon. He's the one most bothered by it.
Another topic: Curry's shot-chart
I felt like he picked his spots differently or, another way to look at it, has improved his ability to get his shots up where he wants to. We can see (data from before last night's game but it shouldn't really matter) that the increase of his shot-attempts stems not from midrange or long-2's. Player's increasing their volume are likely to increase their 2pt-jumper attempts because these are usually the easiest shots to get additionally. However, when we look at Curry we see that his % of FGA from 10-16ft is at 6.4 (career: 9.1) and - this is the incredible stat - his % of FGA from 16-<3P is at 11.7 (career: 24.3 (!)). This is a trend we could already witness last year and he keeps continuing it. The % of FGA from 3 is way up as it was to be expected (11.9% above career-average), and so is the proportion of shots from 3-10ft (career-high as well, 4% above career-average with 13.9%) which should be mostly related to his improved floaters he likes to use more now.
The bottom line is: regardless of planned or not, with the different shot selection he improves his efficiency by reducing the most inefficient shots for him (or increasing the high efficient ones, depending on how you want to look at it). This is all the more impressive considering he actually takes more shots. It was talked about that Curry might have extended his range (read it as: he's even more comfortable and efficient pulling up from deeper spots on the court) by Jim Barnett (Warriors' long-time color commentator), that he improved his ball-handling even further (which complies with the eye-test) and that he, as I see it, also worked on his floaters. He also looks a little quicker and stronger, but this is very hard to verify and might be an incorrect perception. Anyway, all of this should help him to maximize the most efficient shots and so far it seems to be true. I'll definitely keep an eye on it over the course of the season. Thoughts?
Im sure that him being "ahead of the plays" is the steve nash effect.
In terms of him shooting, I would like to add another point. almost nothing he is doing is unsustainable.
from 0-3 feet, he is shooting 73%. last year he shot 69%, so its a reasonable jump. Lets say he shoots 71%
from 3-10 feet is probably the only thing destined to go down. he is shooting 59%, compared to 46% from last year.
But he obviously has improved from there, lets say he shoots 48.5% from there
He is shooting 50% from 10-16 feet. shot 51.5% from there last year, so lets say he shoots 50% from there this year
he is shooting 48.5% from 16ft<x<3pnt line. shot 39.4% from there last year. BUT suprisingly, last year was an outlier from there. he generally shoots around 47% from there, so him shooting 48% from there is totally reasonable. lets put him at 47.5%
45% from 3. nothing different.
So since there really is no reason for his volume to go down, lets plug that in.
that puts him at roughly 5.56 2 pointers a game.
and 5.1 3 pointers made a game. lets reduce that to 4.5, for no real reason.
so 5.56 x 2 = 11.12
4.5 x 2 = 13.5
24.62 points.
add in free throws
and he makes 6.4 a game.
he is drawing contact more... BUT for absolutely no reason, lets reduce his free throws to 4 made a game. in reality, he would be making at least 5 a game, but whatever, to make it more fair.
That makes him average 28.5 ppg. keep in mind, I absolutely bothced his freethrows.
BTW, just adjusting for percentages (as in, not botching his 3 poitners)
he averages his 28.5 points on
50.1%-45%-obv90%+, giving him that elusive 50-40-90.
keep in mind, he averaged 30+ without me adjusting his free throws at all, and there really is no reason to adjust them.
also, he does this in about 35 minutes.
just sayin, does anyone realize he had 11 rebounds against the clippers? woefully underrated rebounding poing guard. generally some of his rebounds would have gone out of bounds otherwise, or to another player.
so at this point, we have him averaging
28ppg on 50-40-90
5.6 assists a game
5.3 rebounds a game.
3.9 turnovers, but that should go down
in 35.2 minutes
And we can say that he has been sloppy. how ridiculous is that?
On a sidenote, do you think his assists will go up or down? Draymond has gotten more of a passing role, but it almost feels like a shame.
Draymond is woefully underrated in this board imo.
