Dannyboy36 wrote:I'm pretty bad at the salary cap stuff, but even if Hayward doesn't put us over the hump to beating the Cavs or GS, couldn't he become our #3 star for the NEXT run after Horford has declined and will be soon to be off the books? There are so many variables it's so hard to predict what will happen but I wondered if this could be a silver lining as Hayward may be hitting his prime in 3 years if he stays healthy and keeps improving. Just a thought.
IMHO players best years are usually in their 20's and mid 20's. In 3 years, Hayward will be nearly 30 and most players have begun a decline by that time. Sure some examples of players getting better and having career years at 30+ but there are simply more examples of players being much worse.
Horford will be on the books until the end of the 2019-2020 season so Hayward will have already turned 30 by then. I suspect Hayward will be worse and not better than he is now by the time Horford is off the books completely.
If you sign Hayward, it has to be with the plan of contending for a championship next year and I don't see how he narrows enough of that gap without some blockbuster moves at the same time. If the Celtics are trying to build around a hopefully developing Jaylen Brown and the following 2 Nets picks, they actually have to start shedding some of their aging players and replace them with players under the age of 25. Hayward is almost 27 right now so he is too old for that strategy.
So right now, Ainge is somewhat boxed in with limited options if he wants to win a title anytime soon while not be relying upon massive luck like injuries to both Cleveland and whoever comes out of the WC. Can he realistically even trade Horford? It really looks terrible to trade a fairly big FA so quickly....and I think Ainge gets that.
If they are trying to go for it, they need to go for it fairly soon since Smart/Bradley/IT all have contracts expiring at the end of next year and all 3 will probably be much more expensive. 2 of the 3 I doubt will be as good on their next contracts. Smart should be at least a little better but other teams will know that so he may be more expensive than his stats suggest.