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Announcement Welcome To The New Statistical Analysis Forum

Last post by KPT1867 « Tue Oct 26, 2021 8:34 pm
Replies: 3 +1
by Howard Mass » Mon Nov 2, 2009 5:51 am

First post

I would like to welcome everyone to our newest forum here on RealGM.

The Statistical Analysis forum will be a place for users to crunch numbers,...

Last post

Awesome! I love this idea

3 +1 Replies

3,613 Views

Last post by KPT1867 View the latest post
Tue Oct 26, 2021 8:34 pm

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Breaking down PER

Last post by Dr Positivity « Tue Mar 4, 2014 6:42 pm
Replies: 2 +1
by Keller61 » Fri Feb 28, 2014 7:55 am

First post

uPER = (1 / MP) *

factor = (2 / 3) - (0.5 * (lg_AST / lg_FG)) / (2 * (lg_FG / lg_FT))
VOP = lg_PTS / (lg_FGA - lg_ORB + lg_TOV + 0.44 * lg_FTA)...

Last post

I've always thought that Hollinger made the stat by taking the preconception of how good every player is, then roughly adjusting the variables to...

2 +1 Replies

490 Views

Last post by Dr Positivity View the latest post
Tue Mar 4, 2014 6:42 pm
New Thoory on Hot Hands

Last post by bondom34 « Sat Mar 1, 2014 5:21 am
Replies: 2 +1
by Ice Man » Fri Feb 28, 2014 12:05 am

First post

The upshot: Guys who make shots take somewhat harder shots the next time, when compared to guys who miss shots. Which makes sense of course.

So if...

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This isn't really new though. Something like this came out last year. This is perhaps a refinement but along the same general lines.

Controlling for...

2 +1 Replies

371 Views

Last post by bondom34 View the latest post
Sat Mar 1, 2014 5:21 am
Help me tease out a "pace imposition" factor.

Last post by KuruptedCav « Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:32 pm
Replies: 1 +1
by FlashTheKilla » Thu Feb 13, 2014 4:29 am

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All teams play at an average pace throughout the course of the season. However, some teams are better at controlling the pace of the game than...

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You are going to want to look at offensive and defensive efficiency . The wider the spread between them, the less reliable PACE is as a baseline. And...

1 +1 Replies

321 Views

Last post by KuruptedCav View the latest post
Fri Feb 28, 2014 9:32 pm
Assist/Bad pass ratio

Last post by Keller61 « Fri Feb 28, 2014 6:50 am
Replies: 2 +1
by RSCD3_ » Thu Feb 13, 2014 9:48 pm

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This is a stat that isn't really invented since it simply involves using basketball references bad pass column over the play by play turnovers column...

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I think this is a better stat than assist/TO if you're specifically looking at passing prowess. I don't it's fair to compare assist/TO ratios between...

2 +1 Replies

377 Views

Last post by Keller61 View the latest post
Fri Feb 28, 2014 6:50 am
Synergy Sports Question

Last post by ceiling raiser « Wed Feb 26, 2014 9:13 pm
Replies: 6 +1
by Dipper 13 » Fri Jul 26, 2013 8:08 pm

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For paid subscribers, how far back does the data go? Is 2009-10 the earliest season?

Last post

A bit of a bump, but does anybody have Synergy numbers pre-09-10 handy?

6 +1 Replies

1,054 Views

Last post by ceiling raiser View the latest post
Wed Feb 26, 2014 9:13 pm
Shot rotation vs percentage

Last post by noobcake « Wed Feb 26, 2014 4:53 am
Replies: 1 +1
by Def Leppard » Mon Feb 17, 2014 7:59 pm

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Curious if there is data collected on the average amount of rotation (spin) on someone's shots and how that effects their field goal percentage....

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I don't think we have stats on shot rotation.

But common knowledge dictates that shot rotation/spin can help your shot. See Dirk's jumper and...

1 +1 Replies

281 Views

Last post by noobcake View the latest post
Wed Feb 26, 2014 4:53 am
Locked Wilt Chamberlain, King of NBA statistics

Last post by Wilt-Jordan-nr1 « Sat Feb 15, 2014 7:48 pm

by Wilt-Jordan-nr1 » Sat Feb 15, 2014 7:48 pm

...

0 Replies

319 Views

Last post by Wilt-Jordan-nr1 View the latest post
Sat Feb 15, 2014 7:48 pm
Nba odds history

Last post by Borut « Thu Feb 13, 2014 1:56 pm

by Borut » Thu Feb 13, 2014 1:56 pm

Hello.

Would anybody know where I could fine betting odds history for Nba regular season games. It doesn't really matter which bookmaker. I would...

