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Josh Giddey - Conundrum Killer

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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#121 » by kodo » Thu Nov 28, 2024 4:16 pm

DASMACKDOWN wrote:If you had to choose only one...

Would you rather re-sign Giddey or re-sign Lonzo?


Giddey, Lonzo will be in his 30s by the time this team makes a serious playoff run at the earliest.

Giddey is only 2 years older than Matas, who I'm giving a ton of leeway on any bad plays. Everyone expects Giddey to be a finished, polished product while preaching patience & development guys the same age like Terry/Phillips or even older like PWill. It's a strange double standard.

But there's a huge caveat in assuming he agrees to a cheap contract which seems to be where we're headed. But if he wants to get paid like a polished vet, he needs to play like one.

Lonzo is the better bet (if you're willing to bet he's healthy all season) for win now, but if betting win now we should have kept Caruso for this season and let him walk for nothing in FA. Win now is a terrible direction for a team this mediocre, even if AC was on it we have maybe 1 more W. Caruso can't play defense for the entire team, especially our biggest problem which is paint protection.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#122 » by sco » Thu Nov 28, 2024 6:25 pm

kodo wrote:
DASMACKDOWN wrote:If you had to choose only one...

Would you rather re-sign Giddey or re-sign Lonzo?


Giddey, Lonzo will be in his 30s by the time this team makes a serious playoff run at the earliest.

Giddey is only 2 years older than Matas, who I'm giving a ton of leeway on any bad plays. Everyone expects Giddey to be a finished, polished product while preaching patience & development guys the same age like Terry/Phillips or even older like PWill. It's a strange double standard.

But there's a huge caveat in assuming he agrees to a cheap contract which seems to be where we're headed. But if he wants to get paid like a polished vet, he needs to play like one.

Lonzo is the better bet (if you're willing to bet he's healthy all season) for win now, but if betting win now we should have kept Caruso for this season and let him walk for nothing in FA. Win now is a terrible direction for a team this mediocre, even if AC was on it we have maybe 1 more W. Caruso can't play defense for the entire team, especially our biggest problem which is paint protection.

I'd be open to signing either/both for MLE or less.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#123 » by Pipp33 » Thu Nov 28, 2024 11:59 pm

kodo wrote:
DASMACKDOWN wrote:If you had to choose only one...

Would you rather re-sign Giddey or re-sign Lonzo?


Giddey, Lonzo will be in his 30s by the time this team makes a serious playoff run at the earliest.

Giddey is only 2 years older than Matas, who I'm giving a ton of leeway on any bad plays. Everyone expects Giddey to be a finished, polished product while preaching patience & development guys the same age like Terry/Phillips or even older like PWill. It's a strange double standard.

But there's a huge caveat in assuming he agrees to a cheap contract which seems to be where we're headed. But if he wants to get paid like a polished vet, he needs to play like one.

Lonzo is the better bet (if you're willing to bet he's healthy all season) for win now, but if betting win now we should have kept Caruso for this season and let him walk for nothing in FA. Win now is a terrible direction for a team this mediocre, even if AC was on it we have maybe 1 more W. Caruso can't play defense for the entire team, especially our biggest problem which is paint protection.


Agree completely..Giddey was younger than a lot a this years draft picks, but everyone expects this finished product. With ZERO defense around him, he's not being set up for any success.

Add that he in a new system and the coach wants to bench him after any defensive mistakes (that others also get away with), it makes it a tough start.

We should be blowing it up to really have a go at the next draft, and had the reigns to the younger guys to get minutes and play through mistakes.

The idea of a fully fit Lonzo is great, but can anyone see that ever being a reliable outcome? I hope he goes on to having s Shaun Livingstone type comeback, but I doubt that is with the Bulls.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#124 » by sco » Fri Nov 29, 2024 1:39 am

So if the season ended today, how much would Giddey get from another team as a RFA?

I gotta think MLE or less, no?
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#125 » by Chi town » Fri Nov 29, 2024 1:50 am

sco wrote:So if the season ended today, how much would Giddey get from another team as a RFA?

