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Coronavirus

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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1041 » by Habs72 » Sat Mar 21, 2020 10:47 pm

coldfish wrote:I noted before that I have had mild symptoms for a week or so. After I started getting some chest tightness, I called the doctor. Here in northeast ohio, the doctor told me that they could only perform 600 tests per day. They were saving those tests for active AIDS patients, chemo patients, people over 70, people with pre-existing lung problems, etc. The doctor said that if I was in any other country, I would get tested. I asked him what the trigger point for me doing something is. He said that if I was at rest and was having difficulty breathing, I should go to an ER. Basically, near death. Other than that, rest and fluids and avoid people until 3 days after symptoms gone.

The numbers out there are complete and utter BS. They are only testing severe cases and some massive number are either completely hidden or mild to moderate.

I have been saying this for a while but I had it thrown in my face this morning. The numbers are complete crap.


You wouldnt be tested in Finland with those symptoms either. Unfortunately the capacity to test so many isnt possible in here or most of the countries.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1042 » by AKfanatic » Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:11 pm

without serious testing, I wonder how many flu’s and flu deaths over the past 2-4 months could have been this virus. How many people were diagnosed as having pneumonia?
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1043 » by TheStig » Sat Mar 21, 2020 11:33 pm

coldfish wrote:
TheStig wrote:
coldfish wrote:I noted before that I have had mild symptoms for a week or so. After I started getting some chest tightness, I called the doctor. Here in northeast ohio, the doctor told me that they could only perform 600 tests per day. They were saving those tests for active AIDS patients, chemo patients, people over 70, people with pre-existing lung problems, etc. The doctor said that if I was in any other country, I would get tested. I asked him what the trigger point for me doing something is. He said that if I was at rest and was having difficulty breathing, I should go to an ER. Basically, near death. Other than that, rest and fluids and avoid people until 3 days after symptoms gone.

The numbers out there are complete and utter BS. They are only testing severe cases and some massive number are either completely hidden or mild to moderate.

I have been saying this for a while but I had it thrown in my face this morning. The numbers are complete crap.

I don't think we have any idea how many people actually have this. A lot of young people have had really light cases, a lot of illegals are scared to get a test, a lot of uninsured are not getting tested, there are very few tests actually out there and it takes days for symptoms to come. There could literally be millions who have it now.


That's both a good and bad thing. If there is that many people infected, then the severe case percentage isn't that high.

I can argue it many ways. It really seems that this virus spreads easily. NBA players getting it after just being on the same court together, near 100% cruise ship penetration, some Italy data indicates that this thing spreads REALLY fast. That said, the overall percentages in the affected countries are really low. It simply doesn't add up. Either it doesn't spread that fast or it doesn't kill that easily.

Regardless, the absolute worst case of millions of americans dead isn't possible and something is really, really wrong with the picture that is being painted.

We just have no idea. It's yet to really hit here. Hopefully it's not anywhere near as deadly here.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1044 » by GimmeDat » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:16 am

To add to your point, fish, I spoke to someone in Australia last week who is a healthcare worker, he is showing all the symptoms, but because he didn't just come back from overseas, and because he's 0.2 degrees below having a 'fever', they wouldn't test him.

Crazy.

Hope it's a false alarm and it's not Covid, CF.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1045 » by drosereturn » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:37 am

GimmeDat wrote:To add to your point, fish, I spoke to someone in Australia last week who is a healthcare worker, he is showing all the symptoms, but because he didn't just come back from overseas, and because he's 0.2 degrees below having a 'fever', they wouldn't test him.

Crazy.

Hope it's a false alarm and it's not Covid, CF.


The US was always a ticking bomb since only a selected few would have unlimited access to these testing.
Also, a lot of Americans seemed to dislike wearing mask since they never used to which is only making it worse.
I am not sure whether Australia has good health care but in Canada, Korea, Japan, etc at least you wont die due to lack of testing. Lack of decent health care has to do with a lot of it but some countries just didnt experience enough during MERS 5 yrs ago they are undergoing the pain now and the US happens to be one of them.

I am certain a lot of unknown serious diseases will be sure to come in the future. But countries that comes prepared at any circumstances will endure while those that dont care and dont have infrastructure will get wiped out.
Which is why America used to be one of the best places to live but in extreme circumstances like this, countries with more gov't control will always win out. As crazy as it seems, where you live absolutely matters in situations like this. The only absolute way to guarantee surviving is basically hibernating 365 days while ordering everything on Amazon but how many people can afford to do that?
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1046 » by whonka » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:37 am

transplant wrote:
GetBuLLish wrote:https://medium.com/six-four-six-nine/evidence-over-hysteria-covid-19-1b767def5894

Very interesting read about how COVID-19 is not nearly as dangerous as many believe. Doesn't answer every question but still eye opening.

