Image ImageImage Image

OT: future of jobs or lack thereof

Moderators: HomoSapien, Ice Man, dougthonus, Michael Jackson, Tommy Udo 6 , kulaz3000, fleet, DASMACKDOWN, GimmeDat, RedBulls23, AshyLarrysDiaper, coldfish, Payt10

dice
RealGM
Posts: 44,080
And1: 13,019
Joined: Jun 30, 2003
Location: chicago

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#121 » by dice » Mon Aug 20, 2018 3:42 pm

coldfish wrote:
dice wrote:
coldfish wrote:And yes, democrats and republicans are largely the same. Both want to keep the globalization, labor suppressing system in place. As an over generalization, the differences are that democrats want to give people thousands of dollars worth of entitlements to make up for their 10's of thousands in lost wages. Republicans think people should either work harder or get ****. Democrats are a little more in the right here but not by much.

it is republicans who have been systematically working to weaken worker unions for 40+ years. and maintain our incomprehensibly cruel health care system over the same time period. people know where the blame lies for the weakening of the american worker class. and they know who deserves the credit for creating and protecting social security, medicare, medicaid, etc.

i mean, all a person has to do is look at the makeup of the supreme court to recognize the philosophical gulf between democrats and republicans. it's beyond obvious

of course, maybe ruth bader ginsberg and clarence thomas are secretly in cahoots as a branch of the "deep state," right?


And it was democrats that passed WTO and Nafta. The TPP that Obama negotiated had some freaking whoppers in it and mostly was a giveaway to multinational corporations. Even now, liberals aren't even commenting on the trade wars that Trump is waging. The fact that the press is completely ignoring the fact that China and the EU have had tariffs on US goods while prior administrations didn't lift a finger is pretty telling.

globalization was unavoidable. not that the democrats have managed it well. i will agree that on broad economic issues the parties have dovetailed to a degree. there aren't many isolationists around anymore

Hell, republicans were the ones who undid slavery. At some point, they stopped getting credit for that from african americans. Credit doesn't last forever.

completely lazy/disingenuous argument. you're aware that the republican party of lincoln's time does not resemble that of today, right? hell, the republican party of reagan's time was substantially different

shall i educate you on civil rights? dixiecrats? the "southern strategy"? have you been paying attention to anything at all that donald trump and his minions say/do? do you think that african americans are stupid and/or ignorant of history? ii mean, this is REALLY basic stuff. the republican party decision to cater to racists precipitated a fundamental realignment of the parties. and shifted the values of fundamentalist christians in the process
God help Ukraine
God help those fleeing misery to come here
God help the Middle East
God help the climate
God help US health care
User avatar
coldfish
Forum Mod - Bulls
Forum Mod - Bulls
Posts: 60,645
And1: 37,957
Joined: Jun 11, 2004
Location: Right in the middle
   

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#122 » by coldfish » Mon Aug 20, 2018 5:09 pm

dice wrote:
Hell, republicans were the ones who undid slavery. At some point, they stopped getting credit for that from african americans. Credit doesn't last forever.

completely lazy/disingenuous argument. you're aware that the republican party of lincoln's time does not resemble that of today, right? hell, the republican party of reagan's time was substantially different

shall i educate you on civil rights? dixiecrats? the "southern strategy"? have you been paying attention to anything at all that donald trump and his minions say/do? do you think that african americans are stupid and/or ignorant of history? ii mean, this is REALLY basic stuff. the republican party decision to cater to racists precipitated a fundamental realignment of the parties. and shifted the values of fundamentalist christians in the process


Lol. It was an extreme analogy meant to show that parties change over time, which is a concept you seem to fervently agree with.

The democratic party used to be strongly the party for the middle class working man. I don't think that is true anymore. Not that the republicans are but the democrats certainly have shifted priorities away from blue collar workers and onto other ones.
globalization was unavoidable. not that the democrats have managed it well. i will agree that on broad economic issues the parties have dovetailed to a degree. there aren't many isolationists around anymore


I don't disagree that it was unavoidable. Overall probably even beneficial. However, the laws have been written to intentionally suppress the wages of the working middle class in the US and both parties are complicit in this*. Equally so. The fact that democrats have tried to make up for it with greater entitlements doesn't change that.

