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The Bulls should go all in for Zion

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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#141 » by PJSteven22 » Mon Apr 21, 2025 9:41 pm

jnrjr79 wrote:
PJSteven22 wrote:
jnrjr79 wrote:
I think the passing thing would work well together. Mostly I'd be worried about enough shooting and whether Giddey's hot streak is "real."

Assuming Coby is outbound in the deal, I feel like you need a 1 who can shoot the 3 and defend (a healthy Lonzo would be great here, but alas), + Giddey, Matas, Zion + a good defensive/mobile C.

TBH, if he could get his shot back, Ayo is not a bad fit with that sort of a group.

That team doesn’t have enough perimeter shot creation and it’s still a negative on defense depending on the center they acquire.


Yeah, I specifically noted you'd need a defensive C and a shooter at 1. Shot "creation" does look like an issue and you're going to have to bank on Matas being able to do some of that in the long-term.

There is literally no good and balanced roster that the Bulls are a single transaction away from creating.

Matas was more of a play finisher this year and would have to make an SGA/Paul George level leap in order to fill that void. I just think you’re stuck in a similar position with Zion and Giddey as your top 2.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#142 » by Infinity2152 » Mon Apr 21, 2025 9:44 pm

dougthonus wrote:
Infinity2152 wrote:If we play Matas at SF, we have a need at PF. many of those teams don't. We have other good pieces that would be left (Coby and Matas). He costs near $40 mill, most team will have to send out that much in players the Pelicans would want. Find me two players going to them, guard averaging 20pts, a 19/10 center, both expiring, plus picks and I'll agree. Not going to keep debating Vuc and Coby's value, Coby's a 20 pt scorer, and Vuc is a 19/10 player. Show me equivalents scorers. Look at the contracts throughout the league, offense is valued and paid more than defense.


If you think Vuc has any value whatsoever over expiring contract, there is no reason worth arguing about it, because you are simply wrong. The Pelicans wouldn't want Vuc, he has no purpose. Sadly Stacey King is not the GM of another franchise and simply yelling out raw box score numbers and equating it to value is not how any GM/EVP in the NBA does business.

Coby might be interesting for them except that he'll be unrestricted at the end of the season and can merely walk away, and they can't extend him, so it's a really big risk for them to take. I don't think either of those guys have much use in a trade if I'm the Pelicans. Coby might be a good asset because you can flip it into a 3 team trade though, and someone else takes him and gives the Pelicans the assets.

Seems to be a common theme in here: We shouldn't get/keep/pay player X because he's not worth it, but there will be intense interest in the league for other teams to overpay that player (Coby, Giddey, Zion, etc) who's not good enough for us. If 10-15 teams will bid on a player or take a player, why don't we want him again? Because we have too much talent here already?


By default, trades are always that way because value is typically 50/50 right? Like any time you trade for a guy you should expect that you are getting the same value as you are giving up. People will disagree on what the value is, but ultimately, both GMs have to agree the value is better for them, and that usually happens because they want different types of values. On top of that, the value is set for reach player at whomever in the league has the highest assessment of that player.

For your own younger players, it's very frequently you. Like we probably think higher of Matas than every other team and higher of Coby White than every other team.

If anyone thinks barring a career ending injury or some meteoric rise by Coby that Coby with be even close to Zion's value over the next few years, don't know what to tell you. Zion's floor is near Coby's ceiling, imo. People are currently expecting healthy Coby to get $30 mill and saying that's too much. You're not getting current Zion as a free agent for that much, although I'm sure there would be injury clauses.


Zion's floor is lighting 120M dollars on fire and not only is that his floor, it is also the reality of what he has done to date. The Pelicans have been absolutely ruined by him because you can't game plan around the focal point of your team playing in 1/3rd of the games. Coby's ceiling is much higher than that.

Again, I'd be okay trading for Zion and even moving Coby for Zion, but this statement is ridiculous.


Who cares if Vuc has value over expiring contract? That's still value. And it's ridiculous logic, of course he would have value over one or two $20 mill expirings who can't get on the court. Vuc is likely starting wherever he goes, or at least playing 20+ minutes. That's worth more than a $20 mill expiring you can't play any minutes, right? Is Vucevic getting traded to a team and playing less than 20 minutes?

