Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays?

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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#21 » by PetroNet » Wed Jan 16, 2013 8:05 pm

less good players
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#22 » by bledredwine » Wed Jan 16, 2013 8:15 pm

HelloBrooklyn wrote:
bledredwine wrote:There's currently a lack of stars.

You can name the top 20 now and they don't compare to the top 20 of the 90s


The other thing is there are stars sitting out with injuries and then many current rising stars like Irving, Lillard, Demarcus, Monroe/Drummond, Curry, etc who will have 20 pt seasons.


Lol what lack of stars?? Don't give in to that bs man. There are plenty of talent in the league.

The reason for the drop because teams are playing with more efficiency. Coaching is also becoming more of a euro style- meaning they play in a system where they will only certain amount of time. There are less hero ball nowadays


When 34 year old Kobe leads the league in scoring, Duncan is still considered one of the league's best and Paul averaging 16 and 10 is considered a top 5 player, you can't tell me there's no shortage in stars.

Go ahead and list the top 20 players in the league, and compare them to the following list:

1. Michael Jordan
2. Shaquille O'Neal
3. Hakeem Olajuwon
4. David Robinson
5. Karl Malone
6. Charles Barkley
7. John Stockton
8. Patrick Ewing
9. Scottie Pippen
10. Grant Hill (prime)
11. Shawn Kemp
12. Alonzo Morning
13. Penny Hardaway
14. Mitch Richmond
15. Chris Mullin
17. Reggie Miller
18. Gary Payton
19. Clyde Drexler
20. Dikembi Mutumbo

Are you seriously going to tell me that we have 7 scorers in the league that are dominant along the lines of Michael Jordan, Shaq, Hakeem, D. Robinson, P. Ewing, Karl Malone, Charles Barkley? Hell, Mullin was a better scorer than everyone but maybe 4 scorers today.

Rajon Rondo and Andrew Bynum are considered top 15 players now. Blake Griffin, Paul Pierce would be in your list.....

Not only do you have the better top two players out of this list, but the next four players are far better than anyone else you could say is 3rd in the league now.

These guys were in the league at the same damned time!

Tim Hardaway was like the 25th best player in the league man. Jason Kidd wasn't even considered near the top in his prime. It's just not the same now. There's a bunch of up and coming stars, but not many stars.... Dirk's not the same guy, Rose/Love are out, Gordon among others are struggling with injuries, Oden didn't last.

But yes, go ahead, list the top 20, and we'll compare side by side. I don't even care if you list currently injured players; but those guys were all playing like iron men at the time.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#23 » by mj234eva » Wed Jan 16, 2013 8:25 pm

Several other factors have already been mentioned.

I'll say this also is a factor: kids only playing one year in college, before that, all those guys that came directly out of HS. Multiple lottery picks been drafted on "potential" or the "projects", that never fully pan out.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#24 » by KyletheDingbat » Wed Jan 16, 2013 8:27 pm

bledredwine wrote:
HelloBrooklyn wrote:
bledredwine wrote:There's currently a lack of stars.

You can name the top 20 now and they don't compare to the top 20 of the 90s


The other thing is there are stars sitting out with injuries and then many current rising stars like Irving, Lillard, Demarcus, Monroe/Drummond, Curry, etc who will have 20 pt seasons.


Lol what lack of stars?? Don't give in to that bs man. There are plenty of talent in the league.

The reason for the drop because teams are playing with more efficiency. Coaching is also becoming more of a euro style- meaning they play in a system where they will only certain amount of time. There are less hero ball nowadays


When 34 year old Kobe leads the league in scoring, Duncan is still considered one of the league's best and Paul averaging 16 and 10 is considered a top 5 player, you can't tell me there's no shortage in stars.

Go ahead and list the top 20 players in the league, and compare them to the following list:

1. Michael Jordan
2. Shaquille O'Neal
3. Hakeem Olajuwon
4. David Robinson
5. Karl Malone
6. Charles Barkley
7. John Stockton
8. Patrick Ewing
9. Scottie Pippen
10. Grant Hill (prime)
11. Shawn Kemp
12. Alonzo Morning
13. Penny Hardaway
14. Mitch Richmond
15. Chris Mullin
17. Reggie Miller
18. Gary Payton
19. Clyde Drexler
20. Dikembi Mutumbo

Rajon Rondo and Andrew Bynum are considered top 15 players now. Blake Griffin, Paul Pierce would be in your list.....

Not only do you have the better top two players out of this list, but the next four players are far better than anyone else you could say is 3rd in the league now.

These guys were in the league at the same damned time!