Fascinating article. Thanks for sharing.

As a kid, I remember adults lamenting that, "we can send a man to the moon, but we still can't cure the common cold." Now I'm a senior citizen looking at all the technological marvels produced in the past 50 years and I'm more amazed than my parents that there's still no cure for a cold...or other viruses. I can't help but wonder if the reason is that there's simply not much profit in curing a cold.

The article makes important points about this virus not being super-contagious and not being as deadly as originally thought. Encouraging. If it turns out that the "abundance of caution" being taken by governments right now turns out to be an overreaction in retrospect, let's hope that we will have learned lessons that will help us deal with the next crisis of this sort in a more measured manner.


That article is wrong on so many levels, written by a guy with literally no medical/epidemiological expertise. Just read the comments below it that tear it apart. Please take it with a large grain of salt as it is filled with flawed arguments and cherry-picking of data.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1047 » by dougthonus » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:40 am

transplant wrote:Yeah, there are tons and tons of products that treat symptoms. None of them would exist if there was a product that cured the cold.


The drug company that created it really wouldn't care about that, because they'd own the whole market.

1: I agree that tons of infections are unreported. I disagree that a significant number of deaths are going unreported which would mean that the numerator is fairly accurate and the denominator is being underestimated so the mortality rate being reported is overstated.

2: Fair point. The contagion numbers are likely understated due to the limitations of under-testing.

Truth is that we didn't know anything about this virus when it burst on the scene and we are only slowly learning about it. The uncertainty is a big part of the problem. Make no mistake, I am personally treating this virus with "an abundance of caution."


I also agree #1 is more likely than #2 for the same reasons you state. It's especially interesting when you read articles about players who got it whom were entirely asymptomatic and only tested due to being in proximity of someone who had it.

That said, it seems way more contagious than the article on the medium makes it sound. You got four guys on the Nets who got it, and you don't normally see the flu go through four to five guys on a team like that at one time.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1048 » by drosereturn » Sun Mar 22, 2020 12:40 am

coldfish wrote:
Showtime23 wrote:
coldfish wrote:I noted before that I have had mild symptoms for a week or so. After I started getting some chest tightness, I called the doctor. Here in northeast ohio, the doctor told me that they could only perform 600 tests per day. They were saving those tests for active AIDS patients, chemo patients, people over 70, people with pre-existing lung problems, etc. The doctor said that if I was in any other country, I would get tested. I asked him what the trigger point for me doing something is. He said that if I was at rest and was having difficulty breathing, I should go to an ER. Basically, near death. Other than that, rest and fluids and avoid people until 3 days after symptoms gone.

The numbers out there are complete and utter BS. They are only testing severe cases and some massive number are either completely hidden or mild to moderate.

I have been saying this for a while but I had it thrown in my face this morning. The numbers are complete crap.


Thats bad. Do you think its corona? If so why not try to take aids medication?


I think its unlikely that I have it but some of the symptoms match. If I do, its mild.

There are so many barriers between where I am and taking aids meds its not funny. I couldn't get tested to even start the process until I was barely able to breath. This whole situation is unfathomable and the press really isn't being accurate when they inform the public. People just see these numbers and they are effectively meaningless.


I heard many got self healed by taking the right steps and I think getting hydrated is one good method. If your in Ohio, maybe Mayo clinic is your best bet since it is known internationally. I am not guaranteeing aids med will save you but its like a last solution and it only works on certain type of patients I heard. Hope you g et well.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1049 » by dice » Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:08 am

Showtime23 wrote:
coldfish wrote:
Showtime23 wrote:
Thats bad. Do you think its corona? If so why not try to take aids medication?


I think its unlikely that I have it but some of the symptoms match. If I do, its mild.

There are so many barriers between where I am and taking aids meds its not funny. I couldn't get tested to even start the process until I was barely able to breath. This whole situation is unfathomable and the press really isn't being accurate when they inform the public. People just see these numbers and they are effectively meaningless.


I heard many got self healed by taking the right steps and I think getting hydrated is one good method. If your in Ohio, maybe Mayo clinic is your best bet since it is known internationally. I am not guaranteeing aids med will save you but its like a last solution and it only works on certain type of patients I heard. Hope you g et well.

mayo clinic is typically used if you cannot figure out what your issue is or if they happen to have experience treating a particular problem that others do not. they're not going to be helpful if you just developed an ailment that you think might be coronavirus but is otherwise something common

and again, there are NO known drug treatments for coronavirus. all treatments are anecdotal at this point (i.e. some people think it MIGHT be beneficial)
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1050 » by whonka » Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:09 am

dice wrote:
Showtime23 wrote:
coldfish wrote:I noted before that I have had mild symptoms for a week or so. After I started getting some chest tightness, I called the doctor. Here in northeast ohio, the doctor told me that they could only perform 600 tests per day. They were saving those tests for active AIDS patients, chemo patients, people over 70, people with pre-existing lung problems, etc. The doctor said that if I was in any other country, I would get tested. I asked him what the trigger point for me doing something is. He said that if I was at rest and was having difficulty breathing, I should go to an ER. Basically, near death. Other than that, rest and fluids and avoid people until 3 days after symptoms gone.

