kodo wrote:MrSparkle wrote:I for some reason thought Tre Jones had a great little Bulls run once he settled in the starting role… but the on/off numbers seem terrible (fairly small sample size too, but kind of a surprise since I thought he “looked good”)… With 18.8 PER and ultra hot shooting 65% TS, those on/off numbers seem like a red flag?
Maybe someone else can read into these stats better, but he seems like a $2-4M journeyman.
He’s fast, talented at passing and can shoot… but poor on-ball defense makes him yet another liability in a roster full of them. For the record, his on/off was better than Ayo, Pat and Terry. And it could all be a cumulative problem of bad lineups he had to play with… although for a team with a positive rating after ASB, that’s also puzzling.
I'm surprised as well, also thought he looked very good on both ends.
Looked at the lineup data, he mostly played as a direct sub for Giddey. So the same starting lineup as Josh, he wasn't put on a pure bench mob lineup to might kill his #s. He mostly played with Coby-Huerter-Matas-Vuc just like Giddey. But the offensive rating went from 124 (Giddey) to 104 (Tre). 104 would be the worst offensive team in the league by a significant margin if that was our full game offense. Either Tre is offensively horrible (hard to believe that) or Giddey is doing something for that group to make it work well that Tre just isn't despite his excellent assists & TS%.
Although it's an interesting small peak at how the team would look if we let Giddey walk in FA because he's too expensive. Which is quite bad.
Yeah, it's pretty alarming to me. That's a lot of 3P firepower too, so you'd hope the offensive rating would stay up.
I do think Giddey's been a real plus all season long, even when he was the whipping boy early on. He's a very high IQ player, even if a defensive target. He can disrupt lanes, position himself correctly for stops and rebounds. My hunch is paying him a huge long contract has other ramifications, but I do like his game. But he's not a superstar; I'd say he had an all-star stretch, but he's not there. He's not Jokic/Curry. I would he makes us a respectable average team, not a good team.
IMO there's a reason SAS let Tre go, and loading up on guards wasn't the exact reason. Pops ditched him in the rotation after a respectable 3Y. Like other guards of his caliber (Ayo, Tyus, Morris, Jevon), you have to call them what they are: replacement level guards, who are going to lose you games if heavily relied upon in the top-8 rotation. They're capable of great nights, but the advanced stats don't lie. The catch is that AK has ignored advanced stats in almost every stretch of his roster assembly (from Pat to Vuc to Zach to Jevon to whoever). A wildly negative on/off rating or bad line-up stats have not stopped him from overpaying/resigning FAs.
Anyway, on/off obviously doesn't tell the whole story, especially on a team with crazy rotations, mid-season trades, wildly good and wildly bad stretches... But if you do rank the talent, the trends do suggest that Huerter, Lonzo, Collins, THT, Phillips, Lavine, Giddey, Jalen, Matas (barely negative) were the neutral or positive guys (who atleast played 10 MPG - sorry Jevon and Duarte)... While Vuc, Coby, Tre, Patrick, Terry, Ayo comprised the (deeply) negative bunch.
That kind of tracks with my eyes. I think Vuc is a defensive disaster despite his overall hot shooting last year. Coby plays like a headless chicken for 3/4 of a game (or season) and then turns into an all-star guard for the rest of the time... and when he's on, he looks incredible, but when he's not, he's a defensive liability and an irrational and ineffective offensive player. Ayo had a rough season in every department. He had a handful of phenomenal games, but not enough to save a rough year (capped with the season ending injury). I'm just not sure you can play around him, beyond a cheap deep bench player. But of course I feel AK will resign him in the continuity scheme.