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PG: We'll meet again in the finals!

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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#101 » by crkone » Fri Dec 14, 2012 2:53 pm

Redick can significantly shoot better and dishes out the same number of assists per 36 compared to Ellis. He does gamble less than Ellis though and doesn't get as many steals.

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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#102 » by CanadaBucks » Fri Dec 14, 2012 3:04 pm

crkone wrote:Redick can significantly shoot better and dishes out the same number of assists per 36 compared to Ellis. He does gamble less than Ellis though and doesn't get as many steals.



This is a really big if because it hasn't happened enough yet but.......IF Monta ditched the long 2s for more penetration, the team would definitely be better. His driving and dishing creates easy shots for teammates and this is something Redick could not provide. I would love to see Redick here as a back up 2(expiring right?) and have Lamb get a little more seasoning.....
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#103 » by LUKE23 » Fri Dec 14, 2012 3:08 pm

CanadaBucks wrote:
The point is that thinking something doesn't make it correct, it's just opinion.


The problem though, is that there is a lot of evidence to back up the claim that Monta is a negative on both ends. The Bucks have been a ton better when he's been off the floor this year in terms of their overall efficiency. Objectively, the same can me said for Jennings this season as well.

It's just really, really hard to argue Ellis helps our offense when he's that inefficient with that many possessions and we're ranked 20th in offense.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#104 » by vlietinho » Fri Dec 14, 2012 3:20 pm

He did show improvement over the last couple of games though.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#105 » by CanadaBucks » Fri Dec 14, 2012 3:24 pm

LUKE23 wrote:
CanadaBucks wrote:
The point is that thinking something doesn't make it correct, it's just opinion.


The problem though, is that there is a lot of evidence to back up the claim that Monta is a negative on both ends. The Bucks have been a ton better when he's been off the floor this year in terms of their overall efficiency. Objectively, the same can me said for Jennings this season as well.

It's just really, really hard to argue Ellis helps our offense when he's that inefficient with that many possessions and we're ranked 20th in offense.


To be honest I am not a huge fan of Monta but I do think he is somewhat better than garbage and I doubt we would be any better that 11-9 with anyone else playing the majority of minutes at SG other that guys that are unavailable to us. Stats are great but the ony one that really matters is W-L. We are 6-7 vs. teams .500 or better and 5-2 vs. teams below .500. We are a 6-8 seed imo although with the lack of elite teams in the East, anywhere 3-9 is possible. He's getting to the line more per 36 than any year but one in his career. Cut out some of the 3s and long 2s and I think he can be a good player for the Bucks. Would I look to resign him? Probably not but I'm willing to ride out the season on him because I don't think there's someone out there that makes us instantly better.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#106 » by LUKE23 » Fri Dec 14, 2012 3:31 pm

We're being outscored on the season (by 4) and the biggest predictor of W-L is O/D efficiency. I think we could definitely add a lower volume SG who can shoot the 3 (thus scoring at higher efficiency) that defends his man better than Ellis while also giving more shots to guys like Dunleavy, Harris, Ilyasova. In short, I think we could improve on both ends to be honest. This team is playing .500 ball almost across the board with every metric you can find right now. I don't think that is their ceiling given the defensive talent they have in the frontcourt. An efficient 15 ppg scorer that can defend definitely improves the team.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#107 » by CanadaBucks » Fri Dec 14, 2012 3:41 pm

LUKE23 wrote:We're being outscored on the season (by 4) and the biggest predictor of W-L is O/D efficiency. I think we could definitely add a lower volume SG who can shoot the 3 (thus scoring at higher efficiency) that defends his man better than Ellis while also giving more shots to guys like Dunleavy, Harris, Ilyasova. In short, I think we could improve on both ends to be honest. This team is playing .500 ball almost across the board with every metric you can find right now. I don't think that is their ceiling given the defensive talent they have in the frontcourt. An efficient 15 ppg scorer that can defend definitely improves the team.