The numbers out there are complete and utter BS. They are only testing severe cases and some massive number are either completely hidden or mild to moderate.

I have been saying this for a while but I had it thrown in my face this morning. The numbers are complete crap.


Thats bad. Do you think its corona? If so why not try to take aids medication?

AIDS patients are getting tested because their immune systems are compromised. the medication they are on has nothing to do with treating coronavirus. there is no drug known to help w/ coronavirus right now and there won't be for some time


Not entirely true. There's no large proven benefit of any particular medications, but there is data out there of drugs we're using to treat severe cases. Obviously none of these are large clinical trials so data should be taken with a grain of salt, but there is some data out there.

- Lopinavir/Ritonavir - this is a medication combo for AIDS that is being used in China and selectively in the United States. A recent NEJM randomized trial concluded that this was not effective, but there are some problems with that trial so who knows the reality (small sample size of 200 which may have not been powered to detect a mortality difference (there actually was a small one between groups), and delayed use - the median time from symptom to randomization was 13 days - as an example the influenza medication Tamiflu is only effective if used 1-3 days after onset of symptoms)

- Chloroquine/Hydroxychloroquine - early data from china and france are suggesting this is effective, and in vitro studies so far has shown good activity against covid in cells. However obviously no randomized trial data, but this is often used as an option to treat patients based on the preliminary data

- high dose Vitamin C - early reports from china suggests this can may also be able to decrease disease severity in covid. No randomized trial data, but some prior retrospective analysis in prior studies showing efficacy in septic shock, and VICTAS trial is ongoing (im actually not sure whether they're done or not - clinicaltrials.gov says they've completed recruiting)

- favipravir - haven't seen this available in the US, but reports out of china is that this japanese influenza medication has been effective, again no randomized trial data yet

- and of course, remdesivir - probably the drug with the most potential, effective in vitro and by reports clinically as well, however only available through use of clinical trial/compassionate use from Gilead, and requires good end organ function (ie kidneys/liver have to be normal, which a lot of severe covid patients unfortunately don't have)

- some other candidates as well like nitazoxanide, antiinflammatories like tocilizumab which may also be options on a case-by-case basis, but also similarly no large randomized data either.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1051 » by dice » Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:15 am

whonka wrote:
dice wrote:
Showtime23 wrote:
Thats bad. Do you think its corona? If so why not try to take aids medication?

AIDS patients are getting tested because their immune systems are compromised. the medication they are on has nothing to do with treating coronavirus. there is no drug known to help w/ coronavirus right now and there won't be for some time


Not entirely true. There's no large proven benefit of any particular medications, but there is data out there of drugs we're using to treat severe cases. Obviously none of these are large clinical trials so data should be taken with a grain of salt, but there is some data out there.

- Lopinavir/Ritonavir - this is a medication combo for AIDS that is being used in China and selectively in the United States. A recent NEJM randomized trial concluded that this was not effective, but there are some problems with that trial so who knows the reality (small sample size of 200 which may have not been powered to detect a mortality difference (there actually was a small one between groups), and delayed use - the median time from symptom to randomization was 13 days - as an example the influenza medication Tamiflu is only effective if used 1-3 days after onset of symptoms)

- Chloroquine/Hydroxychloroquine - early data from china and france are suggesting this is effective, and in vitro studies so far has shown good activity against covid in cells. However obviously no randomized trial data, but this is often used as an option to treat patients based on the preliminary data

- high dose Vitamin C - early reports from china suggests this can may also be able to decrease disease severity in covid. No randomized trial data, but some prior retrospective analysis in prior studies showing efficacy in septic shock, and VICTAS trial is ongoing

- favipravir - haven't seen this available in the US, but reports out of china is that this japanese influenza medication has been effective, again no randomized trial data yet

- and of course, remdesivir - probably the drug with the most potential, effective in vitro and by reports clinically as well, however only available through use of clinical trial/compassionate use from Gilead, and requires good end organ function (ie kidneys/liver have to be normal, which a lot of severe covid patients unfortunately don't have)

- some other candidates as well like nitazoxanide, antiinflammatories like tocilizumab which may also be options on a case-by-case basis, but also similarly no large randomized data either.

when i say "known to treat" i mean proven, i.e. w/ clinical trials. some stuff that might have been beneficial to some people might have no effect or even be harmful with others
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1052 » by coldfish » Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:15 am

Showtime23 wrote:
coldfish wrote:
Showtime23 wrote:
Thats bad. Do you think its corona? If so why not try to take aids medication?