You say team overrate their own players, and you're right we do. So what does the fact that we're talking about sending a $20 mill expiring, Coby and picks as even an option for Zion mean? That Coby is perceived as far less valuable than Zion. Half the people here don't even want to keep Coby as a starting SG, lmao!!!! They don't want to pay him $30 mill. And he's our own player, with no attitude or real injury issues. He's 25, he's likely near his ceiling right now.

I want you to say clearly that you think we would get more in a trade for Coby than the Pelicans will get in a trade for Zion. Then you can call the statement ridiculous.

You want to keep saying he's going to play one third of the games, give a reason other than "Well, it's been like that 4 of 6 years." They are different injuries. Take out year he missed the entire season his average is 42 games. Stupid stat. We don't know how many games he's been a healthy scratch either. Tell me his back is going to give out, or his ankles are bad, not just "Somehow, he's going to get hurt because it happened 4 of 6 years." He's played close to 35 games ONCE in his career. Be great if people identify why and how they think he's going to get hurt. That would at least be more productive than, "He's always hurt." Different discussion if his games played were 35, 35, 35, 35, 35 and not all over the place.

2020-2021 Zion played 61 games. Pelicans are 31-41.
2021-2022 Did not play Pelicans are 36-40
2022-2023 Zion plays 29 games Pelicans are 42-40
2023-2024 Zion plays 70 games Yay, 49-33
2024-2025 Zion plays 30 games Some (at least me) think he could have played more Team is 21-61

Outside of 2023-2024, doesn't seem like more Zion's injuries have been the reason the Pelicans have been bad.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#143 » by WindyCityBorn » Mon Apr 21, 2025 10:02 pm

boozapalooza wrote:
Jeffster81 wrote:
jnrjr79 wrote:
No, because NO can simply cut him b/c he didn't hit his minimum games played threshold this year for the remainder of his contract to be guaranteed.


I'm not interested in Zion, is my point.


Why would this team be interested in making a high risk move for once? If it doesnt work out, we will be a bottom 5 team. Is that worse than losing in the play in game 3 years in a row?

I can’t understand the mentality some people have. If you can’t get interested by the possibility of having Zion on your team…wtf are you hoping for the Bulls to do? Sign more mediocre talent and run it back?

Maybe NO is just a toxic environment for him. We have seen plenty of young guys benefit from a change of scenery (Lauri). To write off Zion at this stage of his career is way too extreme.


We made high risk move with Vuc. How did that work out?
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#144 » by WindyCityBorn » Mon Apr 21, 2025 10:03 pm

drosestruts wrote:What's interesting with Zion is that it's not a matter of talent or ability to perform. The question marks are around his health and durability.

You can play for the draft lottery but there your biggest question is almost always talent and ability.

Zion removes the biggest question.

If the Clippers win a title this year, ask their fans if all the Kawhi injury uncertainty was worth it.

No one doubts Kawhi's talent. And talent is always the biggest question and differentiator.


Clippers aren’t winning anything. And they have up SGA to pair Paul George with Kawhi. One of the biggest trade losses ever. Loser organization.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#145 » by Infinity2152 » Mon Apr 21, 2025 10:05 pm

boozapalooza wrote:
Jeffster81 wrote:
jnrjr79 wrote:
No, because NO can simply cut him b/c he didn't hit his minimum games played threshold this year for the remainder of his contract to be guaranteed.


I'm not interested in Zion, is my point.


Why would this team be interested in making a high risk move for once? If it doesnt work out, we will be a bottom 5 team. Is that worse than losing in the play in game 3 years in a row?

I can’t understand the mentality some people have. If you can’t get interested by the possibility of having Zion on your team…wtf are you hoping for the Bulls to do? Sign more mediocre talent and run it back?

Maybe NO is just a toxic environment for him. We have seen plenty of young guys benefit from a change of scenery (Lauri). To write off Zion at this stage of his career is way too extreme.


There is no better plan to add a number 1. Not a concrete one, with real player targets. I've asked so many times. We should just stay still and wait for the miracle while Matas contract expires and we're paying Giddey on his new contract.

