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Announcement Welcome To The New Statistical Analysis Forum

Last post by KPT1867 « Tue Oct 26, 2021 8:34 pm
Replies: 3 +1
by Howard Mass » Mon Nov 2, 2009 5:51 am

First post

I would like to welcome everyone to our newest forum here on RealGM.

The Statistical Analysis forum will be a place for users to crunch numbers,...

Last post

Awesome! I love this idea

3 +1 Replies

3,613 Views

Last post by KPT1867 View the latest post
Tue Oct 26, 2021 8:34 pm

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Excel paste gives dates when numbers needed

Last post by TigerInYourTank « Thu Jan 15, 2015 6:51 pm
Replies: 13 +1
by molepharmer » Fri Jan 2, 2015 3:29 pm

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I tried searching the web but didn't come up with any answers. Now figuring that if anybody knows the answer, it'd be somebody who routinely deals...

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I want to use the game data from popcornmachine.net because they're the only site I've found that breaks everything down by quarters and by stint.

13 +1 Replies

554 Views

Last post by TigerInYourTank View the latest post
Thu Jan 15, 2015 6:51 pm
Stat to compare players from different leagues

Last post by giberish « Fri Jan 9, 2015 9:10 am
Replies: 3 +1
by larsk » Tue Dec 30, 2014 4:59 pm

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So I'm trying to compare some players from the NBA with some players who play in different European leagues. I tried to compare Goran Dragic to a...

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If you get enough players moving back and forth between the leagues, you can look at their relative per minute numbers and get a rough estimate of...

3 +1 Replies

377 Views

Last post by giberish View the latest post
Fri Jan 9, 2015 9:10 am
Score+: a simple metric to combine volume and efficiency

Last post by Nivek « Fri Jan 2, 2015 9:54 pm
Replies: 8 +1
by Moonbeam » Wed Nov 5, 2014 9:36 am

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Recently I've become interested in coming up with a way to jointly summarize scoring volume and efficiency. It seems that most people consider...

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Does it make sense to use TS% for this? Free throw shooting is included in TS%, but FT% is unlikely to change much when a guy shoots more or fewer...

8 +1 Replies

1,131 Views

Last post by Nivek View the latest post
Fri Jan 2, 2015 9:54 pm
Can someone explain player efficiency rating?

Last post by fancynapkin « Wed Dec 31, 2014 4:27 am
Replies: 3 +1
by larsk » Fri Dec 26, 2014 11:28 am

First post

I have tried to calculate the PER for some players but i'm having a hard time doing so.
In the formula i found is spoken about leaugestats (lg_FT,...

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To be frank, you shouldn't care about it because it is a horrible stat.

3 +1 Replies

432 Views

Last post by fancynapkin View the latest post
Wed Dec 31, 2014 4:27 am
Locked Attention NBA Writers!

Last post by Raptors9000 « Sun Dec 28, 2014 8:33 pm

by Raptors9000 » Sun Dec 28, 2014 8:33 pm

...

0 Replies

241 Views

Last post by Raptors9000 View the latest post
Sun Dec 28, 2014 8:33 pm
Why were Jordan Era Bulls below league avg in FTr?

Last post by E-Balla « Thu Dec 18, 2014 2:26 pm
Replies: 4 +1
by Slava » Wed Dec 10, 2014 9:07 pm

First post

I looked this up after the recent Knicks article suggesting that the triangle offense limits ability to draw free throws and forces low percentage...

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It's worth noting that Phil Jackson's & Michael's interpretation of the Triangle was not the end all be all of the offense, like Tex Winter would...

4 +1 Replies

508 Views

Last post by E-Balla View the latest post
Thu Dec 18, 2014 2:26 pm
Shooting percentage at various distances

Last post by markjay « Tue Dec 16, 2014 4:06 pm
Replies: 4 +1
by markjay » Tue Dec 16, 2014 3:26 am

First post

With 30% of the season done, Kobe's shooting percentage remains dismal. I'm curious whether he is shooting from different places (or at least...

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With 30% of the season done, Kobe's shooting percentage remains dismal. I'm curious whether he is shooting from different places (or at least...

4 +1 Replies

277 Views

Last post by markjay View the latest post
Tue Dec 16, 2014 4:06 pm
howt to find win probability at certain points

Last post by TigerInYourTank « Mon Dec 15, 2014 11:14 pm
Replies: 3 +1
by RSCD3_ » Sat Dec 6, 2014 4:06 am

First post

So ive seen a lot of things off of ESPN's twitter where they talk about what the probability was of a team that pulled off a a great comeback and I...

