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Bears 2023 thread V

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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1381 » by dice » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:15 pm

Kurt Heimlich wrote:
Dresden wrote:
Chicago-Bull-E wrote:
Clearly Alabama. Texas beat Alabama in Alabama, same record, both conf champs. There is no argument. Alabama looked like garbage 7 days ago and needed a miracle to be in the discussion.

A power 5 undefeated school has never been left out of the CFP until today. ESPNs own predictors gave them a 97% chance of getting in, but the money grubbing humans are the ones to decide.


AL just beat the #1 team in the country, who hadn't lost a game in 3 years. There's no way you could leave them out. And then it would be very hard to leave TX out since they beat Bama. And to top it off, FSU lost their star QB, which weakens them considerably, making them pretty clearly the weakest of the 5 teams. It sucks for them, but it would suck for any of those teams to be left out.


The system is F'd, but Washington looks like the weak link here. Michigan, Texas, Bama, Georgia feels like the right call. But play a weak schedule out west and win them all and I guess that gets you in.

washington had the 4th toughest schedule in the nation. and the pac 10 was as good as the big boys top to bottom this year. conference SRS:

7.26 SEC
6.81 pac 12
6.76 big 10
6.23 big 12

4.85 ACC

as for strength of schedule:

4.07 big 10
3.96 pac 12
3.84 big 12
3.11 SEC
2.43 ACC

because SEC teams are in the habit of scheduling non-conference scrimmages

oh, and OSU had a better season than georgia. probably better than 'bama too
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1382 » by fleet » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:16 pm

Panthers take the lead in the 3rd quarter. There is more life in them than the Patriots.
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1383 » by Dominator83 » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:18 pm

fleet wrote:Panthers take the lead in the 3rd quarter. There is more life in them than the Patriots.

And they only play 1 good team the rest of the year
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1384 » by HearshotKDS » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:19 pm

Bucs answer in 1 play with a 75 yard Mike Evans tuddy, neither of these teams want to win
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1385 » by dice » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:22 pm

Dominator83 wrote:
fleet wrote:Panthers take the lead in the 3rd quarter. There is more life in them than the Patriots.

And they only play 1 good team the rest of the year

that's a double-edged sword 'cause the tiebreaker goes to team with worse strength of schedule. and it's gonna be close on that count
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1386 » by HearshotKDS » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:30 pm

dice wrote:
Dominator83 wrote:
fleet wrote:Panthers take the lead in the 3rd quarter. There is more life in them than the Patriots.

And they only play 1 good team the rest of the year

that's a double-edged sword 'cause the tiebreaker goes to team with worse strength of schedule. and it's gonna be close on that count

CAR has a .012 SOS lead and looking at remaining teams on both schedules thats almost garuanteed to grow. Dont think CAR is losign the tie breaker they will have to win 2 games to drop below NE - which isnt impossible but will be very difficult for them to do.
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1387 » by Kurt Heimlich » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:34 pm

HearshotKDS wrote:Bucs answer in 1 play with a 75 yard Mike Evans tuddy, neither of these teams want to win


They both are trying, it seems to me. They both are just really really bad teams lol.
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1388 » by dice » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:39 pm

HearshotKDS wrote:
dice wrote:
Dominator83 wrote:And they only play 1 good team the rest of the year

that's a double-edged sword 'cause the tiebreaker goes to team with worse strength of schedule. and it's gonna be close on that count

CAR has a .012 SOS lead and looking at remaining teams on both schedules thats almost garuanteed to grow. Dont think CAR is losign the tie breaker they will have to win 2 games to drop below NE - which isnt impossible but will be very difficult for them to do.

the team with the WORST schedule has the tiebreaker. so NE had healthy tiebreaker advantage heading into today:

pats SOS -0.59, remaining opponent records 35-32
CAR SOS 1.04, remaining records 31-35

should be close in the end!
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1389 » by HearshotKDS » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:39 pm

Kurt Heimlich wrote:
HearshotKDS wrote:Bucs answer in 1 play with a 75 yard Mike Evans tuddy, neither of these teams want to win


They both are just really really bad teams lol.

Thats objectively and quantifiably true.
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1390 » by HearshotKDS » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:40 pm

dice wrote:
HearshotKDS wrote:
dice wrote:that's a double-edged sword 'cause the tiebreaker goes to team with worse strength of schedule. and it's gonna be close on that count

CAR has a .012 SOS lead and looking at remaining teams on both schedules thats almost garuanteed to grow. Dont think CAR is losign the tie breaker they will have to win 2 games to drop below NE - which isnt impossible but will be very difficult for them to do.

the team with the WORST schedule has the tiebreaker. so NE had healthy tiebreaker advantage heading into today:

pats SOS -0.59, remaining opponent records 35-32
CAR SOS 1.04, remaining records 31-35

should be close in the end!

Where are you getting those numbers NFL had CAR at .520 and NE at .532 going into today.
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1391 » by dice » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:47 pm

HearshotKDS wrote:
dice wrote:
HearshotKDS wrote:CAR has a .012 SOS lead and looking at remaining teams on both schedules thats almost garuanteed to grow. Dont think CAR is losign the tie breaker they will have to win 2 games to drop below NE - which isnt impossible but will be very difficult for them to do.

the team with the WORST schedule has the tiebreaker. so NE had healthy tiebreaker advantage heading into today:

pats SOS -0.59, remaining opponent records 35-32
CAR SOS 1.04, remaining records 31-35

should be close in the end!

Where are you getting those numbers NFL had CAR at .520 and NE at .532 going into today.

pro-football-reference. but it looks like they're going by opponent SRS rather than record. and the tiebreaker is determined by record. so fortunately it appears that you are correct!
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1392 » by HearshotKDS » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:49 pm

dice wrote:
HearshotKDS wrote:
dice wrote:the team with the WORST schedule has the tiebreaker. so NE had healthy tiebreaker advantage heading into today:

pats SOS -0.59, remaining opponent records 35-32
CAR SOS 1.04, remaining records 31-35

should be close in the end!

Where are you getting those numbers NFL had CAR at .520 and NE at .532 going into today.

pro-football-reference. but it looks like they're going by opponent SRS rather than record. and the tiebreaker is determined by record. so fortunately it appears that you are correct!

I always am, bby. Edit: might not matter if TB just lets them back in this
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1393 » by Kurt Heimlich » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:57 pm

2 pt conversion! We got a barn burner in Tampa for all us Bears fans.
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1394 » by HearshotKDS » Sun Dec 3, 2023 11:58 pm

Think 21 goes into OT, first to 24 probably wins this one.
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1395 » by Kurt Heimlich » Mon Dec 4, 2023 12:01 am

In a world where we could pick our games of the week, we'd all be locked in on panthers/bucs instead of this niners piss pounding of the eagles.
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1396 » by HoopsterJones » Mon Dec 4, 2023 12:13 am

Bucs hang on to beat the Panthers. Double win for both Bears picks.
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1397 » by Dominator83 » Mon Dec 4, 2023 12:14 am

That was close ! Huge win
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1398 » by Kurt Heimlich » Mon Dec 4, 2023 12:15 am

Lets go boys! Come on Bill, find your last sack of respect and "Lovie" energy" and win a game or two before you're canned my brother.
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1399 » by panthermark » Mon Dec 4, 2023 1:11 am

Jealousy is a sickness.......get well soon....
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Re: Bears 2023 thread V 

Post#1400 » by fleet » Mon Dec 4, 2023 2:04 am

Jordan Love keeps getting better and better.

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