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Announcement Welcome To The New Statistical Analysis Forum

Last post by KPT1867 « Tue Oct 26, 2021 8:34 pm
Replies: 3 +1
by Howard Mass » Mon Nov 2, 2009 5:51 am

First post

I would like to welcome everyone to our newest forum here on RealGM.

The Statistical Analysis forum will be a place for users to crunch numbers,...

Last post

Awesome! I love this idea

3 +1 Replies

3,613 Views

Last post by KPT1867 View the latest post
Tue Oct 26, 2021 8:34 pm

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Looking for Raw Team Data in On-Off Scenarios

Last post by Chicago76 « Sat Apr 7, 2012 6:44 am
Replies: 4 +1
by Chicago76 » Fri Apr 6, 2012 6:00 am

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I'm trying to test a theory re: penetrators, post men, and spacers and their impact on assisted buckets and FG%.

To do so, I'm trying to find raw...

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Well, I took a first crack at this, and while things generally make a bit of sense, there is a lot of noise due to teammate interaction.

What I did...

4 +1 Replies

233 Views

Last post by Chicago76 View the latest post
Sat Apr 7, 2012 6:44 am
Doug Collins in Philly

Last post by ronnymac2 « Thu Mar 29, 2012 3:53 am
Replies: 22 +1
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by mopper8 » Sat Mar 10, 2012 3:58 pm

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He's getting much love in Philly for the team's surprisingly strong record (1st in the Atlantic) and stingy defense (lowest Drtg in the league, 2...

Last post

I miss hearing Doug Collins announce games. He's my Coach of the Year.

Y'know he was my COY for much of the season, but I think I'll have to go...
22 +1 Replies

781 Views

Last post by ronnymac2 View the latest post
Thu Mar 29, 2012 3:53 am
Charges called per season

Last post by wiLQ « Sun Mar 25, 2012 1:13 pm
Replies: 1 +1
by thinktank » Wed Feb 15, 2012 12:22 am

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I'm interested in obtaining total charges called in the nba per season. Anyone know where I can obtain this stat?

Thanks in advance.

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I'm interested in obtaining total charges called in the nba per season.
Anyone know where I can obtain this stat?
I counted them from ESPN's...

1 +1 Replies

393 Views

Last post by wiLQ View the latest post
Sun Mar 25, 2012 1:13 pm
:yawn: More b-r revolutionary awesomeness: +/- search

Last post by TheMiamiHeat3 « Sat Mar 24, 2012 11:23 am
Replies: 3 +1
by Doctor MJ » Thu Mar 22, 2012 6:05 am

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Seriously, I just can't believe how amazing that site is now.

Last post

Damn! Wish we had +/- since the 60s.

Offense:
1. Harden(OKC)
2. Anthony(MIA) :lol:
3. Paul(LAC)
4. Wade(MIA)
5. Rose(CHI)

Defense:
1. Brand(PHI)...

3 +1 Replies

449 Views

Last post by TheMiamiHeat3 View the latest post
Sat Mar 24, 2012 11:23 am
Heat have 36% chance of winning?

Last post by Jasen777 « Wed Mar 21, 2012 7:32 pm
Replies: 5 +1
by andremcosta » Sat Mar 17, 2012 2:23 am

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I don't know if it's a place to post this, and don't even know if you guys here think it's stupid, since there's always some people saying stats are...

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It feels to me that Heat is overrated, even after the recent losses. How do you guys see this?

It's likely all the teams are overrated due to the...

5 +1 Replies

398 Views

Last post by Jasen777 View the latest post
Wed Mar 21, 2012 7:32 pm
Help with Defensive Statistics

Last post by Doormatt « Fri Mar 16, 2012 11:12 pm
Replies: 2 +1
by becorz » Fri Mar 16, 2012 8:56 pm

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I am very new to the world of advanced basketball statistics and need some help. I am a big Kings fan and it is very clear to me that the team is not...

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i dont really think theres any point in looking at drtg in the box score. at least look at their on/off defensive numbers to get a better idea. so...

2 +1 Replies

234 Views

Last post by Doormatt View the latest post
Fri Mar 16, 2012 11:12 pm
Average TS% vs Replacement TS%

Last post by tclg « Thu Mar 15, 2012 3:39 pm
Replies: 23 +1
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by Dr Positivity » Tue Mar 6, 2012 6:35 pm

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I'm wondering if anyone else agrees with the issues of using average TS% (.54) as the benchmark for players efficiencies. Although it seems natural...

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This is super interesting. I read Evanz shot analysis. This replacement shot idea is pretty good because if you dont shoot its a shot clock violation.
23 +1 Replies

987 Views

Last post by tclg View the latest post
Thu Mar 15, 2012 3:39 pm
The Long 2 - NOT the most inefficient shot in basketball?