Proposed a Jaylen Brown trade once and was ridiculed. Still no suggestions to adding a top player though. Favorite pass time in here is identifying problems and not being free to consider outside the box solutions. Damn near every time a true number 1 moves teams, it's a unique situation and/or they're demanding out.

It was too risky to re-sign Giddey. It's too risky to re-sign Coby. Too risky to trade for Zion. Why would any team let a number 1 go with no risk? Unless he demands out and/or they receive a stupendous offer.

I don't think Zion has had a serious NON-CONTACT injury for like two years. I'm not counting a back contusion from falling on the court. What's the date of his last major non-contact injury? Think he had a hamstring strain in there somewhere cost him some time, if that goes with injury prone.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#146 » by Daxel » Mon Apr 21, 2025 10:38 pm

Zion does not works and the Bulls fall to the bottom.
Zion works and Bulls contend.
Either way the team gets out of the middle (Hopefully).
I'll say do the trade.
I agree a championship may not go through Zion but I'm sure it does not go through Coby.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#147 » by dougthonus » Mon Apr 21, 2025 10:49 pm

Infinity2152 wrote:Who cares if Vuc has value over expiring contract? That's still value. And it's ridiculous logic, of course he would have value over one or two $20 mill expirings who can't get on the court. Vuc is likely starting wherever he goes, or at least playing 20+ minutes. That's worth more than a $20 mill expiring you can't play any minutes, right? Is Vucevic getting traded to a team and playing less than 20 minutes?


No, I don't think it is worth more for the Pelicans, nor do I think Vuc is a starting caliber player in the NBA. Maybe a 20 minute player, but I would guess the Pelicans would see no difference in Vuc vs Huerter vs Collins in this trade, but to the extent they do see some value saying "I don't care, Vuc averages 19/10 that has value" is just being purposefully obtuse about Vuc's value to a rebuilding team. 19/10 sounds like a good player, but Vuc isn't a good player. Those counting stats are actually disruptive to the team, he doesn't fit their timeline, he has no trade value (as we saw at the deadline this past year when we were shopping him).

You say team overrate their own players, and you're right we do. So what does the fact that we're talking about sending a $20 mill expiring, Coby and picks as even an option for Zion mean? That Coby is perceived as far less valuable than Zion. Half the people here don't even want to keep Coby as a starting SG, lmao!!!! They don't want to pay him $30 mill. And he's our own player, with no attitude or real injury issues. He's 25, he's likely near his ceiling right now.


I am not trying to be insulting, but I have no idea what your point is. I agree though that Coby is probably near his cap if not at it right now.

I want you to say clearly that you think we would get more in a trade for Coby than the Pelicans will get in a trade for Zion. Then you can call the statement ridiculous.


I don't think Coby is worth more than Zion. I said Coby's ceiling is much higher than Zion's floor which was your statement. Zion's floor is -120M or whatever he is owed on his contract. Thus far, he is worthless as an NBA player. The Pelicans from a win standpoint would probably be better off he he were simply not on their team because they would have reallocated the money elsewhere. That is Zion's floor. Coby's ceiling is higher than being a -120M dollar player. In fact any player that is just cheaper than Zion has a higher ceiling than Zion's floor. Jevon Carter's ceiling is higher than Zion's floor, because Jevon Carter is only -7m and Zion's floor is you have 120M dollars clogged on your cap with no value and while technically, every player's floor is the being worth nothing on their contract, with Zion it is a reasonable assumption, perhaps even the most likely outcome, that this is true for him which isn't something you could say about any other starting caliber guy in the NBA except maybe Embiid and Lonzo.

You want to keep saying he's going to play one third of the games, give a reason other than "Well, it's been like that 4 of 6 years." They are different injuries. Take out year he missed the entire season his average is 42 games. Stupid stat. We don't know how many games he's been a healthy scratch either. Tell me his back is going to give out, or his ankles are bad, not just "Somehow, he's going to get hurt because it happened 4 of 6 years." He's played close to 35 games ONCE in his career. Be great if people identify why and how they think he's going to get hurt. That would at least be more productive than, "He's always hurt." Different discussion if his games played were 35, 35, 35, 35, 35 and not all over the place.