Okay so you say if J.J. Redick was our SG instead of Monta we would be better than 11-9? I'm not so sure but my optimism is placed on Monta staying down around 17-18 shots and continuing getting to the line. If he goes back to the early season Monta I'll retract what I said.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#108 » by LUKE23 » Fri Dec 14, 2012 3:46 pm

I don't know that we're better or worse than 11-9 as of today but we end up with a better record for the season with Redick over Ellis yes.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#109 » by paulpressey25 » Fri Dec 14, 2012 4:01 pm

vlietinho wrote:He did show improvement over the last couple of games though.


In the 2010-2011 season he was a 45% fg shooter and 36% from 3 and 53.6 TS.

This year he's shooting 39% fg and 22% from 3 with a 48% TS.

The question is can he get back to his 2010-11 numbers? If he did, he'd have a shot at being a lot more meaningful player to the Bucks and people who like aspects of his game would have an easier time defending him.

But Woelfel has been touting his agenda that this is part of a permanent decline. He could be right. Not sure.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#110 » by CanadaBucks » Fri Dec 14, 2012 4:23 pm

But Woelfel has been touting his agenda that this is part of a permanent decline. He could be right. Not sure.


Wonder if Woelfel will ever change his twitter main page.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#111 » by Badgerlander » Fri Dec 14, 2012 4:25 pm

LUKE23 wrote:We're being outscored on the season (by 4) and the biggest predictor of W-L is O/D efficiency. I think we could definitely add a lower volume SG who can shoot the 3 (thus scoring at higher efficiency) that defends his man better than Ellis while also giving more shots to guys like Dunleavy, Harris, Ilyasova. In short, I think we could improve on both ends to be honest. This team is playing .500 ball almost across the board with every metric you can find right now. I don't think that is their ceiling given the defensive talent they have in the frontcourt. An efficient 15 ppg scorer that can defend definitely improves the team.


I really doubt we are trading Ellis and it's looking more and more that he's going to be forced to opt in (or take a paycut to leave), so how do we improve things with Ellis still on the team? Why not try to add a guy like Courtney Lee? He is the second best corner 3 shooter in the league http://courtvisionanalytics.com/the-cor ... f-the-nba/ a good defender, and on a reasonable contract thru age 30. If we can get him for the low price of say Dalembert, why not? Continue to start Ellis (so he is still looked at as a "starter") but send him to the bench early, like we did last season, so he can come in and have more of an offensive advantage against second units and be less of a disadvantage defensively.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#112 » by averageposter » Fri Dec 14, 2012 4:28 pm

I would add this to the equation, for all monta's inefficiencies he does create opportunities for our defensive minded big men. He really seems to be in constant motion and the best set ups come from him, they just do. Replacing him with a Wes Mathews type looks great from the efficiency standpoint obviously and defensively most people you plug in there will help, but I wonder just how effective you can be playing say a Udoh/Sanders/Moute front court if Jennings is the only real distributor on the court. Obviously you can put Ersan in a spot or run Dunleavy in the other, toss Harris in, but each of those thing does put a ceiling on how great the defense can be.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#113 » by CanadaBucks » Fri Dec 14, 2012 4:46 pm

averageposter wrote:I would add this to the equation, for all monta's inefficiencies he does create opportunities for our defensive minded big men. He really seems to be in constant motion and the best set ups come from him, they just do. Replacing him with a Wes Mathews type looks great from the efficiency standpoint obviously and defensively most people you plug in there will help, but I wonder just how effective you can be playing say a Udoh/Sanders/Moute front court if Jennings is the only real distributor on the court. Obviously you can put Ersan in a spot or run Dunleavy in the other, toss Harris in, but each of those thing does put a ceiling on how great the defense can be.