Last post by tclg « Thu Mar 15, 2012 3:32 pm
Replies: 17 +1
by mopper8 » Fri Mar 9, 2012 4:46 pm

First post

According to this study over a 5-year period of every shot taken in the league:

According to that graph, a corner 3 is as good a shot as a layup,...

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I think its way harder to get clean looks from the 10-15 foot range. Usually if you do have that shot open your a big and the defense is daring you...

17 +1 Replies

987 Views

Last post by tclg View the latest post
Thu Mar 15, 2012 3:32 pm
Dumb Plus/Minus Question

Last post by mysticbb « Wed Mar 14, 2012 7:02 am
Replies: 1 +1
by sp6r=underrated » Wed Mar 14, 2012 3:37 am

First post

This is a pretty dumb question but I'll admit I don't know for sure if Player A plays in 81 games, is the game he missed treated as 48 minutes...

Last post

Well, he didn't play, thus it is treated like that. ;) The missed game are at least 48 minutes the team played without said player on the court.

1 +1 Replies

227 Views

Last post by mysticbb View the latest post
Wed Mar 14, 2012 7:02 am
Just a couple thoughts about PER

Last post by GreenHat « Mon Mar 12, 2012 2:29 pm
Replies: 8 +1
by ardee » Sat Mar 10, 2012 4:39 pm

First post

I feel PER is not a stat to go by when you're looking at who has had the best season.

There are two reasons for that.

One is that involved in the...

Last post

I feel PER is not a stat to go by when you're looking at who has had the best season.

There are two reasons for that.

One is that involved in the...

8 +1 Replies

462 Views

Last post by GreenHat View the latest post
Mon Mar 12, 2012 2:29 pm
Should the NBA add a Defensive attention stat to box scores?

Last post by -Kees- « Wed Mar 7, 2012 11:19 am
Replies: 2 +1
by Jazzfan12 » Tue Mar 6, 2012 4:45 pm

First post

For example, if LaMarcus Aldridge gets double-teamed and Raymond Felton is left open, Aldridge passes out and Felton misses the three, the...

Last post

I like the idea, but as Doc MJ said, it will be very hard for stat keepers to add another stat they have to worry about, and this one can be a bit...

2 +1 Replies

246 Views

Last post by -Kees- View the latest post
Wed Mar 7, 2012 11:19 am
Adjusted Four Factors and A4PM

Last post by Doctor MJ « Sat Feb 25, 2012 1:20 am
Replies: 5 +1
by EvanZ » Tue Feb 21, 2012 2:43 pm

First post

If you read my other post here, you know I'm working on adjusted versions of various metrics. Now I have done adjusted versions of the four factors...

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I love seeing component APM analysis like offensive and defensive, and now again with your isolated 4 factor analysis, because it's always good to...

5 +1 Replies

413 Views

Last post by Doctor MJ View the latest post
Sat Feb 25, 2012 1:20 am
Pick and Roll analysis

Last post by Stefan199 « Wed Feb 22, 2012 10:48 pm
Replies: 5 +1
by Stefan199 » Sun Feb 12, 2012 11:11 pm

First post

Hello,

Im looking for advanced pick and roll stats.
I want to see how ball-handlers perform while being defended different ways (show, under, trap,...

Last post

Thanks for the input... It looks like I got lots of videos to watch... ;)

5 +1 Replies

1,116 Views

Last post by Stefan199 View the latest post
Wed Feb 22, 2012 10:48 pm
Quick Stat Question

Last post by EvanZ « Wed Feb 22, 2012 12:04 pm
Replies: 9 +1
by -Kees- » Tue Feb 21, 2012 11:31 pm

First post

I'm looking to find a stat, and I've already asked a few people from this board, and so far no one has known where to find it. However, I see people...

Last post

The sample size will be very small if you look at it that way, and in theory, adjusted +/- is doing exactly the adjustment (for opponent and teammate...

9 +1 Replies

334 Views

Last post by EvanZ View the latest post
Wed Feb 22, 2012 12:04 pm
How to calculate SRS?

Last post by SideshowBob « Tue Feb 21, 2012 7:06 pm
Replies: 9 +1
by mopper8 » Mon Feb 20, 2012 6:04 pm

First post

I am curious about how one goes about calculating SRS. Seems like it could get endlessly iterative if you adjusted every games MOV, but then once had...

Last post

No. The point differential gives a better prediction. Which is completely understandble, because a team plays usually as their usual pace. The...

9 +1 Replies

770 Views

Last post by SideshowBob View the latest post
Tue Feb 21, 2012 7:06 pm
Android :: BasketStats Lite

Last post by korvus « Mon Feb 20, 2012 8:32 pm

by korvus » Mon Feb 20, 2012 8:32 pm

Hi everybody,
If you have an Android terminal, you might be interested in this application, designed to manage your team's statistics in real time....

0 Replies

194 Views

Last post by korvus View the latest post
Mon Feb 20, 2012 8:32 pm
Do you know any website where...