I think its unlikely that I have it but some of the symptoms match. If I do, its mild.

There are so many barriers between where I am and taking aids meds its not funny. I couldn't get tested to even start the process until I was barely able to breath. This whole situation is unfathomable and the press really isn't being accurate when they inform the public. People just see these numbers and they are effectively meaningless.


I heard many got self healed by taking the right steps and I think getting hydrated is one good method. If your in Ohio, maybe Mayo clinic is your best bet since it is known internationally. I am not guaranteeing aids med will save you but its like a last solution and it only works on certain type of patients I heard. Hope you g et well.


Mayo Clinic is the #1 hospital in the world.
Cleveland Clinic is the #2 hospital in the world.

Guess who I was on the phone with?

https://www.newsweek.com/2019/04/05/10-best-hospitals-world-1368512.html

Regardless, don't worry about me. Like I said, mild compared to how others have it. I only posted that story to show just how useless the case numbers are. They are outright trying to hold back tests at this point. That is going to make the case count much lower and the death ratio much higher.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1053 » by whonka » Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:20 am

dice wrote:when i say "known to treat" i mean proven, i.e. w/ clinical trials. some stuff that might have been beneficial to some people might have no effect or even be harmful with others


Yes, thanks for clarifying.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1054 » by ChiCitySPORTS#1 » Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:22 am

A part of me feels that getting it is inevitable. How much can we reasonably do? Am I going to really stay in my house for 4 months? Sounds bad, but I almost wonder what the cost-benefit is of getting it, dealing with it for a week or two (hopefully) in isolation, and then moving on with life. Hypothetical - but I'm sure others must have this thought as well? This just has been super frustrating.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1055 » by DuckIII » Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:34 am

GetBuLLish wrote:https://medium.com/six-four-six-nine/evidence-over-hysteria-covid-19-1b767def5894

Very interesting read about how COVID-19 is not nearly as dangerous as many believe. Doesn't answer every question but still eye opening.


I’m reluctant to even quote this link because the content is such paranoid debunked trash.

P.S. I googled the author and the first thing I found is that he is a contributing writer for Breitbart, to the extent that association matters to others as it does to me.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1056 » by DuckIII » Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:35 am

Thanks for sharing your story coldfish, and take care buddy.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1057 » by whonka » Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:43 am

coldfish wrote:I noted before that I have had mild symptoms for a week or so. After I started getting some chest tightness, I called the doctor. Here in northeast ohio, the doctor told me that they could only perform 600 tests per day. They were saving those tests for active AIDS patients, chemo patients, people over 70, people with pre-existing lung problems, etc. The doctor said that if I was in any other country, I would get tested. I asked him what the trigger point for me doing something is. He said that if I was at rest and was having difficulty breathing, I should go to an ER. Basically, near death. Other than that, rest and fluids and avoid people until 3 days after symptoms gone.

The numbers out there are complete and utter BS. They are only testing severe cases and some massive number are either completely hidden or mild to moderate.

I have been saying this for a while but I had it thrown in my face this morning. The numbers are complete crap.


I hope you feel better coldfish, and just be vigilant. Many people with covid may have smoldering illness for a bit, and then may develop rapidly worsening significant respiratory distress/ARDS. If you feel any worsening at all, just doesn't hurt to run it by your doctor at all and keep him/her updated. Hope you just have a non-related cold or at worst a mild case. Stay safe!
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1058 » by whonka » Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:45 am

DuckIII wrote:P.S. I googled the author and the first thing I found is that he is a contributing writer for Breitbart, to the extent that association matters to others as it does to me.


Educate me? I've not heard of Breitbart heh.

I just know I felt really agitated reading that article, and then calmed down a bit when I saw the responses below, was relieved at least as it seems many people can judge poor arguments/data when they see it.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1059 » by GimmeDat » Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:46 am

Another thing - as a young person, it's really frustrating to see a lot of people I have on social media, even friends, continuing to go out drinking/socializing.
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Re: Coronavirus 

Post#1060 » by whonka » Sun Mar 22, 2020 1:47 am

GimmeDat wrote:Another thing - as a young person, it's really frustrating to see a lot of people I have on social media, even friends, continuing to go out drinking/socializing.


Agreed. We have acquantainces who think "work at home" means "work at Starbucks".

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