:D :) Good Monta does this^^^^^^^^^ :x :cry: Bad Monta not so much
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#114 » by Run-MKE 311 » Fri Dec 14, 2012 6:41 pm

Ugly game, got that win though.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#115 » by GHOSTofSIKMA » Fri Dec 14, 2012 8:09 pm

LUKE23 wrote:
CanadaBucks wrote:
The point is that thinking something doesn't make it correct, it's just opinion.


The problem though, is that there is a lot of evidence to back up the claim that Monta is a negative on both ends. The Bucks have been a ton better when he's been off the floor this year in terms of their overall efficiency. Objectively, the same can me said for Jennings this season as well.

It's just really, really hard to argue Ellis helps our offense when he's that inefficient with that many possessions and we're ranked 20th in offense.


all that evidence could also be used to show that our bench is better than the benchs they face. we kinda knew that already based on our depth and with the way skiles holds talent on the bench.... our starters in general have dug themselves a hole quite often. the eye test says its the frontcourt, not the backcourt causing most of the problem with how our TEAM production has varied there with the starters in the rotations. i really think both jennings and montas on/offs will improve now that we have udoh/ sanders starting on the team. plus montas ppp the last time it was posted was actually not bad if i recall correctly.

i wish the board would look harder to find the positives he may be producing considering our record at the current time. ive been guilty of the exact same thing with jennings in the past and ive made a concerted effort to quit being a dick about it because...... i dont want to be a dick about it.
if the record goes south..... then i could see why looking harder for positives becomes less of a priority. it would be cool if we wait until then.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#116 » by LUKE23 » Fri Dec 14, 2012 8:39 pm

The benches aren't always matched up against other teams benches. I don't really like that argument.

As far as W-L, couldn't we technically win 43 games but debate we should have won 47, etc.? Of course we can. Just because a team is over .500 right now doesn't mean everything is working. We're still projecting as a 40 win team right now based on our overall play.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#117 » by A Diddy2231 » Fri Dec 14, 2012 8:43 pm

I would rather have Redick..he has made major improvements and could stretch the floor. His defense wouldn't be that much better..but it's all about the floor spacing.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#118 » by averageposter » Fri Dec 14, 2012 9:02 pm

A Diddy2231 wrote:I would rather have Redick..he has made major improvements and could stretch the floor. His defense wouldn't be that much better..but it's all about the floor spacing.


I don't disagree that in general this team lacks some quantity and quality 3pt shooters, or that in general that spacing is necessary concern due to personnel. I do believe that to a certain extent Jennings, Dunleavy and Ersan are respected 3pt shooters at least as far as creating the spacing that 3pt shooters give so there is some depending on what Skiles chooses to do with his lineups.

Assuming then that the strongest defensive lineup Moute/Udoh /Sanders for now paired with at least Jenning as he hasn't really been discussed as "needing to be removed" Leaves a real need for a three point shooter in Monta's position. I guess I can see that.

On the other hand what do the Bucks do with the spacing if Monta is replaced with a whose biggest strength is as a 3pt shooter, the Bucks probably don't have anyone consistently attacking as Monta does when he chooses to, and they sure don't have a post up player. It probably puts an even bigger strain on Jennings again. I guess what I'm saying is, if the whole argument is based on trying to run serious minutes with the strong defensive front court then the player who replaces Monta not only has to be efficient but has to be capable of carrying a fairly big fairly diverse offensive load. Not sure who that guy is yet, at least I'm not totally sold on anybody who has been suggested.
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#119 » by A Diddy2231 » Fri Dec 14, 2012 9:07 pm

I feel like the Bucks need a Detroit Pistons Rip Hamilton type player
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Re: PG: We'll meet again in the finals! 

Post#120 » by CanadaBucks » Fri Dec 14, 2012 9:27 pm

A Diddy2231 wrote:I feel like the Bucks need a Detroit Pistons Rip Hamilton type player



One guy I kind of like(and this would be in addition to Monta not instead of)is Gerald Henderson from Charlotte. Now what I would be willing to part with and what Charlotte would take...I don't know

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