I gotta think MLE or less, no?


I think so.

His biggest issue is offense. He is setup perfectly here with pace and all the shooters and he still doesn’t do much.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#126 » by Dez » Fri Nov 29, 2024 2:04 am

Chi town wrote:
sco wrote:So if the season ended today, how much would Giddey get from another team as a RFA?

I gotta think MLE or less, no?


I think so.

His biggest issue is offense. He is setup perfectly here with pace and all the shooters and he still doesn’t do much.


He'd be set-up well if he actually consistently ran the offense.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#127 » by Hangtime84 » Fri Nov 29, 2024 7:31 pm

DASMACKDOWN wrote:If you had to choose only one...

Would you rather re-sign Giddey or re-sign Lonzo?


Giddey

He really gonna have work on that defensive awareness and positioning.

Train with Dribblestoomuch, continue improving that shot and finishing at the rim.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#128 » by Chi town » Sat Nov 30, 2024 6:46 pm

Giddey played the best defensive game of his career against the Celts. He can defend bigger stronger wings. He gets embarrassed by smaller quicker shifty guards that change speeds.

I think the bad news is he showed he has nothing on offense against a good playoff team defense. He hesitated over and over on wide open shots and can’t gets his own shot. He’s stiff slow and lumbering when he’s not dribbling full court and getting momentum down hill.

I don’t see how he will improve to be a winning player and offensive asset. His 3pt shooting will be fine but it won’t be enough as he can’t get his own shot.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#129 » by ScrantonBulls » Sat Nov 30, 2024 7:30 pm

It's maddening that AKME acquired Giddey instead of picks. Now they either have to extend him, which he likely won't be worth, or let him go for squat. AK might very well be the worst GM in the league.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#130 » by jnrjr79 » Sat Nov 30, 2024 10:55 pm

DASMACKDOWN wrote:If you had to choose only one...

Would you rather re-sign Giddey or re-sign Lonzo?


Right now, neither. But that’s not your question, so if I were forced to sign one, I would say “at what cost?”

If Lonzo will only get a short & cheap deal because of his injury history, which seems likely, I’d take that over 4 years at MLE money for Giddey, I think. That could change depending on how Giddey plays the rest of the year, but that’s my general feeling at this early-ish point in the season.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#131 » by Infinity2152 » Sun Dec 1, 2024 1:44 am

If the rookie we draft next season is 21 and puts up 12 pts, 7 assists and 6 rebounds with 36% 3pt shooting, we'll be freaking ecstatic. It's CRAZY to me that people are ready to give up on Giddey's potential in 21 games on a new team yet keep wanting to talk rebuild. Giddey has a very high ceiling if/when he gets it all together. That's exactly the type of young player we should be adding, not getting rid of.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#132 » by Chi town » Sun Dec 1, 2024 1:55 am

Infinity2152 wrote:If the rookie we draft next season is 21 and puts up 12 pts, 7 assists and 6 rebounds with 36% 3pt shooting, we'll be freaking ecstatic. It's CRAZY to me that people are ready to give up on Giddey's potential in 21 games on a new team yet keep wanting to talk rebuild. Giddey has a very high ceiling if/when he gets it all together. That's exactly the type of young player we should be adding, not getting rid of.


I think he will get this season. We will see what he does once Vuc and Lavine/Coby move on and he will need to take on a much bigger offensive role.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#133 » by Infinity2152 » Sun Dec 1, 2024 5:34 am

Chi town wrote:
Infinity2152 wrote:If the rookie we draft next season is 21 and puts up 12 pts, 7 assists and 6 rebounds with 36% 3pt shooting, we'll be freaking ecstatic. It's CRAZY to me that people are ready to give up on Giddey's potential in 21 games on a new team yet keep wanting to talk rebuild. Giddey has a very high ceiling if/when he gets it all together. That's exactly the type of young player we should be adding, not getting rid of.


I think he will get this season. We will see what he does once Vuc and Lavine/Coby move on and he will need to take on a much bigger offensive role.