Tim Hardaway was like the 25th best player in the league man. Jason Kidd wasn't even considered near the top in his prime. It's just not the same now. There's a bunch of up and coming stars, but not many stars.... Dirk's not the same guy, Rose/Love are out, Gordon among others are struggling with injuries, Oden didn't last.

But yes, go ahead, list the top 20, and we'll compare side by side. I don't even care if you list currently injured players; but those guys were all playing like iron men at the time.


To be fair, I think you're drawing from multiple years for that top 20 list. If we did the same for this generation you'd get a fairly comparable list imo.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#25 » by pr0wler » Wed Jan 16, 2013 8:34 pm

If guys like Derrick Rose, Dirk Nowitzki, Kevin Love, Eric Gordon, and Amare Stoudemire were actually healthy this season this thread probably wouldn't have been created.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#26 » by Frank Mulely » Wed Jan 16, 2013 8:37 pm

mj234eva wrote:Several other factors have already been mentioned.

I'll say this also is a factor: kids only playing one year in college, before that, all those guys that came directly out of HS. Multiple lottery picks been drafted on "potential" or the "projects", that never fully pan out.


Yeah I think the overall development pipeline is broken. Basically guys aren't really incentivized to work on their game just optimize for showing enough athletic ability to get drafted.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#27 » by OhMyBosh » Wed Jan 16, 2013 8:52 pm

PetroNet wrote:less good players


Pretty much. In the past, every team pretty much had a go-to scorer with the ability to actually carry a team offensively. Add to the fact that stars only think of teaming up.

There are really only a handful of players in the league that can score seemingly at will. Considering top scorers from 10 years ago are still relevant today (Kobe, Pierce, Duncan, Dirk, etc) just speaks of the lack of talent entering the league.

In 2004-2005, 27 players scored 20+ ppg.
In 2005-2006, 28 players scored 20+ ppg.
In 2006-2007, 31 players scored 20+ ppg.

This year, 10 players score 20+ ppg.

They don't make them like they used to.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#28 » by Krodis » Wed Jan 16, 2013 8:55 pm

So its time for another nostalgic circlejerk thread, is it?

Game changed, quality of players didn't.

EDIT: Regardless, looking at the link OP posted, there really doesn't seem to be much of a discernable trend at all. The bottom half of the Top 10 has dropped a little, as less teams are focusing on getting all their points through one guy regardless of the result, but besides that... not much. And it's not like offense in general has dropped much.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#29 » by Krodis » Wed Jan 16, 2013 9:10 pm

Specifically, looking at two years ago when the numbers matched normal trends, here we go:

#4 Dwyane Wade: Injured, aging
#6 Amare Stoudemire: Injured, and shouldn't have been shooting that much anyway
#7 Derrick Rose: Injured
#8 Monta Ellis: Should never have shot that much to begin with
#9 Kevin Martin: Should never have shot that much to begin with, now a third option
#10 Dirk Nowitzki: Injured

It's not like we've had some great talent exodus since then. A few of the guys are hurt, a few of them stopped chucking at insane rates, and teams haven't been replacing them with Jordan wanna-be chuckers like they did early in the decade.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#30 » by tms386 » Wed Jan 16, 2013 9:22 pm

bledredwine wrote:
HelloBrooklyn wrote:
bledredwine wrote:There's currently a lack of stars.

You can name the top 20 now and they don't compare to the top 20 of the 90s


The other thing is there are stars sitting out with injuries and then many current rising stars like Irving, Lillard, Demarcus, Monroe/Drummond, Curry, etc who will have 20 pt seasons.


Lol what lack of stars?? Don't give in to that bs man. There are plenty of talent in the league.

The reason for the drop because teams are playing with more efficiency. Coaching is also becoming more of a euro style- meaning they play in a system where they will only certain amount of time. There are less hero ball nowadays


When 34 year old Kobe leads the league in scoring, Duncan is still considered one of the league's best and Paul averaging 16 and 10 is considered a top 5 player, you can't tell me there's no shortage in stars.

Go ahead and list the top 20 players in the league, and compare them to the following list:

1. Michael Jordan
2. Shaquille O'Neal
3. Hakeem Olajuwon
4. David Robinson
5. Karl Malone
6. Charles Barkley
7. John Stockton
8. Patrick Ewing
9. Scottie Pippen
10. Grant Hill (prime)
11. Shawn Kemp
12. Alonzo Morning
13. Penny Hardaway
14. Mitch Richmond
15. Chris Mullin
17. Reggie Miller
18. Gary Payton
19. Clyde Drexler
20. Dikembi Mutumbo

Are you seriously going to tell me that we have 7 scorers in the league that are dominant along the lines of Michael Jordan, Shaq, Hakeem, D. Robinson, P. Ewing, Karl Malone, Charles Barkley? Hell, Mullin was a better scorer than everyone but maybe 4 scorers today.

