Post#75 » by League Circles » Mon Mar 10, 2025 5:39 pm
I've seen a lot of posters casually equate Giddey's age with likelihood and degree of further future improvement. I think that's a mistake. IMO, these are the reasons you typically see guys improve as they age:
1. They grow mentally and through coaching, repitition and contemplation, they start playing smarter. This happens for a significant number of players - most I would say. Two types of guys that it doesn't happen extensively to are really dumb players (because they just can't ever learn very well), and really smart players who already have a great mental feel for the game. I think most everyone would agree that Giddey has that great mental feel for what to do on the court. Not unlike Ayo or a young Jimmy Butler was.
2. They get new opportunities in terms of role and/or reps. A lot of guys need a little room to flourish. This is often true of young players of course. And while it's not entirely absent from Giddey's situation (maybe he's feeling freer to try to attack without Lavine around), he has had very atypically extensive opportunities to do what he's always done for his age. This is his 4th year as a full time NBA starter, with the ball in his hands a lot of the time, and his 5th year playing professional basketball.
3. They work on and develop better physical skills through focused training and reps. Giddey has improved his shot mechanics somewhat this year, but despite that, he's probably still in the bottom 10% of nba players on jumpshot mechanics which is a terrible sign for a 4th year guy IMO. He's gotta be one of the worst in mechanics for a non center in the league. I never even played varsity HS basketball and my shot mechanics have been better than his since I was like 10 years old. The only Bulls I can think of that reminded me of his mechanics were strikingly DPOY caliber guys Noah, Rodman, and Ben Wallace.
4. They get better in terms of physical capabilities with growth, strength, or speed. Almost all nba players are done growing except the 19-20 years olds I think, so that's almost certainly out for Josh. He could get stronger, which would make him a bit faster, but I'm not aware of any evidence that he's done this or values doing it in the future. Maybe he is lifting and sprinting and eating right and all that, but I haven't read it being reported and I've seen no signs of it. So he does have potential to improve in this area, but if it's likely, why hasn't it happened in the past 4-5 years? My guess is that he doesn't believe it's critical and no one has had the initiative to impress it upon him. It's one thing to have his body coming into the league for a year or two, cause nobody is really in a position to truly train correctly until they play pro ball. But this is his 5th year doing that. A guy with his physical deficiencies should have a really good body by now, and he plainly doesn't. I mean it's good that he's not fat or anything, but this guy is hardly training like the greats do, DESPITE having obvious reason to do so for 5 years.
I'm still concerned that he might just be a talented guy who loves basketball and wrongly thinks that that's enough.