I just think a lot of this criticism is crazy. Like he's 6'8" and people are talking about he can't guard smaller shiftier guards. Most 6'8" players can't guard faster guards. He's always playing with two smaller guards, he shouldn't be guarding the fast small guards anyway. One of the biggest knocks on him was his outside shooting. He's already shown improvement there. He's not likely to get much faster, he's very likely to get stronger. He's very likely to get smarter on defense. His best position may be power forward. I think the constant improvement in his shooting shows he's putting in work. Coming to a new defensive scheme with far worse players, should his defense realistically look better now? If we let him go for anything close to market value, we're VERY likely to regret it. Like Lauri level regret it, maybe even worse.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#134 » by Chi town » Sun Dec 1, 2024 3:04 pm

Infinity2152 wrote:
Chi town wrote:
Infinity2152 wrote:If the rookie we draft next season is 21 and puts up 12 pts, 7 assists and 6 rebounds with 36% 3pt shooting, we'll be freaking ecstatic. It's CRAZY to me that people are ready to give up on Giddey's potential in 21 games on a new team yet keep wanting to talk rebuild. Giddey has a very high ceiling if/when he gets it all together. That's exactly the type of young player we should be adding, not getting rid of.


I think he will get this season. We will see what he does once Vuc and Lavine/Coby move on and he will need to take on a much bigger offensive role.


I just think a lot of this criticism is crazy. Like he's 6'8" and people are talking about he can't guard smaller shiftier guards. Most 6'8" players can't guard faster guards. He's always playing with two smaller guards, he shouldn't be guarding the fast small guards anyway. One of the biggest knocks on him was his outside shooting. He's already shown improvement there. He's not likely to get much faster, he's very likely to get stronger. He's very likely to get smarter on defense. His best position may be power forward. I think the constant improvement in his shooting shows he's putting in work. Coming to a new defensive scheme with far worse players, should his defense realistically look better now? If we let him go for anything close to market value, we're VERY likely to regret it. Like Lauri level regret it, maybe even worse.


Sorry this is the league we are in.

His D has to rise to the point where he is not targeted ala Trae Young. Coby was targeted in PNR switched and ISOs too.

His shooting is a bit more nuanced than “making more”. He still passes up way too many open 3s, still hesitates and is not ready to let it fly, and as a result can’t attack a close out and create offense for himself or others… because the opposing team leaves him open on purpose and rarely closes out.

Giddey has no gravity. The defense isn’t scared of him. He doesn’t create advantages for his team on offense. He’s a good passer. Bad scorer. Reluctant shooter. He’s getting the same Pat Williams development excuses.

I will give him this year but I’m not holding my breath. We would need to see some drastic development. He’d have to play D like he did against the Celtics nearly every game, shoot the 3 aggressively, and develop some time of offense off the dribble.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#135 » by DuckIII » Sun Dec 1, 2024 3:21 pm

Infinity2152 wrote:If the rookie we draft next season is 21 and puts up 12 pts, 7 assists and 6 rebounds with 36% 3pt shooting, we'll be freaking ecstatic. It's CRAZY to me that people are ready to give up on Giddey's potential in 21 games on a new team yet keep wanting to talk rebuild. Giddey has a very high ceiling if/when he gets it all together. That's exactly the type of young player we should be adding, not getting rid of.


1. Defense matters. A lot.

2. Giddey is not a rookie. He's in his 4th year and is statistically worse on the whole this year than he was the last 2 years. He has shown virtually no real growth since his rookie season except with this 3 ball which is still questionable. That doesn't mean he's not good. It just means drawing an "upside" analogy to a rookie who could perform like Giddey performs in year 4 is a poor argument.