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If you have the score of lots of games broken down by time (however finely you want ,so by minute or second or whatever) you can work out how many...

3 +1 Replies

314 Views

Last post by TigerInYourTank View the latest post
Mon Dec 15, 2014 11:14 pm
Who gets credit for a tipped ball. Is a strip considered a

Last post by B_BallReasons « Sat Dec 6, 2014 1:04 am

by B_BallReasons » Sat Dec 6, 2014 1:04 am

block?

For example, in the famous Shaq tip to Horry for the game winning 3 against the Kings in the playoffs, did Shaq get credit or was it Horry?...

0 Replies

220 Views

Last post by B_BallReasons View the latest post
Sat Dec 6, 2014 1:04 am
First shot of possession stats?

Last post by azuresou1 « Fri Nov 28, 2014 2:49 pm

by azuresou1 » Fri Nov 28, 2014 2:49 pm

I'm trying to find stats related to the first shot of every possession, independent of the following rebounding battle - e.g. how well a team defends...

0 Replies

230 Views

Last post by azuresou1 View the latest post
Fri Nov 28, 2014 2:49 pm
Econometrics Basketball Paper idea?

Last post by zimpy27 « Wed Nov 26, 2014 12:53 am
Replies: 4 +1
by bballcool34 » Thu Sep 18, 2014 2:51 am

First post

Hey all

I'm in a Econometrics of Sports class right now at college, and being a big basketball fan, I wanted to do a paper topic related to...

Last post

basketball-reference.com should be able to help you

4 +1 Replies

1,033 Views

Last post by zimpy27 View the latest post
Wed Nov 26, 2014 12:53 am
The WOWY Thread

Last post by Chronz « Fri Nov 21, 2014 7:58 pm
Replies: 10 +1
by ElGee » Wed Jul 9, 2014 8:27 pm

First post

I used to have a section for WOWY (or in/out) on blog. Since then I've improved the method, controlling for other key players and when possible, for...

Last post

Cant access team menu on the site, WHERE IS IT?

10 +1 Replies

2,806 Views

Last post by Chronz View the latest post
Fri Nov 21, 2014 7:58 pm
"Quality of Lift" in Relatively Analogous +/- Readouts

Last post by Chicago76 « Thu Nov 20, 2014 1:51 am
Replies: 5 +1
by D Nice » Sat Oct 18, 2014 11:50 pm

First post

So this is more theory, I haven't really seen anyone else but Doc mention it (and last time I did I think was in the Nash/Stockton thread a month or...

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Lift only matters when it comes to Net +/- not RAPM. Thats why KG has the highest Net +/- ever recorded in 2003. RAPM doesn't care about that lift...

5 +1 Replies

544 Views

Last post by Chicago76 View the latest post
Thu Nov 20, 2014 1:51 am
a question about roy hibbert

Last post by sunny « Mon Nov 17, 2014 12:45 am

by sunny » Mon Nov 17, 2014 12:45 am

based on this quote from Zach Lowe
Teams measure all kinds of stuff in sophisticated ways, and then they measure which of that stuff correlates most...

0 Replies

268 Views

Last post by sunny View the latest post
Mon Nov 17, 2014 12:45 am
The Cost Of a Win Share (COWS)

Last post by Moonbeam « Wed Nov 5, 2014 9:13 pm
Replies: 3 +1
by thinktank » Mon Nov 3, 2014 10:21 am

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Hello, sports fans. I wanted to get your thoughts on a stat I created for the purpose of comparing player values in an apples to apples way. The...

Last post

Nice work! Have you tried fitting a model with the logarithm of salary as the explanatory variable?

The residuals for a model like this could be...

3 +1 Replies

420 Views

Last post by Moonbeam View the latest post
Wed Nov 5, 2014 9:13 pm
Basketball-Reference adds BPM, a few questions

Last post by Dr Spaceman « Tue Nov 4, 2014 1:18 am
Replies: 8 +1
by Dr Spaceman » Thu Oct 30, 2014 9:49 pm

First post

Noticed today there are a few new stats in the 'Advanced' section of player pages. Box (+/-), splits for offense and defense, and Value over...

Last post

Saw that basketball-reference actually replaced ORtg and DRtg with BPM in the "Advanced" tab. With this, it went from a "meh"...

8 +1 Replies

796 Views

Last post by Dr Spaceman View the latest post
Tue Nov 4, 2014 1:18 am
Databall

Last post by Fencer reregistered « Sun Nov 2, 2014 10:26 am

by Fencer reregistered » Sun Nov 2, 2014 10:26 am

Wired Magazine on the tracking and visualization of stats based on the cameras teams have installed in their arenas.