Examples would be:
- Us agreeing to deals where other countries put on tariffs and we don't.
- Us agreeing to deals where VAT is credited but our taxes aren't
- Linking investment and goods currency exchange, which helps investors and hurts workers

I can't overstate this enough. Trump is a buffoon. That said, he kind of stumbled onto the middle class stagnation issue which both parties have caused and then ignored. Trump needs to go away but even when he is gone, this structural issue will remain. Unless we fix it, its just going to fester until someone worse than Trump comes along. We are lucky that he is incompetent. A very intelligent person pandering to people in this manner would be a dangerous thing.
thedarkstark
Analyst
Posts: 3,230
And1: 1,224
Joined: Feb 17, 2010

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#123 » by thedarkstark » Mon Aug 20, 2018 11:37 pm

every modern economy in the world is pretty simple at its core:

Jobs offer money
Goods or services require money
Rinse, repeat

If jobs "go away" then so does the consumer market leaving nobody left to purchase goods/services. It's a self-sustaining cycle that will exist for the duration of mankinds existence because you can't have one without the other.

Robots take a job that man used to do? Guess what, new job "Robot repairman" is created. It's very short-sighted and narrow-minded to think this is a new set of circumstances thrust upon your generation. We've been innovating and streamlining processes since the invention of the wheel.
MalagaBulls
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,067
And1: 2,223
Joined: Dec 15, 2013
Location: Malaga, Spain (Where the Sun shines 300 days a year))
         

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#124 » by MalagaBulls » Tue Aug 21, 2018 8:33 am

Having worked in technology all my life I can safely say I am 1000% grateful for the experience and benefits it has brought me. I retired this year at the young age of 54. Not bad at all.
musiqsoulchild
RealGM
Posts: 29,550
And1: 6,359
Joined: Nov 28, 2005
Location: Chicago

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#125 » by musiqsoulchild » Tue Aug 21, 2018 12:59 pm

MalagaBulls wrote:Having worked in technology all my life I can safely say I am 1000% grateful for the experience and benefits it has brought me. I retired this year at the young age of 54. Not bad at all.


Congratulations on your retirement my friend. Good for you!
Dieselbound&Down
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,841
And1: 420
Joined: Jul 23, 2004
 

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#126 » by Dieselbound&Down » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:32 pm

MalagaBulls wrote:Having worked in technology all my life I can safely say I am 1000% grateful for the experience and benefits it has brought me. I retired this year at the young age of 54. Not bad at all.


Something to aspire to. I'm on course to retire about 30 years older than that.
MalagaBulls
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,067
And1: 2,223
Joined: Dec 15, 2013
Location: Malaga, Spain (Where the Sun shines 300 days a year))
         

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#127 » by MalagaBulls » Tue Aug 21, 2018 5:46 pm

Dieselbound&Down wrote:
MalagaBulls wrote:Having worked in technology all my life I can safely say I am 1000% grateful for the experience and benefits it has brought me. I retired this year at the young age of 54. Not bad at all.


Something to aspire to. I'm on course to retire about 30 years older than that.
The secret is to plan carefully and maximise your retirement plan contributions. For 12 years I contributed 6% and my company paid in a whopping 17%.

Enviado desde mi SM-A520F mediante Tapatalk
SensiBull
Starter
Posts: 2,385
And1: 326
Joined: Jul 14, 2006
Location: Adelaide, South Australia, Australia

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#128 » by SensiBull » Wed Aug 22, 2018 1:37 am

coldfish wrote:
SensiBull wrote:A couple of observations:

1. The counter argument against Universal Basic Income that I most often hear is that it amounts to 'paying people to do nothing.'

https://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/entry/y-combinator-basic-income-study_us_56aa2b04e4b05e4e37036c34

This is more of a confession than arguers supporting the view seems to realise it is, rather than the stunning, argument-ending critique its supporters imagine it to be.

It's basically an admission that what we currently do is non-mandatory 'busy work.' It implies that paying people to do nothing is an option that is unwise to choose, not the necessity and source of self-worth that workplace roles are routinely marketed (even to extremely young, pre-pubescent children) as being.

It validates perceptions previously dismissed as conspiracy theories, such as:

- 'Planned obsoleteness' or [the deliberate disabling of a product to prevent it from working, thus requiring the buyer to purchase a replacement.

[For example, inkjet printer manufacturers employ smart chips in their ink cartridges to prevent them from being used after a certain threshold (number of pages, time, etc.), even though the cartridge may still contain usable ink or could be refilled (with ink toners, up to 50 percent of the toner cartridge is often still full). This constitutes "programmed obsolescence", in that there is no random component contributing to the decline in function.]

- 'Perceived obsoleteness'

[Obsolescence of desirability or stylistic obsolescence occurs when designers change the styling of products so customers will purchase products more frequently due to the decrease in the perceived desirability of unfashionable items.]

These are things that are designed to keep people employed and, therefore, occupied. Without it, government's role in managing society would change to being primarily a social function, with health and law enforcement picking up the pieces. How many domestic disputes only end because one partner or the other has to go to work, and/or the kids have to go to school?

