Ice Man wrote:I mean, we've been through this before, but the teams that finished "ahead" of us in 2017, the year that we are said to have improperly tanked -
1) Phoenix - Got little from its draft pick, got better regardless, now terrible
2) Memphis - Got JJJ, that helped a lot, they are now pretty good but not really contenders
3) Atlanta - Got Trae, that helped but nevertheless they are going nowhere
4) Orlando - Got nothing from its draft pick
5) Dallas - Got Luka, that worked out great, now they're toast
6) Sacramento - Got nothing, going nowhere
7) Chicago - Say no more
That evidence isn't much of an advertisement for tanking, aside from Dallas having a nice run. Truth is, our odds are probably higher building with Giddey + Matas and hoping that they play well enough next year that we're not a lottery team.
I know, people will say that those guys aren't good enough, but come on now. Jaylen Brown had a VORP of -0.6 as a rookie, whereas Matas was -0.2. At age 22, Tatum had a VORP of 3.4, while Giddey was 2.7 this year. Or look up Mobley & Garland at those ages, or the best current players on the Rockets. Most guys who end up being Top 2 options on a strong team aren't recognized as such when they are the ages of Giddey & Matas.
I'm not saying it's going to happen with those guys, but damn if it's not a better bet than taking the Charlotte/Wizards path.
PHX - 4 playoff appearances, 1 finals appearance, 1 WCF appearance
MEM - 3 playoff appearances, 4 if they win tomorrow
ATL - 3 playoff appearances, 4 if they win tomorrow, 1 ECF appearance
ORL - Bad pick
DAL - 4 playoff appearances 5 if they win tomorrow, 1 finals appearance, 1 WCF appearance
SAC - Bad pick
These teams fell apart because of bad management, so I don't see the evidence against tanking here. 4 years after this draft, the Mavs, Suns, and Hawks all had at least 2 playoff appearances and 1 deep playoff run. Is Giddey and Matas going to get us a conference finals appearance?