SmartWentCrazy wrote:DarkAzcura wrote:truth18 wrote:
Curry isn't twice as good as IT?
That's an absurd statement to me but maybe I've been missing something as we normally agree on most basketball takes.
I hate Steph but the dude is **** INCREDIBLE.
This is where my own failings at expressing myself typically fails me and I get into word vomit, but this is more of a long term beef I have with player rankings. I do think the elite get overrated compared to their peers to a large extent.
I don't value defense a ton for point guards who are elite offensively so I usually just take a look at their offensive production unless the guy is completely missing defensive rotations (which IT generally does not).
For me to view Curry to be twice as good I would expect to see a OBPM that is off the charts greater than IT's, but he isn't. I would expect to see scoring production on a per possession basis to be much higher, but it really isn't. I would want to see proof that it takes IT a heck of a lot more usage to get his production than it does for Curry, but it's not signicantly different. There is RPM obviously which does have Curry on multiple levels above IT so I would grant you that one, but I really do not see impact on a level of 100% higher than IT this season. Last season? Most definitely, yes,
Curry was twice as good in 15-16, but not in 16-17. IT has improved a lot this season. If I wanted to put a ratio on it, I'd say Curry was ~20% better this season.
Curry is still the same player as last year, man. He just shares the ball with another top 30 all time guy. If he was on the Celtics with a system built entirely around him, he would put up some absolutely ridiculous numbers.
The thing that made Curry's last season absolutely historic was that he was able to continue to up his 3PA and maintain the same efficiency. This season he dropped to ~41% on similar volumes to 15-16, and it only got worse when Durant sat out. This season he actually shot the 3PT% that one would expect if you upped your attempts from 8 to 11. The fact that his percentages remained the same in 15-16 is what was truly amazing about it.
It can't really be ignored that it would be objectively harder to play with Bradley and Crowder than it would be Klay also. While I do think Curry is the greatest shooter ever, I also think Klay is the second or third greatest shooter ever. It's hard not to take that into account.
truth18 wrote:DarkAzcura wrote:truth18 wrote:So what? Lebron is only 1.5x as good as Hayward too?
Like, I underrated saying he was twice as good was a colloquial statement but it's not an absurd one at all.
Nah the numbers actually do paint Lebron as being 2-3x greater (even larger in Lebron's prime) than Hayward. Same can't really be said for Curry vs IT except for Curry's absolutely ridiculous historic season in 15-16.
Yeah let's discount a whole season
I mean that's what a lot of us are potentially doing with IT, no? Curry had a historic season last year, but it's not his career norm, and he hasn't followed up the season with being anywhere as remotely as good (but he's still elite obviously). At this point we have enough data to say his last season was more of a one off amazing anomaly, like we would with IT if he understandably drops off and becomes more of a 22-24 PPG guy next season.
Stadium5 wrote:DarkAzcura wrote:truth18 wrote:So what? Lebron is only 1.5x as good as Hayward too?
Like, I underrated saying he was twice as good was a colloquial statement but it's not an absurd one at all.
Nah the numbers actually do paint Lebron as being 2-3x greater (even larger in Lebron's prime) than Hayward. Same can't really be said for Curry vs IT except for Curry's absolutely ridiculous historic season in 15-16.
Rather than the 2x "greater" argument. I think better wording would be "valuable". Curry is like quadruple the value of IT. Nobody would be surprised to see IT traded...where as it would rock the NBA if we saw someone trade for Curry. Not to mention the difference in the trade packages that would be offered for Curry vs Isaiah.
Which is really the whole point of this thread. It's not questioning his skill as a player....its whether or not his value @ $25+ million per year is going to be worth it when compared to other players getting paid that money at the same position
I think IT would be worth 25 million a year. Where I start to get uneasy is if its around ~35 million with the designated veteran contract thing or whatever it is called for making the All NBA team. Even then, if cap situation has the Celtics locked up for the next 4-5 years regardless with little to no flexibility anyway, I don't see the harm in considering that much money either. Unless the Celtics just trade everyone into cap space and just drop everyone (Horford, Bradley, Smart, IT), our cap space is going to be locked up through 2020ish regardless of whether we pay IT or not.
We've also seen for the last couple years people compare IT to Jason Terry and Jamal Crawford, and the same posters say Curry is twice as good as IT. If you guys think I am crazy for saying Curry is 20-30% better than IT instead of saying he is 100% using BPM, RPM, etc as building blocks for your argument, why have I not been allowed to do similar things when IT is compared to Terry and Crawford?