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Announcement Welcome To The New Statistical Analysis Forum

Last post by KPT1867 « Tue Oct 26, 2021 8:34 pm
Replies: 3 +1
by Howard Mass » Mon Nov 2, 2009 5:51 am

First post

I would like to welcome everyone to our newest forum here on RealGM.

The Statistical Analysis forum will be a place for users to crunch numbers,...

Last post

Awesome! I love this idea

3 +1 Replies

3,613 Views

Last post by KPT1867 View the latest post
Tue Oct 26, 2021 8:34 pm

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yet another question about PER

Last post by Doctor MJ « Sun Mar 6, 2011 7:40 pm
Replies: 1 +1
by pancakes3 » Mon Feb 28, 2011 9:53 pm

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Why is it normalized seasonally? Why isn't the raw PER published?

Last post

This is just one of many choices Hollinger made along the way based on what he presumably was most interested in. Both the normalized stat that PER...

1 +1 Replies

285 Views

Last post by Doctor MJ View the latest post
Sun Mar 6, 2011 7:40 pm
Something wrong with Kobe?

Last post by DSMok1 « Thu Mar 3, 2011 2:22 pm
Replies: 10 +1
by Wannabe MEP » Sun Feb 20, 2011 2:49 pm

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Adjusted Plus-Minus says Kobe is absolutely killing his team this year -- basketballvalue.com has him at the third worst player in the NBA (given at...

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Better to look at RAPM, which is ridge-regressed APM. It pulls everybody toward 0 to get rid of some of the multicollinearity problem.

In that, Kobe...

10 +1 Replies

769 Views

Last post by DSMok1 View the latest post
Thu Mar 3, 2011 2:22 pm
A different take on Usage ("Load")

Last post by kabstah « Tue Mar 1, 2011 9:05 pm
Replies: 5 +1
by ElGee » Sat Feb 26, 2011 8:29 pm

First post

I've incorporated play making (Opportunities Created), TS Attempts and TOV per 100 possessions to measure how often players do something that...

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The "continuous" way, every possession has a load of 1 and either one player or two can contribute to that figure, depending on what they...

5 +1 Replies

396 Views

Last post by kabstah View the latest post
Tue Mar 1, 2011 9:05 pm
More Input on Team Pace

Last post by Vinsanity420 « Tue Mar 1, 2011 12:04 am
Replies: 3 +1
by Jimmy76 » Mon Feb 28, 2011 9:37 pm

First post

I remember reading the "speed" over pace while back and the current pace statistics shortcomings in measuring the "speed" of a...

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Also, the Suns are the fastest team in the league. It's apparent that Nash is still operating under that run and gun system, hence making him a...

3 +1 Replies

267 Views

Last post by Vinsanity420 View the latest post
Tue Mar 1, 2011 12:04 am
Locked NorthPoleHoops.com : Leaders in Canadian Basketball

Last post by jdavison « Sun Feb 27, 2011 6:34 am

by jdavison » Sun Feb 27, 2011 6:34 am

NorthPoleHoops.com (NPH) provides coast to coast media coverage on ALL levels of Canadian Basketball, including: High School, CCAA, CIS, NCAA, NBA...

0 Replies

124 Views

Last post by jdavison View the latest post
Sun Feb 27, 2011 6:34 am
Opportunities Created: Measuring playmaking

Last post by borisadmin « Fri Feb 25, 2011 11:40 am
Replies: 10 +1
by ElGee » Fri Feb 18, 2011 6:00 pm

First post

Something I've tracked for a while - it's an attempt to measure who creates opportunities for teammates by drawing extra defensive pressure.

Last post

great stuff!

10 +1 Replies

664 Views

Last post by borisadmin View the latest post
Fri Feb 25, 2011 11:40 am
Chamberlain Theory: The Real Price of Anarchy in Basketball

Last post by ronnymac2 « Fri Feb 25, 2011 7:42 am
Replies: 16 +1
by Doctor MJ » Thu Jan 20, 2011 11:27 pm

First post

Hey gang,

I wrote an article on my blog about the price of anarchy in basketball. Would appreciate your thoughts.

The gist:
-Price of Anarchy in...

Last post

Haa...I remember that game. That was awful offense by James. He really did think he was in Cleveland again.

16 +1 Replies

1,494 Views

Last post by ronnymac2 View the latest post
Fri Feb 25, 2011 7:42 am
Aper

Last post by Doctor MJ « Wed Feb 23, 2011 9:43 pm
Replies: 11 +1
by Jimmy76 » Tue Feb 22, 2011 12:38 am

First post

So I gather this is just a PER that rewards low ast%. Should we just throw PER out and replace it with aper when possible?

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Would it make sense to increase reward/punishment for inefficiency once you can use actual ast%? Shot creators get their due and you have a harder...

11 +1 Replies

595 Views

Last post by Doctor MJ View the latest post
Wed Feb 23, 2011 9:43 pm
Shots per touch?