2020-2021 Zion played 61 games. Pelicans are 31-41.
2021-2022 Did not play Pelicans are 36-40
2022-2023 Zion plays 29 games Pelicans are 42-40
2023-2024 Zion plays 70 games Yay, 49-33
2024-2025 Zion plays 30 games Some (at least me) think he could have played more Team is 21-61

Outside of 2023-2024, doesn't seem like more Zion's injuries have been the reason the Pelicans have been bad.


He's played 24, 61, 0, 29, 70, 30. So in four of six seasons he has played 30 games or fewer. Why is he hurt? Who knows, but it is likely a combination of weight, speed, torque, and biomechanics. It's all lower body injuries which tend to be compensatory for each other and beget other lower body injuries. Over his career, I don't know of a meaningful player that has averaged fewer games per season. I looked at Rose, Lonzo and Embiid and they all averaged more, counting their fully missed years (Lonzo barely).

Maybe it is just a horrible string of bad luck for Zion, but it seems like the guy whom has played the fewest games in the NBA amongst guys whom would clearly be a starter if they were healthy seems like someone that there is ample reason to be concerned that he will miss more games in the future.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#148 » by Ice Man » Mon Apr 21, 2025 11:16 pm

Trading for Zion is like trading for Ben Simmons.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#149 » by prolific passer » Mon Apr 21, 2025 11:18 pm

Ice Man wrote:Trading for Zion is like trading for Ben Simmons.

Really? Zion can probably give you 25 10 5apg if he put his mind to it. Barkleyish type numbers.

Ben Simmons can give you horrible shooting from all aspects.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#150 » by WindyCityBorn » Tue Apr 22, 2025 12:06 am

Daxel wrote:Zion does not works and the Bulls fall to the bottom.
Zion works and Bulls contend.
Either way the team gets out of the middle (Hopefully).
I'll say do the trade.
I agree a championship may not go through Zion but I'm sure it does not go through Coby.


Very NBA 2Kish mindset.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#151 » by WindyCityBorn » Tue Apr 22, 2025 12:07 am

prolific passer wrote:
Ice Man wrote:Trading for Zion is like trading for Ben Simmons.

Really? Zion can probably give you 25 10 5apg if he put his mind to it. Barkleyish type numbers.

Ben Simmons can give you horrible shooting from all aspects.


Zion plays 35 games a season. He’s garbage. If you aren’t playing then you are worthless. That’s the only reason we think he could be available. Because NO knows he’s worthless.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#152 » by prolific passer » Tue Apr 22, 2025 12:09 am

WindyCityBorn wrote:
prolific passer wrote:
Ice Man wrote:Trading for Zion is like trading for Ben Simmons.

Really? Zion can probably give you 25 10 5apg if he put his mind to it. Barkleyish type numbers.

Ben Simmons can give you horrible shooting from all aspects.


Zion plays 35 games a season. He’s garbage. If you aren’t playing then you are worthless. That’s the only we think he could be available. Because NO knows he’s worthless.

Plays more than Simmons.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#153 » by Daxel » Tue Apr 22, 2025 12:22 am

WindyCityBorn wrote:
Daxel wrote:Zion does not works and the Bulls fall to the bottom.
Zion works and Bulls contend.
Either way the team gets out of the middle (Hopefully).
I'll say do the trade.
I agree a championship may not go through Zion but I'm sure it does not go through Coby.


Very NBA 2Kish mindset.


Haven't played since 2003 (the one with Jason Kidd in the front) so I wouldn't know.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#154 » by JohnnyKILLroy » Tue Apr 22, 2025 12:23 am

Why willingly invite cancer into the organism?
What is happiness? It's a moment before you need more happiness.” — Don Draper
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#155 » by prolific passer » Tue Apr 22, 2025 12:26 am

Daxel wrote:
WindyCityBorn wrote:
Daxel wrote:Zion does not works and the Bulls fall to the bottom.
Zion works and Bulls contend.
Either way the team gets out of the middle (Hopefully).
I'll say do the trade.
I agree a championship may not go through Zion but I'm sure it does not go through Coby.


Very NBA 2Kish mindset.


Haven't played since 2003 (the one with Jason Kidd in the front) so I wouldn't know.