Rajon Rondo and Andrew Bynum are considered top 15 players now. Blake Griffin, Paul Pierce would be in your list.....

Not only do you have the better top two players out of this list, but the next four players are far better than anyone else you could say is 3rd in the league now.

These guys were in the league at the same damned time!

Tim Hardaway was like the 25th best player in the league man. Jason Kidd wasn't even considered near the top in his prime. It's just not the same now. There's a bunch of up and coming stars, but not many stars.... Dirk's not the same guy, Rose/Love are out, Gordon among others are struggling with injuries, Oden didn't last.

But yes, go ahead, list the top 20, and we'll compare side by side. I don't even care if you list currently injured players; but those guys were all playing like iron men at the time.



Nice job assembling players from the early 80's all the way to the mid 90's. If you want to use that great of a time period, "today's" top 20 would look just asgood.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#31 » by TheKingOfVa360 » Wed Jan 16, 2013 10:25 pm

tms386 wrote:
Nice job assembling players from the early 80's all the way to the mid 90's. If you want to use that great of a time period, "today's" top 20 would look just asgood.



He actually didn't do what you're accusing him of but I'm sure you never seen most of those players play. You can easily say that list is for the 94-95 season or 95-96 season it it would be accurate
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#32 » by RutgersBJJ » Wed Jan 16, 2013 10:35 pm

Because all of the good scorers besides James Harden are on teams with other good scorers. Durant + Westbrook, Kobe+Dwight, CP3+Griffin, Wade+Bosh+Lebron.

If those 9 players were on 9 different teams instead of 4 different teams you would have 9 of the 9 above players posting 20+ppg instead of 4 of the 9.

Melo and Harden are the only elite scorers around the league who's scoring output isn't limited by the talent around them and that will probably change for Melo if Amar'e even returns to 70% of what he was in 2010-11.

Even look at the 2nd tier high output scorers.

Lopez, Pierce, Parker, Curry, etc... are all limited because they are on good teams with good talent around them. They don't have to score 30 every night to be in competitive games like someone on a team with less scoring talent like a James Harden has to do.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#33 » by sfernald » Wed Jan 16, 2013 10:39 pm

Kobe must not have got the memo.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#34 » by Doctor MJ » Thu Jan 17, 2013 12:01 am

VC-INJURY wrote:Check out the top 10 year-by-year leaders for scoring average and you will see that in the past few seasons particularly in the 6-10 range, guys are making the top 10 averaging less points than those in previous years.

http://www.basketball-reference.com/lea ... op_10.html

Why do you think this is?


Looking at the data I think you overstate the difference. I think it just totally varies depending on the players available and the decisions teams make. The decrease in pace is also a factor.

That said, team strategies do change. Teams used to be far more prone to try to ride their big man to 20+ points per game. Some of what people lament as "the death of the center" is really "the realization that most centers shouldn't shoot that much".

A specific point here is the trend of 3-point shooting and the gradual realization that does NOT mean stars should shoot a lot of 3's but that a fundamental goal of the offense should be to get open 3's for your role players. Role player scoring is now more important than ever, and we should expect that that means star scoring is now LESS important.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#35 » by TwentyOne920 » Thu Jan 17, 2013 12:37 am

Doctor MJ wrote:
VC-INJURY wrote:Check out the top 10 year-by-year leaders for scoring average and you will see that in the past few seasons particularly in the 6-10 range, guys are making the top 10 averaging less points than those in previous years.

http://www.basketball-reference.com/lea ... op_10.html

Why do you think this is?


Looking at the data I think you overstate the difference. I think it just totally varies depending on the players available and the decisions teams make. The decrease in pace is also a factor.

That said, team strategies do change. Teams used to be far more prone to try to ride their big man to 20+ points per game. Some of what people lament as "the death of the center" is really "the realization that most centers shouldn't shoot that much".

A specific point here is the trend of 3-point shooting and the gradual realization that does NOT mean stars should shoot a lot of 3's but that a fundamental goal of the offense should be to get open 3's for your role players. Role player scoring is now more important than ever, and we should expect that that means star scoring is now LESS important.


Yes... most teams stress that the best shot isn't one attempted by a star player but by the open man. Sure, in the playoffs it's less meaningful, but Robert Horry made an entire career out of being open at the right time.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#36 » by DavidSterned » Thu Jan 17, 2013 1:17 am

It's definitely noticeable this year. Look at the single game season high for points right now, it's only 45. Crazy to think that nobody has even come all that close to scoring 50+ yet this year.
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#37 » by VC-INJURY » Thu Jan 17, 2013 2:22 am

I agree with a lot of the points in here (more superteams, change of pace, different era) etc, but I do think it has to do with the quality of players too.