Keeping people occupied is part of government's peace-keeping role, not necessarily the essential function that people are encouraged to see in even quite meaningless roles.

2. Ben Franklin is attributed with the quote:

"If every man and woman would work for four hours each day on something useful, that labor would produce sufficient to procure all the necessaries and comforts of life."

Whenever I've heard the quote mentioned, it was in the context of what that person could produce for sustaining himself or herself, not others.

Instead, we work 8-10 hours per day, with commutes that require paying what is typically six or seven 'suppliers' (gasoline, registration, insurance, maintenance and fluids, an auto manufacturer, a finance company, tolls, roadside assistance, etc.) to get there.

Is it any wonder that people feel so unfulfilled when so much of their limited years of life are dedicated to earning the money to maintain a life that distracts people from the things that really matter to themselves, and the economy DEPENDS on that?

#dontquityourdayjob


At the end of the day, we can only consume what we produce as a society. When I say consume, people often think of flat screen TV's but the luxury items are a small part of our economy. Its the truck drivers that bring food to the grocery stores and those that stock the shelves, the doctors that give us health care, the people that maintain our roads, the workers behind the scenes making it so that you have electricity 99.9% of the time without thought, etc.

All of that is value added work. Its stuff that we gladly pay for. Its true that there is a lot of non value added work. Jobs just pushing around paperwork no one really cares about.

If you pay people not to work, some of them . . . will not work. If it reduces the amount of stuff we have to consume, our standard of living goes down. In the process, the people who do work will charge more for their time, which adds to income disparity.

I really don't have a good solution. There is no system where you can have a relatively equal distribution of goods and services with only some of the people providing them. Humans simply aren't wired that way. What's fair to one person is unfair to others.

The big change would be a massive increase in productivity through automation. Then, effectively we could consume far more than what we produce. If that happens, we can spend a lot less of our time doing menial jobs as long as we figure out how to distribute the gains fairly. Regardless, I'm not afraid of automation or AI. I can't wait for it.


I am aware of the knife's edge that this conversation sits on in terms of the indulgence the moderators are showing in allowing these respectful comments and observations.

I don't want to do anything to upset that. So, I don't mean to start a 'tennis match' but there have been other times that a similar perspective has been offered to me in response to the views I offered that were similar in vein to this comment above.

To be specific, I once had someone say, "How does that (cashless society/UBI) help me pay my orthodontist for my daughter's braces?"

There tends to be a dependence on something well beyond basic needs used to justify the inevitability of the need for vast employment systems.

I didn't suggest that people shouldn't work. I suggested that more of their work should be for their own benefit. Clearly, there are impracticalities, based on a grid system, to everyone having their own electricity (to borrow the electrician reference above), but, I happen to live in South Australia, the state with the highest per capita cost of electricity in the 'developed' world.

Ironically, this is where Elon Musk, an advocate of Universal Basic Income (UBI) built a battery to show that household batteries could replace a grid system, allowing everyone to have their own power source, rather than sharing a communal one.

Ironically again, even as we speak, there is a challenge to who the Prime Minister of Australia will be that took place in the last 24 hours, where the current Prime Minister only avoided being replaced by 7 votes out of 83.

The key issue? Not an election. His party is in power and is dissatisfied with his position on developing a 'National Energy Policy.'

https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/malcolm-turnbull-removes-all-climate-change-targets-from-energy-policy-in-fresh-bid-to-save-leadership-20180820-p4zyht.html

There is a whole generation that was born with the promise that electricity would be so cheap that it would essentially be free. The country tried to roll out an 'Insulation Scheme' that would help insulate homes to reduce household power costs. Several unlicensed people got in on the jobs opportunity that this presented and wound up burning down homes and killing people. Now, no one will even talk about insulation because it has become a political third rail, all to create jobs.

Australia also is experiencing a budget blowout because of the rollout of a fiber-netowrk throughout the country, which has a land mass the size of the lower-48 states of the U.S., but, only about 8% of the U.S.'s population. That's a lot of fiber, and, despite all of the contracts and 'jobs for the boys' and employment and jobs that make governments sound invested in people, the network is already becoming obsolete because of the presence of wireless towers.

It might not be ideal for avoiding lag time when I'm playing Fortnite, but, the point is, for all of our inventions, the human endeavour remains the same.

Marry. Have children. Raise, feed and educate them. Rinse and repeat.

Everything else is a reflection of our cosmetic values and preferences and are, accordingly, optional. What is represented by the visual appeal of braces in one culture could be tattooing in another culture, or a giant frisbee inserted into the bottom lip in yet another culture beyond those.

