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Announcement Welcome To The New Statistical Analysis Forum

Last post by KPT1867 « Tue Oct 26, 2021 8:34 pm
Replies: 3 +1
by Howard Mass » Mon Nov 2, 2009 5:51 am

First post

I would like to welcome everyone to our newest forum here on RealGM.

The Statistical Analysis forum will be a place for users to crunch numbers,...

Last post

Awesome! I love this idea

3 +1 Replies

3,613 Views

Last post by KPT1867 View the latest post
Tue Oct 26, 2021 8:34 pm

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True Usage: Re-Imagining Offense W/Multiple Credit Posses

Last post by mj234eva « Tue Aug 12, 2014 5:21 pm

by mj234eva » Tue Aug 12, 2014 5:21 pm

True Usage: Re-Imagining Offense With Multiple Credit Possessions

Some aspects of basketball are a little easier to parse — after all, it’s easy to...

0 Replies

251 Views

Last post by mj234eva View the latest post
Tue Aug 12, 2014 5:21 pm
And1 stats

Last post by bucks22 « Mon Aug 11, 2014 7:56 pm
Replies: 1 +1
by 24istheLAW » Fri Jun 13, 2014 4:29 pm

First post

is there anywhere I can find the number of times a player was fouled while making a 2 point shot, and the number of times a player was fouled while...

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since 96-97 season,

by player:

by team:

1 +1 Replies

482 Views

Last post by bucks22 View the latest post
Mon Aug 11, 2014 7:56 pm
How are team pace and possessions estimated prior to 1974?

Last post by Moonbeam « Wed Aug 6, 2014 5:58 am
Replies: 2 +1
by Moonbeam » Wed Aug 6, 2014 4:02 am

First post

Hi,

I'm interested in team (and league) pace and possession estimates for seasons prior to 1974. Prior to that, key data for estimating pace (such...

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TOV% and OREB% are basically treated as a constant (which increases the error of the pace estimate slightly). Otherwise, the FGA, FTA and opponent...

2 +1 Replies

275 Views

Last post by Moonbeam View the latest post
Wed Aug 6, 2014 5:58 am
how useful is PER?

Last post by CousinOfDeath « Tue Aug 5, 2014 9:45 pm
Replies: 19 +1
by Jimmy76 » Mon Nov 2, 2009 11:49 am

First post

In your view how effective is PER at measuring a players contribution to winning

Last post

New to this forum. Long time poster on the Bulls board and occassionally on the Knicks board. Hi to all!

My two cents on this are:

PER is like...

19 +1 Replies

2,484 Views

Last post by CousinOfDeath View the latest post
Tue Aug 5, 2014 9:45 pm
Weird Stat Question - too many overtimes?

Last post by montestewart « Tue Aug 5, 2014 5:08 pm
Replies: 7 +1
by fluffernutter » Mon May 12, 2014 3:51 pm

First post

I have no idea how to look into this, or even what I am asking precisely.

I'll try to explain. My feeling is that there are WAY too many overtimes...

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This paper asserts an apparent referee bias in favor of teams that are behind in a game, teams that are behind in a playoff series, and home teams....

7 +1 Replies

576 Views

Last post by montestewart View the latest post
Tue Aug 5, 2014 5:08 pm
Team shot charts against?

Last post by Knosh « Sat Jul 19, 2014 9:43 pm
Replies: 2 +1
by ardee » Sat Jul 19, 2014 12:58 pm

First post

Are these available anywhere?

For example, if I wanted to know the FG% that opponents shot against the Miami Heat last season, where could I find...

Last post

Are these available anywhere?

For example, if I wanted to know the FG% that opponents shot against the Miami Heat last season, where could I find...

2 +1 Replies

295 Views

Last post by Knosh View the latest post
Sat Jul 19, 2014 9:43 pm
Where to find stats for transition points per game?

Last post by Jordan23Forever « Fri Jul 18, 2014 12:54 pm
Replies: 2 +1
by Jordan23Forever » Tue Jul 15, 2014 8:20 pm

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As the topic states, I'm interested in finding stats for points scored in transition per game for individual players (not teams as a whole). Any...

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Thanks! That's perfect.

2 +1 Replies

402 Views

Last post by Jordan23Forever View the latest post
Fri Jul 18, 2014 12:54 pm
Statistical Analysis compendium?

Last post by blabla « Thu Jul 17, 2014 9:21 pm
Replies: 1 +1
by ider » Thu Jul 17, 2014 8:28 pm

First post

Hello. I'm new here and i start with a question (this is the main reason im here). Im into NBA for a 5-6 years. About like 3 years ago I started...

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Hello, chinese person

Most people recommend 'Dean Oliver - Basketball on Paper'. There are some terrible preconceptions in there, but it's useful...

