Southpaw wrote:I feel like Wiseman is gonna be the best player in this draft and the chance he reaches his ceiling increases if the Warriors draft him. I wonder how much it would cost to trade up.
I wouldn't be surprised if Wiseman does end up being the best player in the draft, but I wouldn't trade up for him, either.
The upside/downside spreads on all of these draft picks are just too high, including, and maybe especially, Wiseman. The issues with him are (1) the devaluation of the center position in the NBA, generally, (2) lack of a proven shot from range, (3) while an impressive athlete for a center, particularly straight line and in terms of body control, not quite a "SF in a center's body."
This is a tough draft. No super blue chippers a la Lebron, Durant/Odon, Zion/Morant, Rose, KAT, etc.
Instead, it reminds me a lot of the Jabari Parker / Wiggins / Embiid draft. Talent but questions marks. And you look at those drafts - Parker and Wiggins both effective busts. Embiid the only true superstar from the first round, and he could easily have been a bust. Jokic a random superstar out of the 2nd round. But many solid starter NBA talents out of that draft, LaVine, Warren, Aaron Gordon, Randle, Nurkic, Bogdanovic, Capella, maybe 2nd rounders Dinwiddie and Jerami Grant --- and rotation level players Smart, Gary Harris, Hood, McDermott, Anderson, Saric, Inglis, Powell, Clarkson...
Point being that I think there's actually a lot of NBA talent, but I also think that this particular group is hard to project out (compounded by the lack of a tourney, a large number of non-NCAA higher prospects), and give that higher risk profile, probably not worth much of a cost to move up from 4.