Last post by dream_catcher_9 « Thu Feb 17, 2011 5:05 am
Replies: 2 +1
by dream_catcher_9 » Sat Feb 12, 2011 7:12 pm

First post

Is there a site that calculates how many shots a player takes per touch? This is different from possessions per shot, as a player isn't involved on...

Last post

exactly what I was looking for, thanks 8-)

2 +1 Replies

390 Views

Last post by dream_catcher_9 View the latest post
Thu Feb 17, 2011 5:05 am
Individual Fast Break Points

Last post by KnickelandDime « Sun Feb 13, 2011 4:59 pm

by KnickelandDime » Sun Feb 13, 2011 4:59 pm

Does anyone know of a site that shows how many points an individual scores on fast breaks? Much obliged.

0 Replies

215 Views

Last post by KnickelandDime View the latest post
Sun Feb 13, 2011 4:59 pm
Turnover Ratio vs Turnover %

Last post by ProBskbllTalk « Sun Feb 13, 2011 2:47 pm
Replies: 2 +1
by SideshowBob » Sat Feb 5, 2011 7:33 pm

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Hollinger uses Turnover ratio to measure how often a player turns the ball over.

The formula is: TO/((.44 x FTA) + (FGA + Assists + TO))...

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Good finding, if you look at it reasonable, we all can say that Steve Nash doe not turn the ball over every 5th possession and it is realistically...

2 +1 Replies

309 Views

Last post by ProBskbllTalk View the latest post
Sun Feb 13, 2011 2:47 pm
Defensive Usage

Last post by ProBskbllTalk « Sun Feb 13, 2011 2:41 pm
Replies: 14 +1
by ElGee » Sat Jan 22, 2011 6:39 pm

First post

Finally put together a post on defensive usage:

The data support two import (intuitive) basketball concepts:
(1) Bigs bear a larger defensive...

Last post

Finally put together a post on defensive usage:

The data support two import (intuitive) basketball concepts:
(1) Bigs bear a larger defensive...

14 +1 Replies

913 Views

Last post by ProBskbllTalk View the latest post
Sun Feb 13, 2011 2:41 pm
"Moles in a dungeon."

Last post by Shinyhubcaps « Sun Feb 13, 2011 5:11 am
Replies: 1 +1
by raleigh » Fri Feb 11, 2011 2:17 pm

First post

Thought stat nerds would enjoy Spoeltra's quote about the guys the Heat hired to chart games:

Spoelstra says this isn’t the first time he’s used...

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I think it's funny, and it's good that teams realize the value in this. "Eye tests" aren't going to be effective anymore. Football and...

1 +1 Replies

253 Views

Last post by Shinyhubcaps View the latest post
Sun Feb 13, 2011 5:11 am
Breaking down the Cleveland Cavaliers' last place defense

Last post by Dr Positivity « Fri Feb 11, 2011 5:55 pm

by Dr Positivity » Fri Feb 11, 2011 5:55 pm

Thought this would interest some:

The Cleveland Cavaliers just made NBA history by setting the all time losing streak at 26 and counting and now...

0 Replies

264 Views

Last post by Dr Positivity View the latest post
Fri Feb 11, 2011 5:55 pm
Most shocking stat of the season!

Last post by thegreatblaze « Thu Feb 10, 2011 7:19 pm

by thegreatblaze » Thu Feb 10, 2011 7:19 pm

Charmin Frye averages 1.1 blocks per game :o :o :o

0 Replies

359 Views

Last post by thegreatblaze View the latest post
Thu Feb 10, 2011 7:19 pm
Is efficiency overvalued

Last post by NBA4EVA2010 « Wed Feb 9, 2011 5:56 am
Replies: 20 +1
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by litex » Fri Feb 4, 2011 9:45 pm

First post

Efficiency is the most valued attribute according to most advanced stats (hell, PER has it right there in the name).

But Nate Silver (creator of...

Last post

Context is everything. It's true that Gallo, Wil, and Fields are more efficent scorers, but they're 3rd-4th options and don't see anywhere near the...
20 +1 Replies

1,294 Views

Last post by NBA4EVA2010 View the latest post
Wed Feb 9, 2011 5:56 am
Best Blockers in the league: Who recovers the block?

Last post by Paydro70 « Wed Feb 9, 2011 5:32 am
Replies: 14 +1
by Imadogg » Wed Jan 19, 2011 10:13 am

First post

So I thought about this, I don't know if others have looked this up but I was interested so I did some research.

Blocks are blocks right? Well, some...

Last post

Using the ratio of blocks that are inbounds to out of bounds is a bit misleading. I'd rather have a guy who blocks 3 shots a game, and 1 of them...

