2017 Brewers & MLB Predictions - Unlocking Near the End Of The Season

Iheartfootball · Post #21 » by **Iheartfootball** » Thu Mar 30, 2017 5:09 pm

ReasonablySober wrote:
Kerb Hohl wrote:
ReasonablySober wrote:Am surprised to see folks thinking the Brewers will regress in the win total from last year.

Bullpen is probably worse
Villar and/or Perez could regress
Braun could miss more time than he did last year
No half season of Lucroy
We got a bit lucky last year
We will be experimenting with trying to milk value out of Garza and probably putting good pitchers in AAA or in middle relief for part of the season.

I think what's interesting is the utter lack of confidence anyone seems to have on the existing guys improving. It's like everyone is waiting on regression from Villar, Davies, Perez, Broxton, Guerra, etc. Given the ages of a lot of these guys, you would should reasonably expect improvements.

My reasons for regression:

1) Trading Lucroy, Wil Smith, Jefress, Thornburg. Lose talent and veteran leadership.
2) I feel Guerra is going to regress. The rest of the staff doesn't inspire any confidence for me.
3) Lot of talent but it's young. They need seasoning.

El Duderino · Post #22 » by **El Duderino** » Thu Mar 30, 2017 7:59 pm

ReasonablySober wrote:
Kerb Hohl wrote:
ReasonablySober wrote:Am surprised to see folks thinking the Brewers will regress in the win total from last year.

Bullpen is probably worse
Villar and/or Perez could regress
Braun could miss more time than he did last year
No half season of Lucroy
We got a bit lucky last year
We will be experimenting with trying to milk value out of Garza and probably putting good pitchers in AAA or in middle relief for part of the season.

I think what's interesting is the utter lack of confidence anyone seems to have on the existing guys improving. It's like everyone is waiting on regression from Villar, Davies, Perez, Broxton, Guerra, etc. Given the ages of a lot of these guys, you would should reasonably expect improvements.

I think think the offense will be better than last year, but the pitching staff could end up being one of the worst in the league.

The rotation looks bad and there is a lack of starter prospects in the high minors. Last year the bullpen was an asset, this year it looks shaky at best.

Teams with bad pitching usually finish with bad records. So i see the Brewers winning around 73-75 games.

miamiflashfan · Post #23 » by **miamiflashfan** » Sat Apr 1, 2017 12:00 am

ReasonablySober wrote:
Kerb Hohl wrote:
ReasonablySober wrote:Am surprised to see folks thinking the Brewers will regress in the win total from last year.

Bullpen is probably worse
Villar and/or Perez could regress
Braun could miss more time than he did last year
No half season of Lucroy
We got a bit lucky last year
We will be experimenting with trying to milk value out of Garza and probably putting good pitchers in AAA or in middle relief for part of the season.

I think what's interesting is the utter lack of confidence anyone seems to have on the existing guys improving. It's like everyone is waiting on regression from Villar, Davies, Perez, Broxton, Guerra, etc. Given the ages of a lot of these guys, you would should reasonably expect improvements.

I think an improvement in ability and a decrease in numbers/production aren't mutually exclusive. Villar for example could be a "better baseball player" this year, but I highly doubt he'll post a .373 babip or 12% FB/HR this year.

Sky Bucks · Post #24 » by **Sky Bucks** » Mon Apr 3, 2017 3:50 am

Brewers Predictions
Record: 72-90
Place In Divisional Standings: 4th
Playoffs (Y/N): No
MVP Hitter: Travis Shaw
MVP Pitcher: Taylor Jungmann
Most Pleasant Surprise Position: Shaw
Most Pleasant Surprise Pitcher: Jacob Barnes
Biggest Disappointment (Position/Pitcher): Thames
Are We Sellers or Buyers at the Deadline: Sellers
Is Braun on the roster on 10-1-17?: Yes

MLB Predictions
AL Playoff Teams: Red Sox, Indians, Astros, Blue Jays (WC1), Rangers (WC2)
NL Playoff Teams: Cubs, Dodgers, Nats, Mets (WC1), Cardinals (WC2)
NLCS: Dodgers vs Nats
ALCS: Indians vs Astros
World Series: Nats vs Indians (Indians win)
AL MVP: Manny Machado
NL MVP: Bryce Harper
AL Cy Young: Corey Kluber
NL Cy Young: Clayton Kershaw
AL Rookie of the Year: Andrew Benintendi
NL Rookie of the Year: Tyler Glasnow

Post #25 » by **MickeyDavis** » Mon Apr 3, 2017 11:53 am

73-89.

I'm going to lock this up around first pitch today (1 pm.) and reopen it near the end of the season.