That was NBA live
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#156 » by coldfish » Tue Apr 22, 2025 1:21 am

I was a huge Zion fan coming into the league and think that if he could stay healthy and had a moderately good team around him, he would be a top 10 player. I agree with those saying that the odds of him staying healthy for more than half the year are likely really close to zero.

I would take him on a flyer. I do think that his trade value is being badly overstated. Everyone else sees what we do.

I would do Coby, Patrick, Jevon (filler) and this year's first. You get out of Patrick's deal. You don't have to worry about extending Coby. You just give up #12. Would NOP do that? Would they get better offers? I don't know but I think Zion's trade market would be limited.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#157 » by jnrjr79 » Tue Apr 22, 2025 1:28 am

coldfish wrote:I was a huge Zion fan coming into the league and think that if he could stay healthy and had a moderately good team around him, he would be a top 10 player. I agree with those saying that the odds of him staying healthy for more than half the year are likely really close to zero.

I would take him on a flyer. I do think that his trade value is being badly overstated. Everyone else sees what we do.

I would do Coby, Patrick, Jevon (filler) and this year's first. You get out of Patrick's deal. You don't have to worry about extending Coby. You just give up #12. Would NOP do that? Would they get better offers? I don't know but I think Zion's trade market would be limited.


I would do this as well. I think the key in any Zion deal would be avoiding giving away future firsts over the life of his deal. Part of the upside of trading for him would be that if he gets hurt, you can treat it as a tank year and get a high pick (and potentially cut hm lose and go into a longer tank if so desired, depending on whether and how quickly Giddey and Matas develop). Trading future firsts (without significant protection) for Zion makes the deal really dicey. Of course, NOP knows this and would probably prefer a trading partner willing to gamble with future firsts for this reason.

Like you, I really have no sense of what his market will be, compensation-wise. I see the argument for doing it, but only at a relatively inexpensive price.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#158 » by Infinity2152 » Tue Apr 22, 2025 1:32 am

dougthonus wrote:
Infinity2152 wrote:Who cares if Vuc has value over expiring contract? That's still value. And it's ridiculous logic, of course he would have value over one or two $20 mill expirings who can't get on the court. Vuc is likely starting wherever he goes, or at least playing 20+ minutes. That's worth more than a $20 mill expiring you can't play any minutes, right? Is Vucevic getting traded to a team and playing less than 20 minutes?


No, I don't think it is worth more for the Pelicans, nor do I think Vuc is a starting caliber player in the NBA. Maybe a 20 minute player, but I would guess the Pelicans would see no difference in Vuc vs Huerter vs Collins in this trade, but to the extent they do see some value saying "I don't care, Vuc averages 19/10 that has value" is just being purposefully obtuse about Vuc's value to a rebuilding team. 19/10 sounds like a good player, but Vuc isn't a good player. Those counting stats are actually disruptive to the team, he doesn't fit their timeline, he has no trade value (as we saw at the deadline this past year when we were shopping him).

You say team overrate their own players, and you're right we do. So what does the fact that we're talking about sending a $20 mill expiring, Coby and picks as even an option for Zion mean? That Coby is perceived as far less valuable than Zion. Half the people here don't even want to keep Coby as a starting SG, lmao!!!! They don't want to pay him $30 mill. And he's our own player, with no attitude or real injury issues. He's 25, he's likely near his ceiling right now.


I am not trying to be insulting, but I have no idea what your point is. I agree though that Coby is probably near his cap if not at it right now.

I want you to say clearly that you think we would get more in a trade for Coby than the Pelicans will get in a trade for Zion. Then you can call the statement ridiculous.


I don't think Coby is worth more than Zion. I said Coby's ceiling is much higher than Zion's floor which was your statement. Zion's floor is -120M or whatever he is owed on his contract. Thus far, he is worthless as an NBA player. The Pelicans from a win standpoint would probably be better off he he were simply not on their team because they would have reallocated the money elsewhere. That is Zion's floor. Coby's ceiling is higher than being a -120M dollar player. In fact any player that is just cheaper than Zion has a higher ceiling than Zion's floor. Jevon Carter's ceiling is higher than Zion's floor, because Jevon Carter is only -7m and Zion's floor is you have 120M dollars clogged on your cap with no value and while technically, every player's floor is the being worth nothing on their contract, with Zion it is a reasonable assumption, perhaps even the most likely outcome, that this is true for him which isn't something you could say about any other starting caliber guy in the NBA except maybe Embiid and Lonzo.