14 +1 Replies

846 Views

Last post by Paydro70 View the latest post
Wed Feb 9, 2011 5:32 am
A reliable measure of scoring efficiency

Last post by SideshowBob « Sun Feb 6, 2011 6:22 pm
Replies: 9 +1
by bigbadstevenson » Fri Feb 4, 2011 5:10 am

First post

Here's my idea for a guage of how efficient a player is at scoring in basketball:
Take the number of points a player scores (not including points...

Last post

On the other hand, there's three guys that have posted a usage of over 30%, and maintained an offensive rating of over 120.

Basically, these are...

9 +1 Replies

400 Views

Last post by SideshowBob View the latest post
Sun Feb 6, 2011 6:22 pm
Stat Guru Dean Oliver to leave Nuggets for ESPN

Last post by UGA Hayes « Thu Feb 3, 2011 4:54 pm
Replies: 10 +1
by mnWI » Tue Jan 18, 2011 7:50 am

First post

I'm sure some of you are familiar with Dean and his book basketball on paper. He has been working for the Nuggets for the past few years, but I spoke...

Last post

This should be interesting. It sounds like he is going to be something of a production guy. At first I thought you meant as a writer. I for one think...

10 +1 Replies

917 Views

Last post by UGA Hayes View the latest post
Thu Feb 3, 2011 4:54 pm
Kobe 06 vs Kobe 05: TS%

Last post by qianlong « Wed Feb 2, 2011 5:25 pm
Replies: 11 +1
by therealbig3 » Sat Jan 22, 2011 11:13 pm

First post

I came across something curious about Kobe's TS%.

05 Kobe: 27.6 ppg on .563 TS%, .433 FG% (20.1 FGA per game), .339 3pt% (5.9 3PA per game), .816...

Last post

If you sell either hot dogs, hamburgers or pizza at your food stand for $2, $6 or $10 one year and sell 100 of each you make $1800 total through 300...

11 +1 Replies

624 Views

Last post by qianlong View the latest post
Wed Feb 2, 2011 5:25 pm
Are statmodel more Irrational than Irrational decision maker

Last post by Doctor MJ « Tue Feb 1, 2011 6:43 am
Replies: 2 +1
by sp6r=underrated » Tue Feb 1, 2011 3:20 am

First post

This is an old paper that I've never read before. I'm sure some of you have read it. I stumbled on this article at .

It is very interesting...

Last post

Interesting. I'd read the "fights" between Berri and Rosenbaum (with pretty much every APBRmetrics person on Rosenbaum's side), but never...

2 +1 Replies

438 Views

Last post by Doctor MJ View the latest post
Tue Feb 1, 2011 6:43 am
Are Offensive and Defensive Ratings Garbage Stats?

Last post by mysticbb « Mon Jan 31, 2011 7:31 am
Replies: 7 +1
by Patterns » Sun Jan 30, 2011 10:07 pm

First post

Offensive Rating
1. Tyson Chandler-DAL 136.0
2. Nene Hilario-DEN 128.8
3. Arron Afflalo-DEN 125.7
4. Amir Johnson-TOR 125.3
5. Chris Paul-NOH 124.9...

Last post

Honestly dude, I don't get this type of thinking which assumes that anything that doesn't make sense after 5 seconds of thought must have a glaring...

7 +1 Replies

474 Views

Last post by mysticbb View the latest post
Mon Jan 31, 2011 7:31 am
Looking for advanced team stats

Last post by kabstah « Sat Jan 29, 2011 2:02 am
Replies: 1 +1
by Dr Positivity » Fri Jan 28, 2011 8:48 pm

First post

Does anyone know the best site for advanced team stats? Is there anywhere that lists for example, who gives up the most transition points, who allows...

Last post

Under shot locations and opponent shot locations. Nothing about transition scoring though.

1 +1 Replies

251 Views

Last post by kabstah View the latest post
Sat Jan 29, 2011 2:02 am
Wow. This is Cool. Coaches ranked statistically.

Last post by Chicago76 « Tue Jan 25, 2011 9:53 pm
Replies: 37 +1
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by jinxed » Sat Jan 22, 2011 3:47 am

First post

By Adjusted plus/minus over the last 5 years.

Stan Van Gundy, clearly the best coach in the NBA.

I've always thought this, look how great the...

Last post

If players and coaching ability is considered "static" over a 5 year period, that's more than just a little problem. The maturity/aging...
37 +1 Replies

2,236 Views

Last post by Chicago76 View the latest post
Tue Jan 25, 2011 9:53 pm
What is the point value of a turnover?

Last post by DSMok1 « Mon Jan 24, 2011 9:23 pm
Replies: 10 +1
by logical_art » Fri Jan 21, 2011 1:38 am

First post

Is there an accepted conversion ratio for the value of a turnover in terms of points forfeited?

Last post

I'm planning eventually to parse PbP to get "state" values for basketball (for instance, a possession started by a steal generates how many...

10 +1 Replies

579 Views

Last post by DSMok1 View the latest post
Mon Jan 24, 2011 9:23 pm

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