1 +1 Replies

316 Views

Last post by blabla View the latest post
Thu Jul 17, 2014 9:21 pm
Study on the effect of 3-for-2 and 2-for-1 FTA rules on TS%

Last post by ceiling raiser « Sat Jul 12, 2014 2:39 am
Replies: 2 +1
by ceiling raiser » Mon Oct 14, 2013 7:28 pm

First post

Background

I've been interested in this for a while, I'm going to post my findings so far here. Here is the relevant thread on APBR (not my post:...

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The biggest change in the free throws was the 72-73 season when free throws were not taken on non shooting fouls.

FTA/FGA went from 32.6% in 1972...

2 +1 Replies

1,745 Views

Last post by ceiling raiser View the latest post
Sat Jul 12, 2014 2:39 am
538 Article: "The Hidden Value of the NBA Steal"

Last post by Chris_SoCal « Mon Jun 23, 2014 7:49 pm
Replies: 39 +1
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by Doctor MJ » Wed Mar 26, 2014 5:49 am

First post

It's great to see 538 relaunched. I've always been a big fan.

Gotta say though, this article on steals leaves me frustrated, and wondering what you...

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Thinking about this some more... while steals are undervalued even the best ball theifs only average around 2 steals per game. So while they make a...
39 +1 Replies

2,456 Views

Last post by Chris_SoCal View the latest post
Mon Jun 23, 2014 7:49 pm
FWIW: SRS Playoff data since 1990

Last post by Chris_SoCal « Mon Jun 23, 2014 2:08 am
Replies: 28 +1
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by sp6r=underrated » Thu Apr 17, 2014 10:39 pm

First post

With the playoffs about to begin, I decided to check out average competition. I used SRS (strength of schedule and margin of victory) as an all in...

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edit: another way to think about it is that if you and I both take the same exact exam, and you get 95% and I get a 90%, it would be absurd for me to...
28 +1 Replies

1,178 Views

Last post by Chris_SoCal View the latest post
Mon Jun 23, 2014 2:08 am
What make NBA teams succeed in 2013-14 season?

Last post by rukawa0421 « Sat Jun 21, 2014 4:06 am

by rukawa0421 » Sat Jun 21, 2014 4:06 am

What make NBA teams succeed in 2013-14 season?

FG% ?
Rebounds ?
Total Contract ?
Average Age ?
None of the above ?

Explore the answer:

It is a...

0 Replies

337 Views

Last post by rukawa0421 View the latest post
Sat Jun 21, 2014 4:06 am
TrueHoop: actual "synergy" metric, anyone know how made?

Last post by Doctor MJ « Mon Jun 2, 2014 2:12 pm
Replies: 7 +1
by Doctor MJ » Fri Apr 18, 2014 1:24 am

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TrueHoop has an article talking about Durant & Westbrook's problematic synergy by actually referring to a synergy stat. And to be clear were not...

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I thought it might just be some variation on J.E.'s player pair data.

The OKC numbers seems to match up with what Abbott was referring to. Too bad...

7 +1 Replies

609 Views

Last post by Doctor MJ View the latest post
Mon Jun 2, 2014 2:12 pm
Midrange game error in calculating shooting efficiency

Last post by colts18 « Fri May 9, 2014 7:40 pm
Replies: 1 +1
by Benuydere » Fri May 9, 2014 6:24 pm

First post

I was wandering around B-R's Play Index+. I've made a query of 2pt jump shots behind 10 ft.

According to this , Michael Jordan attempted 1127...

Last post

Michael Jordan attempted 1127 midrange jumpers and converted %43 of them. And his total field goal attempts are 1527. So %74 of his total field goal...

1 +1 Replies

543 Views

Last post by colts18 View the latest post
Fri May 9, 2014 7:40 pm
Playoff series stats

Last post by SideshowBob « Wed Apr 23, 2014 9:31 pm
Replies: 1 +1
by WhatsMyName » Wed Apr 23, 2014 8:53 pm

First post

I wanted to look at some series stats like "if home team is down 0-2, how many times do they win the series" but have no idea where to look...

Last post

Pretty sure Elias Sports Bureau has this kind of data but I've yet to find it publicly available anywhere outside of the tidbits posted on ESPN...

1 +1 Replies

327 Views

Last post by SideshowBob View the latest post
Wed Apr 23, 2014 9:31 pm
Whats a website to find PER, WS and other adv stats

Last post by colts18 « Wed Apr 16, 2014 8:45 pm
Replies: 5 +1
by RSCD3_ » Tue Apr 15, 2014 9:09 pm

First post

For individual playoff series by players

I can only find the playoff total season averages and wonder what site/s have the information im looking...

Last post

Thank you sir

Sent from my SCH-I800 using RealGM Forums mobile app
You can find the data by series here

5 +1 Replies

373 Views

Last post by colts18 View the latest post
Wed Apr 16, 2014 8:45 pm
RAPM

Last post by mysticbb « Tue Apr 15, 2014 7:29 pm
Replies: 21 +1
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by bbms » Wed Apr 9, 2014 12:13 am

First post

This stat claim to separate a player's +/- from every possible lineup so someone like Perkins can't benefit his RAPM data by playing next to Durant....