3. I think - I might be wrong - most people are not concerned with Giddey being on the Bulls as a general proposition. The concern is at what cost and in what role? There are a few posters who just flat out hate Giddey. But I think most think he'd make a fine 6th-7th man at a reasonable price reflecting that role.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#136 » by sco » Sun Dec 1, 2024 3:31 pm

DuckIII wrote:
Infinity2152 wrote:If the rookie we draft next season is 21 and puts up 12 pts, 7 assists and 6 rebounds with 36% 3pt shooting, we'll be freaking ecstatic. It's CRAZY to me that people are ready to give up on Giddey's potential in 21 games on a new team yet keep wanting to talk rebuild. Giddey has a very high ceiling if/when he gets it all together. That's exactly the type of young player we should be adding, not getting rid of.


1. Defense matters. A lot.

2. Giddey is not a rookie. He's in his 4th year and is statistically worse on the whole this year than he was the last 2 years. He has shown virtually no real growth since his rookie season except with this 3 ball which is still questionable. That doesn't mean he's not good. It just means drawing an "upside" analogy to a rookie who could perform like Giddey performs in year 4 is a poor argument.

3. I think - I might be wrong - most people are not concerned with Giddey being on the Bulls as a general proposition. The concern is at what cost and in what role? There are a few posters who just flat out hate Giddey. But I think most think he'd made a fine 6th-7th man at a reasonable price reflecting that role.


Like many, I'm rooting for good deals to come along for Zach and Vuc at the deadline. I'm a big believer that guys play differently in different roles. I personally would be interested to see him get a long run alongside a post-Vuc/Zach line-up that is more defensively competent and where he is a #2/#3 option instead of being #4/#5 now. His defense is bad, but I'd like to see what happens if we had a line-up of Giddey, Coby/Ayo, Ayo/Matas, Pat, Smith.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#137 » by League Circles » Sun Dec 1, 2024 3:40 pm

DuckIII wrote:3. I think - I might be wrong - most people are not concerned with Giddey being on the Bulls as a general proposition. The concern is at what cost and in what role? There are a few posters who just flat out hate Giddey. But I think most think he'd made a fine 6th-7th man at a reasonable price reflecting that role.

To this last point, I also agree he could be a good bench leader type and occasionally provide a change of pace when a starting unit offense is struggling, but because the Bulls have no clear identifiable core pieces (top 3 guys on a contender), I think even if we could sign Giddey to a long term fair 6th man type deal, which I doubt we can, I doubt I'd want to because it puts the cart before the horse. Teams can't be doing long term commitments to non core guys when they suck and don't have those core guys already IMO. Only way I'd currently want to keep Giddey is to play a 6th man role but at like 9th man money, if that makes sense.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#138 » by DuckIII » Sun Dec 1, 2024 3:53 pm

sco wrote:
DuckIII wrote:
Infinity2152 wrote:If the rookie we draft next season is 21 and puts up 12 pts, 7 assists and 6 rebounds with 36% 3pt shooting, we'll be freaking ecstatic. It's CRAZY to me that people are ready to give up on Giddey's potential in 21 games on a new team yet keep wanting to talk rebuild. Giddey has a very high ceiling if/when he gets it all together. That's exactly the type of young player we should be adding, not getting rid of.


1. Defense matters. A lot.

2. Giddey is not a rookie. He's in his 4th year and is statistically worse on the whole this year than he was the last 2 years. He has shown virtually no real growth since his rookie season except with this 3 ball which is still questionable. That doesn't mean he's not good. It just means drawing an "upside" analogy to a rookie who could perform like Giddey performs in year 4 is a poor argument.

3. I think - I might be wrong - most people are not concerned with Giddey being on the Bulls as a general proposition. The concern is at what cost and in what role? There are a few posters who just flat out hate Giddey. But I think most think he'd made a fine 6th-7th man at a reasonable price reflecting that role.


Like many, I'm rooting for good deals to come along for Zach and Vuc at the deadline. I'm a big believer that guys play differently in different roles. I personally would be interested to see him get a long run alongside a post-Vuc/Zach line-up that is more defensively competent and where he is a #2/#3 option instead of being #4/#5 now. His defense is bad, but I'd like to see what happens if we had a line-up of Giddey, Coby/Ayo, Ayo/Matas, Pat, Smith.


