Dresden wrote:From the NYT today:
"The report sent to the White House also struck a cautionary note: “Given that countries currently in ‘summer’ climates, such as Australia and Iran, are experiencing rapid virus spread, a decrease in cases with increases in humidity and temperature elsewhere should not be assumed,” it said.
Pandemics do not behave the same way seasonal outbreaks do. For the National Academies’ report, researchers looked at the history of flu pandemics as an example. “There have been 10 influenza pandemics in the past 250-plus years — two started in the Northern Hemisphere winter, three in the spring, two in the summer and three in the fall,” the report said. “All had a peak second wave approximately six months after emergence of the virus in the human population, regardless of when the initial introduction occurred.”
Don't mean to pick on you but the NYT. Whomever wrote that was an idiot. Australia has done fantastically. The average temperature in Iran in January when the virus broke out is below freezing. The words in that quote are so stupid it almost looks like an onion article.
https://en.climate-data.org/asia/russian-federation/north-ossetia-alania/iran-295960/
I wouldn't assume anything but there is a boatload of data right now that points to the virus not doing well during summer conditions. In the US, 9 of the 10 worst states are up north with the only exception being Mardi Gras fed Louisiana.