WeekapaugGroove · Post #26 » by **WeekapaugGroove** » Mon Apr 3, 2017 2:46 pm

Brewers Predictions
Record: 76-86
Place In Divisional Standings: 4th
Playoffs (Y/N): No
MVP Hitter: Santana
MVP Pitcher: Davies
Most Pleasant Surprise Position: Pina
Most Pleasant Surprise Pitcher: Peralta
Biggest Disappointment (Position/Pitcher): Villar
Are We Sellers or Buyers at the Deadline: Sellers
Is Braun on the roster on 10-1-17?: No

MLB Predictions
AL Playoff Teams: Red Sox, Indians, Rangers, Astros (WC1), Tigers (WC2)
NL Playoff Teams: Cubs, Dodgers, Nats, Arizona (WC1), Mets (WC2)
NLCS: Dodgers vs Cubs
ALCS: Indians vs Astros
World Series: Dodgers vs Astros - Astros Win
AL MVP: Trout
NL MVP: Bryce Harper
AL Cy Young: Kluber
NL Cy Young: Syndergaard
AL Rookie of the Year: Andrew Benintendi
NL Rookie of the Year: Swanson

Post #27 » by **humanrefutation** » Mon Apr 3, 2017 4:24 pm

Brewers Predictions
Record: 75-87
Place In Divisional Standings: 4th
Playoffs (Y/N): No
MVP Hitter: Broxton
MVP Pitcher: Nelson
Most Pleasant Surprise Position: Santana
Most Pleasant Surprise Pitcher: Nelson
Biggest Disappointment (Position/Pitcher): Villar/Peralta
Are We Sellers or Buyers at the Deadline: Sellers
Is Braun on the roster on 10-1-17?: No

MLB Predictions
AL Playoff Teams: Red Sox, Indians, Astros, Rangers, Mariners.
NL Playoff Teams: Nationals, Cubs, Dodgers, Mets, Cardinals.
NLCS: Dodgers OVER Cubs
ALCS: Red Sox OVER Indians
World Series: Red Sox OVER Dodgers
AL MVP: Mike Trout
NL MVP: Corey Seager
AL Cy Young: Chris Sale
NL Cy Young: Madison Baumgarner
AL Rookie of the Year: Andrew Benintendi
NL Rookie of the Year: Jose De Leon

Turk Nowitzki · Post #28 » by **Turk Nowitzki** » Mon Apr 3, 2017 4:37 pm

Sky Bucks wrote:MVP Hitter: Travis Shaw
MVP Pitcher: Taylor Jungmann
Most Pleasant Surprise Position: Shaw
Most Pleasant Surprise Pitcher: Jacob Barnes

How much money can I wager against any of these coming true?

Sky Bucks · Post #29 » by **Sky Bucks** » Mon Apr 3, 2017 5:33 pm

Turk Nowitzki wrote:
Sky Bucks wrote:MVP Hitter: Travis Shaw
MVP Pitcher: Taylor Jungmann
Most Pleasant Surprise Position: Shaw
Most Pleasant Surprise Pitcher: Jacob Barnes

How much money can I wager against any of these coming true?

Just you wait :wink:

Post #30 » by **MickeyDavis** » Mon Oct 2, 2017 12:14 pm

trwi7 wrote: I'll eat a hat if the Brewers win 85 games.

Turk Nowitzki · Post #31 » by **Turk Nowitzki** » Mon Oct 2, 2017 1:09 pm

Sky Bucks wrote:
Turk Nowitzki wrote:
Sky Bucks wrote:MVP Hitter: Travis Shaw
MVP Pitcher: Taylor Jungmann
Most Pleasant Surprise Position: Shaw
Most Pleasant Surprise Pitcher: Jacob Barnes

How much money can I wager against any of these coming true?

Just you wait

I would've lost some money on Shaw.

Post #32 » by **MickeyDavis** » Mon Oct 2, 2017 1:16 pm

Wisky is the only one who predicted a winning record.

Kerb Hohl · Post #33 » by **Kerb Hohl** » Mon Oct 2, 2017 2:23 pm

Folks, I had some bad predictions.

JimmyTheKid · Post #34 » by **JimmyTheKid** » Mon Oct 2, 2017 2:52 pm

Really fun season. Bummer we couldn't get in. Going forward, it'll be interesting to track how many teams finish 10 games over and miss out on the playoffs. Again, wrong year, wrong league.

Can't wait to see what Stearns has in store for this offseason and beyond.

coolhandluke121 · Post #35 » by **coolhandluke121** » Mon Oct 2, 2017 3:07 pm

I was gonna predict 86 wins but I must have been too busy to post. Dang.

Post #36 » by **ReasonablySober** » Mon Oct 2, 2017 4:30 pm

MVP pitcher Taylor Jungmann really came through for me this year.

Kerb Hohl · Post #37 » by **Kerb Hohl** » Mon Oct 2, 2017 4:48 pm

I haven't looked through all of them, but I have to be basically the only person that called the Rockies making the playoffs. And all of the division winners (those were painfully obvious). I'll take that.

Sky Bucks · Post #38 » by **Sky Bucks** » Mon Oct 2, 2017 5:11 pm

Turk Nowitzki wrote:
Sky Bucks wrote:
Turk Nowitzki wrote:How much money can I wager against any of these coming true?

Just you wait

I would've lost some money on Shaw.

I don't need know if Shaw makes up for the other two abominations though :lol:

trwi7 · Post #39 » by **trwi7** » Mon Oct 2, 2017 7:17 pm

MickeyDavis wrote:
trwi7 wrote: I'll eat a hat if the Brewers win 85 games.

They won 86 though.

Thunder Muscle · Post #40 » by **Thunder Muscle** » Mon Oct 2, 2017 8:39 pm

Haha, I had Wily as pleasant surprise as pitcher. Yikes. I did hit on Santana (pleasant surprise) nd Guerra (disappointment). Braun far from MVP. Davies not MVP pitcher but was okay. Way off on record. Hit in all division winners but missed on all wild card picks. Mediocre effort at best by yours truly.