0 Replies

294 Views

Last post by Borut View the latest post
Thu Feb 13, 2014 1:56 pm
Flaws of Berri's Wins Produced Metric

Last post by mysticbb « Thu Feb 13, 2014 1:33 pm
Replies: 20 +1
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by Witzig-Okashi » Mon Feb 3, 2014 11:59 pm

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Before stumbling to RealGM's basketball forum at a random Google Search, I use to follow the Wages of Wins crew and Berri's Wins Produced Metric....

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You'll note that the blog is not current, and this is common issue with such sites: The guys get hired by NBA teams, and they stop updating their...
20 +1 Replies

1,663 Views

Last post by mysticbb View the latest post
Thu Feb 13, 2014 1:33 pm
NBA.com's PIE?

Last post by codigoman « Tue Feb 11, 2014 1:38 am
Replies: 2 +1
by sca » Sat Feb 1, 2014 4:30 pm

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What are your thoughts about "PIE?" It's being featured heavily on the site, from player pages to MVP rankings.

It is a simple metric...

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IMO PIE is something real, just get out intangibles.

For example best PIE are Durant, Lebron and CP, and those are IMO the 3 best perfomances of the...

2 +1 Replies

451 Views

Last post by codigoman View the latest post
Tue Feb 11, 2014 1:38 am
Steal efficiency in gambles?

Last post by Doctor MJ « Tue Feb 11, 2014 1:38 am
Replies: 3 +1
by RSCD3_ » Sun Jan 19, 2014 10:43 pm

First post

Im looking for a way to determine the amount of pts decided on average when a player gambles for a steal. Simply put if a player gambles for a steal...

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It's a really good idea but unfortunately, as you said yourself, only possible with SportVU data. Besides the teams and the league I don't think...

3 +1 Replies

387 Views

Last post by Doctor MJ View the latest post
Tue Feb 11, 2014 1:38 am
Which do you prefer WS or PER? EFG% of TS%?

Last post by Doctor MJ « Tue Feb 11, 2014 1:36 am
Replies: 4 +1
by 20MexicanosIn1Van » Fri Jan 17, 2014 10:41 pm

First post

Which do you prefer WS or PER? EFG% of TS%? Why? I'm trying to understand the difference between the two.

Last post

Which do you prefer WS or PER? EFG% of TS%? Why? I'm trying to understand the difference between the two.

In general I prefer to use WS plus WS/48...

4 +1 Replies

542 Views

Last post by Doctor MJ View the latest post
Tue Feb 11, 2014 1:36 am
Does anyone have old matchup data

Last post by SideshowBob « Mon Feb 10, 2014 5:27 am

by SideshowBob » Mon Feb 10, 2014 5:27 am

Anyone have the old BBV 01-12 Matchup Data? I had it on my old drive but hadn't backed it up so its gone now, and I was going to use it for a project.

0 Replies

187 Views

Last post by SideshowBob View the latest post
Mon Feb 10, 2014 5:27 am
Help finding stats?

Last post by sca « Sat Feb 1, 2014 10:32 pm
Replies: 1 +1
by portlandoden » Fri Jan 31, 2014 5:30 am

First post

I've been trying to find out how to find a site where I can check when, for example, 3 or more players from the same team have averaged over 20...

Last post

I couldn't actually find a tool, but here are the teams from 1980 season and afterwards (might've missed some, sorry):

If the Blazers can...

1 +1 Replies

242 Views

Last post by sca View the latest post
Sat Feb 1, 2014 10:32 pm
How to find out Record against .500+, .600+, .700+ teams ?

Last post by izaidi79 « Thu Jan 30, 2014 4:33 pm

by izaidi79 » Thu Jan 30, 2014 4:33 pm

How to find out Record against .500+, .600+, .700+ teams ?

Hi I hope someone can help. I know there is an argument to be made against using this...

0 Replies

226 Views

Last post by izaidi79 View the latest post
Thu Jan 30, 2014 4:33 pm
Kyle Korver's 3pt stats, HOF worthy?

Last post by Wonka « Wed Jan 29, 2014 10:34 pm
Replies: 3 +1
by BabyCarrots » Wed Jan 22, 2014 9:47 pm

First post

Pretty simple question.

He is one of the deadliest 3 points to ever play the game and is currently shattering the record for most games in a row...

Last post

I have never laughed so hard at a topic title. Thank you OP.

3 +1 Replies

514 Views

Last post by Wonka View the latest post
Wed Jan 29, 2014 10:34 pm
Does the TS formula need to be modified?

Last post by kabstah « Mon Jan 27, 2014 4:00 am
Replies: 30 +1
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by jamesnamida » Sat Jan 25, 2014 1:05 am

First post

Formula currently is:
Pts * 100 /2 (fga+.44 fta)

It favors fta too much, especially if you're a decent shooter.
The multipler .44 should be a larger...