I agree about getting a look at him in that context. It is actually the biggest part of the definition of the "conundrum" presented in the post that started the thread: Not having the ability to evaluate him in the context you expect him to play in down the road.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#139 » by DuckIII » Sun Dec 1, 2024 3:56 pm

League Circles wrote:
DuckIII wrote:3. I think - I might be wrong - most people are not concerned with Giddey being on the Bulls as a general proposition. The concern is at what cost and in what role? There are a few posters who just flat out hate Giddey. But I think most think he'd made a fine 6th-7th man at a reasonable price reflecting that role.

To this last point, I also agree he could be a good bench leader type and occasionally provide a change of pace when a starting unit offense is struggling, but because the Bulls have no clear identifiable core pieces (top 3 guys on a contender), I think even if we could sign Giddey to a long term fair 6th man type deal, which I doubt we can, I doubt I'd want to because it puts the cart before the horse. Teams can't be doing long term commitments to non core guys when they suck and don't have those core guys already IMO. Only way I'd currently want to keep Giddey is to play a 6th man role but at like 9th man money, if that makes sense.


One of the things I noted earlier in the thread is that I would overpay Giddey to take a two year deal, assuming we are able to shed the veteran salaries we are trying to shed. That would permit us to evaluate him in a better context with no real long term risk. Its an option I could live with.
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Re: Josh Giddey Conundrum 

Post#140 » by Infinity2152 » Sun Dec 1, 2024 4:29 pm

DuckIII wrote:
League Circles wrote:
DuckIII wrote:3. I think - I might be wrong - most people are not concerned with Giddey being on the Bulls as a general proposition. The concern is at what cost and in what role? There are a few posters who just flat out hate Giddey. But I think most think he'd made a fine 6th-7th man at a reasonable price reflecting that role.

To this last point, I also agree he could be a good bench leader type and occasionally provide a change of pace when a starting unit offense is struggling, but because the Bulls have no clear identifiable core pieces (top 3 guys on a contender), I think even if we could sign Giddey to a long term fair 6th man type deal, which I doubt we can, I doubt I'd want to because it puts the cart before the horse. Teams can't be doing long term commitments to non core guys when they suck and don't have those core guys already IMO. Only way I'd currently want to keep Giddey is to play a 6th man role but at like 9th man money, if that makes sense.


One of the things I noted earlier in the thread is that I would overpay Giddey to take a two year deal, assuming we are able to shed the veteran salaries we are trying to shed. That would permit us to evaluate him in a better context with no real long term risk. Its an option I could live with.


This sounds a lot more reasonable. My thought is there's no way at this present point to even evaluate his defense fairly, moving into an entirely new defensive system is not easy for young players. Having Vuc as the last line of defense makes it even worse, half of defense nowadays is forcing your defense into the help defense, not just staying in front of him. I keep seeing him playing in the NBa for 4 years basically means we should ignore his age, which doesn't make sense. NBA experience is great, but skills are learned over time and in practice, probably far more than 20-30 minutes of game time. That's when you use the skills, not learn them. His skill level should be compared to other 22 year olds, not just other 4 year vets. There are skills learned playing 2-4 years in college too.

It's just odd that people seem to think he's peaked already when he hasn't even come close to his physical peak yet, yet alone skill peak. If he had been putting up 8, 4, and 4 with bad defense for four years, I'd understand more, but he's put up some pretty impressive numbers, regardless of position. There are more efficient players putting up that 8, 4, and 4 with good defense, are they really more valuable? Especially long-term. Again, his defense, especially if he changes positions, is almost certainly going to be better than it is now. His offensive skills will almost inevitably improve as well, he's barely an adult. If we had judged Coby on his age 22 year, he might not be here. Most people here would definitely been against him getting mid-level. They would have been wrong. He's probably WORSE guarding 6'8 players than Giddey is guarding smaller players, lol. I know in todays NBA PF's are supposed to be able to guard point guards, but that's usually going to be a problem, and vice versa.

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