Last post by canefandynasty « Fri Feb 17, 2012 6:01 pm
Replies: 3 +1
by canefandynasty » Fri Feb 17, 2012 5:16 pm

First post

..I can get league statistics in splits by month or specific date ranges? For example, if I wanted to know league statistics for January 2012 alone,...

Last post

LEAGUE STATISTICS, not player or team statistics

3 +1 Replies

196 Views

Last post by canefandynasty View the latest post
Fri Feb 17, 2012 6:01 pm
The way basketball defense statistics can get better

Last post by EvanZ « Tue Feb 14, 2012 3:43 pm
Replies: 9 +1
by sicknastydunker » Wed Dec 28, 2011 1:46 am

First post

Baseball defense statistics have gotten so much better because someone(MGL) bought hit location data from BIS and made a great defensive stat out of...

Last post

I've been running a series of adjusted shot analyses as an orthogonal metric for offensive and defensive evaluation. I think it's relevant to this...

9 +1 Replies

677 Views

Last post by EvanZ View the latest post
Tue Feb 14, 2012 3:43 pm
Per on a one game basis

Last post by mopper8 « Mon Feb 13, 2012 8:07 pm
Replies: 2 +1
by iainmac92 » Sat Feb 11, 2012 11:55 pm

First post

Is there a site that calculates per over an each game basis?

Last post

As I understand it, PER resets the average (or is it median?) player production at 15 every season, and everyone else's PER is set by comparing to...

2 +1 Replies

258 Views

Last post by mopper8 View the latest post
Mon Feb 13, 2012 8:07 pm
4 of the 6 best players in the league are white

Last post by Wannabe MEP « Sat Feb 11, 2012 4:28 pm
Replies: 43 +1
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by Wannabe MEP » Wed Oct 26, 2011 2:48 pm

First post

Well, at least according to 2011 RAPM:

Player . . . . . . . . . . O . . . . D . . . . Overall
James, LeBron . . . 5.3 . . . 2.9 . . . 8.3...

Last post

Collison's numbers show his offensive impact which has a lot more to do with Harden being 130 ORTG player who creates shots off the dribble.
That's...
43 +1 Replies

3,067 Views

Last post by Wannabe MEP View the latest post
Sat Feb 11, 2012 4:28 pm
Thank you, Dick Pfander

Last post by bastillon « Sat Feb 11, 2012 2:58 pm
Replies: 3 +1
by litex » Tue Jan 31, 2012 2:45 pm

First post

Cool article about the guy who's singlehandedly responsible for getting a huge number of old box scores to basketballreference.com and thereby giving...

Last post

wow this dude is a hero

3 +1 Replies

380 Views

Last post by bastillon View the latest post
Sat Feb 11, 2012 2:58 pm
Adjusted Mid-Range Shooting Rates

Last post by EvanZ « Wed Feb 8, 2012 3:54 pm
Replies: 8 +1
by EvanZ » Sun Feb 5, 2012 12:20 am

First post

Most knowledgeable fans know that mid-range jumpers are less efficient than inside or 3-pt shots. Consequently, many players have garnered...

Last post

New post:

3-yr Adjusted Mid-Range Shooting

8 +1 Replies

484 Views

Last post by EvanZ View the latest post
Wed Feb 8, 2012 3:54 pm
Win Shares is the most worthless stat ever

Last post by See5 « Fri Feb 3, 2012 10:26 pm
Replies: 32 +1
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by iElusive » Wed Jan 11, 2012 7:52 am

First post

Seriously..... I always laugh when people bring up win shares in an argument especially since 99% of the time the person doesn't even know what it...

Last post

JordanBulls needs to read this thread. All he does is spew nonsense about how Player X's WS is higher than Player Y's WS so they had the better...
32 +1 Replies

3,330 Views

Last post by See5 View the latest post
Fri Feb 3, 2012 10:26 pm
Help finding a study

Last post by mopper8 « Fri Feb 3, 2012 1:13 am
Replies: 2 +1
by mopper8 » Wed Feb 1, 2012 8:17 pm

First post

I am ~95% sure that some time in the last year, on this board, I saw a link to a study that touched on the way a few preference outliers with...

Last post

Yeah, "anchoring" was the effect I was thinking of. Thanks for that link too.

2 +1 Replies

205 Views

Last post by mopper8 View the latest post
Fri Feb 3, 2012 1:13 am
Oscar Robertson and his odd numbers

Last post by C-izMe « Thu Feb 2, 2012 7:48 pm
Replies: 5 +1
by C-izMe » Mon Jan 23, 2012 4:16 am

First post

So I was looking at Oscar's numbers and I was going to equalize them and put him on the suns in Steve Nash's place. Then I remembered something...

Last post

I did his triple double year (putting him on the Suns) and ended up with 24/6/12. I'm not done with it yet because I've been busy, but I will post...

5 +1 Replies

518 Views

Last post by C-izMe View the latest post
Thu Feb 2, 2012 7:48 pm

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