I mean, American society tends to put the British on a pedestal, and it certainly isn't because of their fantastic teeth.

These also are things that can be addressed through the sharing of information. If you can put blueprints to instructions to have a 3D printer build a gun on the internet, you can reduce anything to a set of instructions or, better yet, a patch that will build it for you.

However, often, if not always, money incentivizes people to over-complicate true needs (bride-zilla) and to invent false ones (injure-and-rescue sales tactics).
http://www.un.org/en/peace/

"While people are saying, "There is peace and security," then sudden destruction will come upon them ..., and they will not escape." - 1 Thess 5:2-3
ATRAIN53
Head Coach
Posts: 7,461
And1: 2,562
Joined: Dec 14, 2007
Location: Chicago

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#129 » by ATRAIN53 » Wed Aug 22, 2018 3:15 pm

MalagaBulls wrote:
Dieselbound&Down wrote:
MalagaBulls wrote:Having worked in technology all my life I can safely say I am 1000% grateful for the experience and benefits it has brought me. I retired this year at the young age of 54. Not bad at all.


Something to aspire to. I'm on course to retire about 30 years older than that.
The secret is to plan carefully and maximise your retirement plan contributions. For 12 years I contributed 6% and my company paid in a whopping 17%.

Enviado desde mi SM-A520F mediante Tapatalk


54 :o
How many kids?
People are telling me to expect my kid to live at home until mid 20's
I'll be long past 60 if so :cry:

I was planning carefully and dumping mad $$$ into my 401k in my early 20's -
Then watched most of it vanish in 2007 overnight. It's a long game now.

I think it also might help living in a country with a National Healthcare system.
I know a lot of people who tried to retire or semi-retire @ that age and have had to go back to work to pay for Health Insurance!
this also stops a ton of people from starting their own business to try new ideas to strike it rich (notably ME)

regardless - Madrid is beautiful, congrats!
I wish they would refer to the UC as "The Plaza del Toros" once in a while!
User avatar
dougthonus
Senior Mod - Bulls
Senior Mod - Bulls
Posts: 58,823
And1: 18,889
Joined: Dec 22, 2004
Contact:
 

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#130 » by dougthonus » Wed Aug 22, 2018 3:24 pm

ATRAIN53 wrote:I was planning carefully and dumping mad $$$ into my 401k in my early 20's -
Then watched most of it vanish in 2007 overnight. It's a long game now.


As long as you didn't take it out you should be pretty well off. The market is still 50% higher today than it was precrash in 2007.
MalagaBulls
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,067
And1: 2,223
Joined: Dec 15, 2013
Location: Malaga, Spain (Where the Sun shines 300 days a year))
         

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#131 » by MalagaBulls » Wed Aug 22, 2018 4:18 pm

ATRAIN53 wrote:
MalagaBulls wrote:
Dieselbound&Down wrote:
Something to aspire to. I'm on course to retire about 30 years older than that.
The secret is to plan carefully and maximise your retirement plan contributions. For 12 years I contributed 6% and my company paid in a whopping 17%.

Enviado desde mi SM-A520F mediante Tapatalk


54 :o
How many kids?
People are telling me to expect my kid to live at home until mid 20's
I'll be long past 60 if so :cry:

I was planning carefully and dumping mad $$$ into my 401k in my early 20's -
Then watched most of it vanish in 2007 overnight. It's a long game now.

I think it also might help living in a country with a National Healthcare system.
I know a lot of people who tried to retire or semi-retire @ that age and have had to go back to work to pay for Health Insurance!
this also stops a ton of people from starting their own business to try new ideas to strike it rich (notably ME)

regardless - Madrid is beautiful, congrats!
I wish they would refer to the UC as "The Plaza del Toros" once in a while!
Spain has had it's share of social problems though, enourmous budget deficits left by the outgoing socialist government in 2011 and then pretty drastic austerity measures by the right after strong pressure from the EU (huge cuts in healthcare & education). As of 2013 we a national un-employment rate of 29% which was among the highest in the modern world with a bleak outlook. Many people thought the ruling party would ask the EU for a bailout much like Greece did. At leastwe were able to stave off bankruptcy although it is not as good as people might think. Unemployment is now at 15.2% but still way too high. I actually had to work outside of Spain most of my last 15 years due to the state of our local economy in Malaga. But all that is a thing of the past. Now it is time to relax and cheer for my teams, including the Bulls. Want to meet up in Chitown in November Atrain?
No kids of my own Atrain. My wife had 2 kids from a prior marriage who I adore which was enough for me.
ATRAIN53
Head Coach
Posts: 7,461
And1: 2,562
Joined: Dec 14, 2007
Location: Chicago