You want to keep saying he's going to play one third of the games, give a reason other than "Well, it's been like that 4 of 6 years." They are different injuries. Take out year he missed the entire season his average is 42 games. Stupid stat. We don't know how many games he's been a healthy scratch either. Tell me his back is going to give out, or his ankles are bad, not just "Somehow, he's going to get hurt because it happened 4 of 6 years." He's played close to 35 games ONCE in his career. Be great if people identify why and how they think he's going to get hurt. That would at least be more productive than, "He's always hurt." Different discussion if his games played were 35, 35, 35, 35, 35 and not all over the place.

2020-2021 Zion played 61 games. Pelicans are 31-41.
2021-2022 Did not play Pelicans are 36-40
2022-2023 Zion plays 29 games Pelicans are 42-40
2023-2024 Zion plays 70 games Yay, 49-33
2024-2025 Zion plays 30 games Some (at least me) think he could have played more Team is 21-61

Outside of 2023-2024, doesn't seem like more Zion's injuries have been the reason the Pelicans have been bad.


He's played 24, 61, 0, 29, 70, 30. So in four of six seasons he has played 30 games or fewer. Why is he hurt? Who knows, but it is likely a combination of weight, speed, torque, and biomechanics. It's all lower body injuries which tend to be compensatory for each other and beget other lower body injuries. Over his career, I don't know of a meaningful player that has averaged fewer games per season. I looked at Rose, Lonzo and Embiid and they all averaged more, counting their fully missed years (Lonzo barely).

Maybe it is just a horrible string of bad luck for Zion, but it seems like the guy whom has played the fewest games in the NBA amongst guys whom would clearly be a starter if they were healthy seems like someone that there is ample reason to be concerned that he will miss more games in the future.



Doesn't matter much if you think Vucevic is a starting center. He's always started. Until he doesn't and comes off the bench regulary, he's a starting center and should be valued as such, regardless of your personal feelings. NBA coach sees him as a starting player. Could name a whole lot of players who make or combine to make $20 mill where if they're expiring, they're not getting off the bench. Vuc is more valuable than just a $20 mil expiring contract.

You don't understand my agreeing with your point about teams overvaluing their own players? The point is, this is a Bulls forum, therefore we probably overvalue Coby. Yet most still think it would take a good contract plus Coby plus picks to get Zion. What if we didn't overvalue him, if his value is actually less than we think, what do we have to add to Coby to get Zion.

I do think Zion has had terrible luck. Lot of players have had far more actual injuries than Zion, but his injuries are more severe, taking months to a whole year to recover from. He always seems to be fully recovered, and doesn't repeat the same injuries, so I would attribute a lot of that to circumstance rather than a fundamental weakness in his body. It's not all lower body injuries, the injury that cost him the most time this season is a back contusion, an upper body injury. Lower body covers half your body, you need to localize it more than that. Ankles, knees, etc.

When I'm talking about Coby vs Zion's value, I'm talking about trade value, not personal opinion as a player. Coby is 25, when do we say he's reached his ceiling? But if you want to talk numbers as actual NBA players:

Zions worst season: 26.1 points, 6.6 rbs, 5.7 assts, 61% TS per 36. Age: 22
Coby's best season: 22.2 pts, 4 rbs, 4.8 assts, 60%TS per 36. This season, age 24

Coby's probably near or at his peak, and his best year doesn't beat Zion's worse year when Zion was 2 years younger. Zion's floor is likely higher than Coby's ceiling. Coby needs a jump to match Zion's worst season, when Zion was returning from injury after playing only 29 games the season before.

You're thinking Coby is going to get much better? If he's going to be as good as Zion, no way should we let him go, except he would receive max contract offers in 2026.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#159 » by Infinity2152 » Tue Apr 22, 2025 1:51 am

jnrjr79 wrote:
coldfish wrote:I was a huge Zion fan coming into the league and think that if he could stay healthy and had a moderately good team around him, he would be a top 10 player. I agree with those saying that the odds of him staying healthy for more than half the year are likely really close to zero.