Last post

you have to take and make midrange shots to win, the fact is lbj didnt have a ring until he went there and used his post game. all i saw in the okc...
30 +1 Replies

1,504 Views

Last post by kabstah View the latest post
Mon Jan 27, 2014 4:00 am
Site to check for charges taken?

Last post by Brauer « Sat Jan 25, 2014 1:21 am
Replies: 3 +1
by Witzig-Okashi » Fri Jan 24, 2014 7:00 pm

First post

Is there a website that one can check for players who led the league in charges taken?

It's been a while since I've been searching for sites like...

Last post

I'm not sure tbh. I was wondering if there was a stat similar to :

"(charges taken-blocking fouls)/(charges taken+blocking foul)*100"...

3 +1 Replies

242 Views

Last post by Brauer View the latest post
Sat Jan 25, 2014 1:21 am
ORtg on NBA.com vs Basketball-Reference (Team)

Last post by lorak « Fri Jan 24, 2014 9:04 am
Replies: 2 +1
by Cruel_Ruin » Tue Jan 14, 2014 5:59 pm

First post

Anyone else notice the discrepency?

From Basketball-Reference:

Portland Trail Blazers-114.57
Miami Heat-112.05
San Antonio Spurs-110.68
Houston...

Last post

Anyone else notice the discrepency?

From Basketball-Reference:

Portland Trail Blazers-114.57
Miami Heat-112.05
San Antonio Spurs-110.68
Houston...

2 +1 Replies

564 Views

Last post by lorak View the latest post
Fri Jan 24, 2014 9:04 am
True Shooting% - question

Last post by Keller61 « Fri Jan 17, 2014 12:55 am
Replies: 3 +1
by HeatRing2012 » Thu Dec 19, 2013 2:38 pm

First post

hi there

so I've stumbled upon the TS% formular and wondered where that "0.44" coefficient is coming from... anyone know about it?

TS%...

Last post

It's pretty easy to find exact TSA using the basketball-reference.com event finder and searching for a player's FTA. For example, using LeBron's...

3 +1 Replies

381 Views

Last post by Keller61 View the latest post
Fri Jan 17, 2014 12:55 am
2013 Finals Box Score win-points

Last post by Yi « Tue Jan 14, 2014 1:01 pm

by Yi » Tue Jan 14, 2014 1:01 pm

Game 1: Parker win 4.5 points for Spurs

Game 2: Bosh win 8.4 points Heat

Game 3: Green win 15.3 points for Spurs

Game 4: Wade win 12.9...

0 Replies

183 Views

Last post by Yi View the latest post
Tue Jan 14, 2014 1:01 pm
Carmello -40 in one game. What's the record?

Last post by Purch « Tue Jan 14, 2014 11:06 am
Replies: 4 +1
by floppymoose » Sun Dec 8, 2013 10:39 pm

First post

Carmello's +- against the Celtics today was -40.

Note that I am referring to boxscore (or "hockey-style") +- here, not what most nba...

Last post

Damn my guess was gonna be Chris Paul but his was -38

4 +1 Replies

583 Views

Last post by Purch View the latest post
Tue Jan 14, 2014 11:06 am
Stats by Quarter?

Last post by andyhop « Sat Jan 11, 2014 4:34 pm
Replies: 1 +1
by princeofpalace » Sat Jan 4, 2014 12:01 am

First post

Does anyone know where I can find a statistical breakdown by quarter?

For example, I am wanting to know how many points Greg Monroe took in the 4th...

Last post

NBA.com' stats section can do this play around with the filters on the players stat page.

That is Monroe's 4th quarter stats by year.

1 +1 Replies

226 Views

Last post by andyhop View the latest post
Sat Jan 11, 2014 4:34 pm
DeMarcus Cousins' play this year, helpful or not?

Last post by tsherkin « Fri Dec 27, 2013 5:34 pm
Replies: 4 +1
by Jazzfan12 » Wed Nov 20, 2013 5:47 am

First post

His usage rate this year is nearly unprecedented for a big man in the last few decades and is far higher even Hakeem and Shaq at their peak. But...

Last post

There is a clear benefit to crappy volume scorer while your team O is even worse.

After that, diminishing returns.

Basically, he's bootstrapping...

4 +1 Replies

593 Views

Last post by tsherkin View the latest post
Fri Dec 27, 2013 5:34 pm
3-point defense

Last post by JazzMatt13 « Tue Dec 24, 2013 10:52 pm
Replies: 1 +1
by keepsilence » Mon Dec 23, 2013 9:03 pm

First post

I think I read a few years ago in the 2010 Prospectus that team opponent 3-point % does not carry over from year to year the way other statistics...

Last post

With so many +40% 3 point shooters, defending the arc is a responsibility as "meaningful" as defending the paint, meaning they are both...

1 +1 Replies

277 Views

Last post by JazzMatt13 View the latest post
Tue Dec 24, 2013 10:52 pm

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