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#132 » by ATRAIN53 » Fri Aug 24, 2018 2:26 pm

For sure, I'm right in the touristy area downtown so shout when you're down here and we'll meet up. Luka is here 11/12 and my son is angling to go to that already. Hopefully the weather does not suck!
User avatar
johnnyvann840
RealGM
Posts: 34,207
And1: 18,703
Joined: Sep 04, 2010

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#133 » by johnnyvann840 » Sun Sep 9, 2018 6:41 pm

25 fastest dying professions

1. Travel Agent
2. Mortgage Broker
3. Accountant
4. Lawyer
5. Broadcasting
6. Middle Management
7. Casino Cashier
8. IT Guy
9. Financial Planner
10. Floral Designer
11. Postal Worker
12. Photo Processor
13. Data Entry Clerk
14. Telephone Operator
15. Farmers and Ranchers
16. Fast Food Cook
17. Newspaper Reporter
18. Jeweler
19. Textile Machine Worker
20. Furniture Finishing
21. Door to Door Sales
22. Print Binding and Finishing worker
23. Detective
24. Routine Architect
25. Primary Care Physician

https://www.workandmoney.com/s/dying-professions-83f89af396e34d92?utm_campaign=dyingprofessions-bd7dec0f34c44420&utm_source=tab&utm_medium=cpc&utm_term=nbcnews
dice
RealGM
Posts: 44,080
And1: 13,019
Joined: Jun 30, 2003
Location: chicago

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#134 » by dice » Sun Sep 9, 2018 9:21 pm

johnnyvann840 wrote:25 fastest dying professions

1. Travel Agent
2. Mortgage Broker
3. Accountant
4. Lawyer
5. Broadcasting
6. Middle Management
7. Casino Cashier
8. IT Guy
9. Financial Planner
10. Floral Designer
11. Postal Worker
12. Photo Processor
13. Data Entry Clerk
14. Telephone Operator
15. Farmers and Ranchers
16. Fast Food Cook
17. Newspaper Reporter
18. Jeweler
19. Textile Machine Worker
20. Furniture Finishing
21. Door to Door Sales
22. Print Binding and Finishing worker
23. Detective
24. Routine Architect
25. Primary Care Physician

https://www.workandmoney.com/s/dying-professions-83f89af396e34d92?utm_campaign=dyingprofessions-bd7dec0f34c44420&utm_source=tab&utm_medium=cpc&utm_term=nbcnews

'dying' is the wrong word. most of those jobs will always exist
God help Ukraine
God help those fleeing misery to come here
God help the Middle East
God help the climate
God help US health care
User avatar
johnnyvann840
RealGM
Posts: 34,207
And1: 18,703
Joined: Sep 04, 2010

Re: OT: future of jobs or lack thereof 

Post#135 » by johnnyvann840 » Sun Sep 9, 2018 9:33 pm

dice wrote:
johnnyvann840 wrote:25 fastest dying professions

1. Travel Agent
2. Mortgage Broker
3. Accountant
4. Lawyer
5. Broadcasting
6. Middle Management
7. Casino Cashier
8. IT Guy
9. Financial Planner
10. Floral Designer
11. Postal Worker
12. Photo Processor
13. Data Entry Clerk
14. Telephone Operator
15. Farmers and Ranchers
16. Fast Food Cook
17. Newspaper Reporter
18. Jeweler
19. Textile Machine Worker
20. Furniture Finishing
21. Door to Door Sales
22. Print Binding and Finishing worker
23. Detective
24. Routine Architect
25. Primary Care Physician

https://www.workandmoney.com/s/dying-professions-83f89af396e34d92?utm_campaign=dyingprofessions-bd7dec0f34c44420&utm_source=tab&utm_medium=cpc&utm_term=nbcnews

'dying' is the wrong word. most of those jobs will always exist


The author's wording, not mine. I agree though, most of those jobs will always exist, but some won't. I think travel agents are almost gone now. Photo processing same. Some are slowly being eliminated like mortgage brokers. There will always be mortgages and loans, but the typical loan originator is going away due to on line brokers and automated underwriting. Lawyers will always be around but just not as many... and not for a lot of little routine things like basic case research, which is increasingly being done with algorithms. Same with PCP's.. a lot of the things that you used to need a medical professional for can be done with home testing. But, they will always be around, just not as many.
I am more than just a serious basketball fan. I am a life-long addict. I was addicted from birth. - Hunter S. Thompson

Return to Chicago Bulls