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I don't understand the math behind it, so maybe I'm dead wrong, ¿what do you think?

I think you are quite right. Not that it should differ a lot,...
21 +1 Replies

1,170 Views

Last post by mysticbb View the latest post
Tue Apr 15, 2014 7:29 pm
New APM Stats

Last post by mysticbb « Tue Apr 15, 2014 11:23 am
Replies: 7 +1
by bondom34 » Wed Apr 2, 2014 2:47 pm

First post

Anyone else checking these out? Pretty cool stuff, some new ones include adjusted points per shot, adjusted points per shot effect on teammates, Pair...

Last post

I just looked over this. Interesting, but I'm a little puzzled by the interpretation of teammate effects. Using DRB teammate impact: is more really...

7 +1 Replies

430 Views

Last post by mysticbb View the latest post
Tue Apr 15, 2014 11:23 am
NBA Player database

Last post by TheSuzerain « Fri Apr 11, 2014 10:37 pm

by TheSuzerain » Fri Apr 11, 2014 10:37 pm

Anybody know of a comprehensive historical database of NBA players for excel or access?

I feel like that is something that should exist, but I can't...

0 Replies

284 Views

Last post by TheSuzerain View the latest post
Fri Apr 11, 2014 10:37 pm
Measuring ORtg minus the OR? My slap dash method inside

Last post by bondom34 « Thu Apr 10, 2014 8:30 pm
Replies: 17 +1
by Doctor MJ » Fri Dec 6, 2013 1:21 am

First post

Hey y'all,

With the way teams have decided not to compete for offensive rebounds, I've been feeling like I'd really like to have the best method...

Last post

Just wanted to bump this as it's the closest topic to what I was going to mention, and didn't want to start a new thread. Hickory High did an...

17 +1 Replies

878 Views

Last post by bondom34 View the latest post
Thu Apr 10, 2014 8:30 pm
Basketball WARP

Last post by sp6r=underrated « Wed Apr 2, 2014 6:50 pm

by sp6r=underrated » Wed Apr 2, 2014 6:50 pm

1. Is it attempting to do the same thing as baseball WARP?

2. Where can I find a good write up on the stat?

3. Does any basketball site maintain...

0 Replies

308 Views

Last post by sp6r=underrated View the latest post
Wed Apr 2, 2014 6:50 pm
Gladwell: Dave Berri, my favorite sports economist

Last post by Witzig-Okashi « Sat Mar 29, 2014 7:21 pm
Replies: 3 +1
by sp6r=underrated » Fri Feb 28, 2014 8:00 pm

First post

This is an old interview but just that sentence kills me and deals more with football than the NBA but what the hell.

Dave Berri, my favorite...

Last post

Hmm....Comparing Joe Montana to Ryan Leaf.

Nothing like using extremes and cherry picking in an argument to make your case, which he made a frequent...

3 +1 Replies

606 Views

Last post by Witzig-Okashi View the latest post
Sat Mar 29, 2014 7:21 pm
Defensive Usage

Last post by Narf « Fri Mar 28, 2014 6:10 pm
Replies: 11 +1
by MisterHibachi » Tue Mar 25, 2014 6:54 pm

First post

This is just an idea I've been thinking about recently.

We have offensive usage%, which tells us how many possessions a player uses when he's on...

Last post

Part of the problem is that something like gathering the rebound acts as a proxy for the defense played which caused the miss. But it's not the...

11 +1 Replies

479 Views

Last post by Narf View the latest post
Fri Mar 28, 2014 6:10 pm
Where are all the league-adjusted stats?

Last post by wigglestrue « Mon Mar 24, 2014 12:30 pm
Replies: 6 +1
by wigglestrue » Mon Mar 3, 2014 3:11 am

First post

For a long time now, baseball nerds have relied on stats like ERA+ and OPS+, and now WAR. Where are , or better yet what are the basketball...

Last post

Is there a Batman signal we're supposed to shine in the night sky when nerds are needed?

6 +1 Replies

458 Views

Last post by wigglestrue View the latest post
Mon Mar 24, 2014 12:30 pm
Carmelo Anthony - clutch passer?

Last post by bondom34 « Sat Mar 22, 2014 8:51 pm
Replies: 5 +1
by HarthorneWingo » Fri Mar 21, 2014 5:48 pm

First post

Hola. My first time on the stats board. I'm embroiled in a little dispute with a fellow Knicks' fan about Carmelo's propensity, or lack thereof, to...

Last post

82games.com has a "clutch" section for every player
Seems like he's shooting alot, 34 FGA per 48, but at an awful FG% (30%). Durant shoots...

5 +1 Replies

360 Views

Last post by bondom34 View the latest post
Sat Mar 22, 2014 8:51 pm

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