Like some others have said, Guys who were all-stars a decade ago are still holding it down (KG, Duncan, Kobe, Pierce etc) when they really shouldn't be. Something has definitely changed with today's game.

Look at the leaders from the 2002-2003 season:

Points Per Game
1. Tracy McGrady-ORL 32.1
2. Kobe Bryant-LAL 30.0
3. Allen Iverson-PHI 27.6
4. Shaquille O'Neal-LAL 27.5
5. Paul Pierce-BOS 25.9
6. Dirk Nowitzki-DAL 25.1
7. Tim Duncan-SAS 23.3
8. Chris Webber-SAC 23.0
9. Kevin Garnett-MIN 23.0
10. Ray Allen-TOT 22.5
11. Allan Houston-NYK 22.5
12. Stephon Marbury-PHO 22.3
13. Antawn Jamison-GSW 22.2
14. Jalen Rose-CHI 22.1
15. Jamal Mashburn-NOH 21.6
16. Jerry Stackhouse-WAS 21.5
17. Shawn Marion-PHO 21.2
18. Steve Francis-HOU 21.0
19. Glenn Robinson-ATL 20.8
20. Jermaine O'Neal-IND 20.8

Source: http://www.basketball-reference.com/lea ... aders.html

vs leaders from the 2012-2013 season

Points Per Game
1. Kobe Bryant-LAL 29.9
2. Carmelo Anthony-NYK 29.3
3. Kevin Durant-OKC 28.9
4. James Harden-HOU 26.4
5. LeBron James-MIA 26.0
6. Kyrie Irving-CLE 23.0
7. Russell Westbrook-OKC 22.2
8. LaMarcus Aldridge-POR 20.8
9. Stephen Curry-GSW 20.5
10. David Lee-GSW 19.9
11. Paul Pierce-BOS 19.6
12. Tony Parker-SAS 19.5
13. Jrue Holiday-PHI 19.0
14. Monta Ellis-MIL 18.8
15. Brandon Jennings-MIL 18.3
16. O.J. Mayo-DAL 18.3
17. Damian Lillard-POR 18.2
18. Chris Bosh-MIA 17.9
19. Dwight Howard-LAL 17.8
20. Rudy Gay-MEM 17.8

Source: http://www.basketball-reference.com/lea ... aders.html
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#38 » by tms386 » Thu Jan 17, 2013 10:47 pm

TheKingOfVa360 wrote:
tms386 wrote:
Nice job assembling players from the early 80's all the way to the mid 90's. If you want to use that great of a time period, "today's" top 20 would look just asgood.



He actually didn't do what you're accusing him of but I'm sure you never seen most of those players play. You can easily say that list is for the 94-95 season or 95-96 season it it would be accurate


Right....Draft years of each player. 8 year span here. You just as easily do this today and have a great list. You sure you watched?


1. Michael Jordan-84
2. Shaquille O'Neal-92
3. Hakeem Olajuwon-84
4. David Robinson-89
5. Karl Malone-85
6. Charles Barkley-84
7. John Stockton-84
8. Patrick Ewing-85
9. Scottie Pippen-87
10. Grant Hill (prime)-94
11. Shawn Kemp-89
12. Alonzo Morning-92
13. Penny Hardaway-93
14. Mitch Richmond-88
15. Chris Mullin-85
17. Reggie Miller-87
18. Gary Payton-90
19. Clyde Drexler-83
20. Dikembi Mutumbo-91
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#39 » by TwentyOne920 » Sat Jan 19, 2013 10:39 am

Henry Abbott suggests that Tom Thibodeau's defensive revolution may have had a key:

http://espn.go.com/blog/truehoop/post/_ ... nners-gone

It... makes sense, considering that modern defenses are designed for the star to give up the ball and the best way to break a Thibs-style defense is to pass the ball rapidly to the weak side before the defense recovers. So stars are seeing lowered scoring but more assists, and IIRC the scoring is more evenly distributed.

Rules changes like calling rip-through fouls as regular fouls as opposed to shooting fouls have also neutralized that strategy of getting to the line (IIRC Kevin Martin's scoring dropped when that rule was implemented).
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Re: Are Players Averaging Less PPG Nowadays? 

Post#40 » by branny » Sat Jan 19, 2013 11:51 am

DavidSterned wrote:It's definitely noticeable this year. Look at the single game season high for points right now, it's only 45. Crazy to think that nobody has even come all that close to scoring 50+ yet this year.

KD just got 52 today if it matters :lol:

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