I would take him on a flyer. I do think that his trade value is being badly overstated. Everyone else sees what we do.

I would do Coby, Patrick, Jevon (filler) and this year's first. You get out of Patrick's deal. You don't have to worry about extending Coby. You just give up #12. Would NOP do that? Would they get better offers? I don't know but I think Zion's trade market would be limited.


I would do this as well. I think the key in any Zion deal would be avoiding giving away future firsts over the life of his deal. Part of the upside of trading for him would be that if he gets hurt, you can treat it as a tank year and get a high pick (and potentially cut hm lose and go into a longer tank if so desired, depending on whether and how quickly Giddey and Matas develop). Trading future firsts (without significant protection) for Zion makes the deal really dicey. Of course, NOP knows this and would probably prefer a trading partner willing to gamble with future firsts for this reason.

Like you, I really have no sense of what his market will be, compensation-wise. I see the argument for doing it, but only at a relatively inexpensive price.


What's crazy is most of the people hating on the deal don't care about win/losses next year, or actively want us to be bad anyway to get a high pick. We make the trade for Zion, he doesn't play, as long as we didn't give up the 2026 pick or it's protected enough, we get the high pick. He plays, he ups his value more and we can decide to keep or trade him (doubtful, we just got a steal). I would want it be as cheap as possible, wouldn't overpay. I do probably value Bulls future firsts a little less than most, most end up pretty worthless. And I expect the Bulls to be good starting in 2026, with or without Zion because of Matas, Giddey and a ton of cap space if we don't' make a big trade. I'd expect us to be great if Zion is her and has a healthy 2025 season.

Change my mind. If our 2025 pick is 10 or below, I'd send that pick if we need to add a pick before the 2026 pick, and keep the 2026 pick as Zion insurance. Also have no idea what his market value actually is, so it's all just speculation. They may be demanding way more than we would offer, and somebody else might give it to them. Would try to slide Pat in there if they want picks, I'll give up a little extra to clear long-term cap.
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Re: The Bulls should go all in for Zion 

Post#160 » by dougthonus » Tue Apr 22, 2025 2:08 am

Infinity2152 wrote:Doesn't matter much if you think Vucevic is a starting center. He's always started. Until he doesn't and comes off the bench regulary, he's a starting center and should be valued as such, regardless of your personal feelings. NBA coach sees him as a starting player. Could name a whole lot of players who make or combine to make $20 mill where if they're expiring, they're not getting off the bench. Vuc is more valuable than just a $20 mil expiring contract.


If he's worth more than an expiring contract, it is an irrelevant amount more, because tried to trade him at the deadline and could not find an offer.

You don't understand my agreeing with your point about teams overvaluing their own players? The point is, this is a Bulls forum, therefore we probably overvalue Coby. Yet most still think it would take a good contract plus Coby plus picks to get Zion. What if we didn't overvalue him, if his value is actually less than we think, what do we have to add to Coby to get Zion.


I told you very directly that I think it would take more than Coby to get Zion and that Zion has more value in the trade market, so not sure why you feel this point is contentious.

I also described part of this reason is Coby's contract status as an impending UFA that they may have no control over trying to keep, but I think he would have less value than Zion even if that weren't the case.

Zions worst season: 26.1 points, 6.6 rbs, 5.7 assts, 61% TS per 36. Age: 22
Coby's best season: 22.2 pts, 4 rbs, 4.8 assts, 60%TS per 36. This season, age 24


Any year that Zion played 30 games or less was worse than both of Coby's last two years.

Coby's probably near or at his peak, and his best year doesn't beat Zion's worse year when Zion was 2 years younger. Zion's floor is likely higher than Coby's ceiling. Coby needs a jump to match Zion's worst season, when Zion was returning from injury after playing only 29 games the season before.


You seem to place very little value on availability. Zion's expected availability is less than half a season.

You're thinking Coby is going to get much better? If he's going to be as good as Zion, no way should we let him go, except he would receive max contract offers in 2026.


No. I think a guy who has an extremely high probability of not playing and makes 40M has a very low floor. I don't know if you understand what floor means. A guy who makes 40M and doesn't play has 0 on court value, and uses up 25% of your cap has a very low floor. It is about the worst thing you can have on your team.

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