fisher wrote:How can anyone know this?
We can't. But I think right now, he's looking behind schedule as far as being the top 10 or 15 superstar we once thought.
Young superstars generally start busting out their second season. Even those as young as Derrick (see below). Rose’s expectations are not merely to match his rookie season, but he is struggling to even do that.
It’s to score about 19-20 PPG, have improved efficiency, either via shooting some threes or getting to the line way more (neither of which he’s doing). And also being a better playmaker for his teammates (more assists, also not happening). Overall finishing with a PER somewhere between 17 to 19 would put him on course.
Age and PER
LeBron James 19 (PER 18.3) 20 (PER 25.7)
Kevin Garnett 19 (PER 15.8) 20 (PER 18.2)
Kobe Bryant 18 (PER 14.4) 19 (PER 18.5)
Chris Paul 20 (PER 22.1) 21 (PER 22)
Tracy McGrady 18 (PER 17.4) 19 (PER 20.6)
Dwight Howard 19 (PER 17.2) 20 (PER 19.3)
Derrick Rose 20 (PER 16.) 21 (PER
14.4)
However we want to measure Rose’s progress, clearly offensively he is not Dwyane Wade like some dreamed about him being once Gordon was ‘out of the way’. If Derrick was going to rise up and be a dominant scorer, this is the perfect type of team for him to do it on, where we have little other playmaking talent and have the 4th worst offense in the league. So far he’s not doing it. His scoring numbers aren’t even up from last year.