0 Replies

217 Views

Last post by Fencer reregistered View the latest post
Sun Nov 2, 2014 10:26 am
MySynergysports No Longer Available

Last post by bondom34 « Tue Oct 28, 2014 10:08 pm
Replies: 6 +1
by tsherkin » Mon Oct 27, 2014 2:51 am

First post

Damnit, that was a really cool site. I'm a little miffed that they are no longer offering the service to non-professional sources, even paid.

Last post

Yeah I was considering too, don't know if I can dedicate the time though.

Does anyone have Synergy's data archived?
Yeah, that's how I felt, and...

6 +1 Replies

784 Views

Last post by bondom34 View the latest post
Tue Oct 28, 2014 10:08 pm
statmuse

Last post by tsherkin « Mon Oct 27, 2014 6:18 am
Replies: 1 +1
by HornetJail » Mon Oct 27, 2014 4:07 am

First post

This site really seems like the next big thing for stat nerds. Watch the video, this is some pretty awesome stuff.

Last post

Clever, Biz, getting your priority access by referring all of us...

1 +1 Replies

317 Views

Last post by tsherkin View the latest post
Mon Oct 27, 2014 6:18 am
Least compelling argument for or against advanced stats?

Last post by turk3d « Sat Oct 18, 2014 10:27 am
Replies: 30 +1
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by Witzig-Okashi » Fri Apr 18, 2014 2:43 pm

First post

While watching the Grantland special on the Bad Boys on ESPN yesterday, I recall hearing Jalen Rose speaking out on the overuse of stats (advanced...

Last post

Great thread. Kudos to all you guys for your contributions.
30 +1 Replies

2,118 Views

Last post by turk3d View the latest post
Sat Oct 18, 2014 10:27 am
Does this stat exist or even make sense?

Last post by fancynapkin « Tue Oct 7, 2014 4:52 pm
Replies: 6 +1
by srbram » Tue Sep 23, 2014 12:29 am

First post

I was thinking of some sort of offensive statistic that more clearly measures efficiency than just TS%. Surely someone with a TS% of .650, a usage...

Last post

Yeah many higher order stats do this. PER, OTR, RPM, etc..

However it isn't always easy drawing conclusions about individual performance from these....

6 +1 Replies

512 Views

Last post by fancynapkin View the latest post
Tue Oct 7, 2014 4:52 pm
Arguing with Lin Fan about regression to the means

Last post by RealRapsFan « Fri Sep 26, 2014 2:12 pm
Replies: 1 +1
by Massdrive1976 » Sun Sep 21, 2014 5:04 pm

First post

I've practically given up on explaining what regression in basketball means to him. He constantly insists the term means deterioration, and that Lin...

Last post

here is a question for you.

What is the 'mean' for a player? The average to date regardless of 'age/experience'?

We know, or atleast expect,...

1 +1 Replies

380 Views

Last post by RealRapsFan View the latest post
Fri Sep 26, 2014 2:12 pm
Attempt to find "stat stuffers"

Last post by Doctor MJ « Fri Sep 12, 2014 12:00 am
Replies: 4 +1
by Jasen777 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 6:15 am

First post

In wake of a recent thread in general discussion, I wondered if there was a statistical way to find stat stuffing players. For a first run I just...

Last post

Like the idea, but yeah, have to use +/- stats on this. Win Shares make Reggie Miller look like a stat stuffer, and he's the absolute opposite of...

4 +1 Replies

556 Views

Last post by Doctor MJ View the latest post
Fri Sep 12, 2014 12:00 am
Free Throw Rate in 1991 Eastern Conference Finals

Last post by NashtyNas « Fri Sep 5, 2014 9:21 am
Replies: 1 +1
by thasloth » Sun Aug 31, 2014 3:21 pm

First post

One of my hobbies is trying to find statistics that might change peoples perspectives on things. My latest project involves free throw rate in series...

Last post

Good thing you admitted to not having watched the games...

1 +1 Replies

359 Views

Last post by NashtyNas View the latest post
Fri Sep 5, 2014 9:21 am
Stats on player individual scoring runs

Last post by bucks22 « Tue Sep 2, 2014 11:36 am
Replies: 2 +1
by RSCD3_ » Thu May 22, 2014 5:40 pm

First post

Is there a website that tracks the amount of times a player goes on a run where they score or score/assist on a consecutive number of plays for their...

Last post

here you are: (since 96-97 season)

2 +1 Replies

531 Views

Last post by bucks22 View the latest post
Tue Sep 2, 2014 11:36 am

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