Jcool0 wrote:Is Gobert going to start taking 5 threes a game anytime soon? No. But he can score. People are treating him like he is Daniel Gafford.
I was referencing his ability to defend the three point line, not shoot threes himself. If you compare him to defensive anchors such as Ben Wallace or Dikembe Motumbo in their past, those guys weren't worth 30% of the cap, particularly at this age. Gobert is better offensively than either of those guys I would say, but his defensive value is also less due to the style of the game being so perimeter oriented vs when those guys played.
To be clear though, I'm on the fence with Gobert, so not to get caught up in details, I'd say my overall view is this:
Contract:
Somewhere between situationally worth it and really bad depending on his health and if he regresses. At his current level of play, he's situationally worth it, but there are considerable risks that won't hold over four years. It will be difficult to add more pieces once we put him on the roster. We'll have limited flexibility and also have a pretty thin team with some significant shooting holes to fill.
Impact:
If he stays healthy clearly improves the team and helps with large needs. A healthy Bulls roster could build a great defense even with Zach/DeMar in the lineup with Gobert and that would be really intriguing. It would be difficult to space the floor around him with DeMar, but I think the overall impact would be pretty positive. I'd view us as a likely 2nd round exit team if we traded Vuc + Coby + Pat for Gobert and had a healthy roster vs a borderline 1st/2nd round team if we remain healthy and don't trade for him.
Would I ultimately do it? I think maybe. Depends on the end offer. The team seems hell bent on trying to win now, and I think it's going to be ugly when the bills come due. That said, let's say you could trade DeMar + Zach for a combo of 5 total future 1st round picks and say 1-2 have land in the lottery and 3-4 land around 20ish, what is hat likely to do for you? Probably not a whole lot exciting.
If you are looking for better "win now" moves, I think you're unlikely to find any. If I could trade for Myles Turner at a much lower cost, I would probably do it, but hard to say if that's realistic.
