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Trade Derrick Rose

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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#221 » by Rerisen » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:02 am

fisher wrote:He also had Shaq on the roster. If we had Shaq in the condition he was in back then we'd be a lot better now and Rose would be playing better because he had somebody to lighten the load.


Shaq could help Rose, but I don't think Shaq would make Derrick suddenly start averaging 9.9 Free Throws a game, which was the primary boost in Wade's scoring his 2nd season. And all those other players I listed did not get Shaq, and they still leaped ahead.

You're stumbling around in the dark any way you look at it because you're basing second season PERs of others after a full season while using Rose's 18 games this season. Wait until after the season is around 70 games long or so and then you'll be comparing apples to apples.


I'm basing it more on what I'm seeing from Derrick as a player on the floor. No desire to step up and be the number 1 option over a very mediocre Luol Deng. Little recognition of taking advantage of easy mismatches. No increase in the ability to draw free throws. An increasing reliance on his jumper vs last year, when he attacked the paint more ferociously, etc.

What are you basing your opinion on, if your opinion is that Rose will finish the year considerably ahead of where he is right now? The ankle? If it's that, when do you think it will be fair to measure him by? Each game that passes is counting toward his season totals.

A player's growth is more likely to take place in the offseason, after they have worked on new skills, than it is during some random game in the middle of the season, where a light bulb just goes off and he is suddenly 50% better.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#222 » by alucryts » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:05 am

second season and ppg

LeBron James 27.2, 29.7%
Kevin Garnett 17.0, 21.3%
Kobe Bryant 15.4, 27.2%
Chris Paul 17.3, 22.2%
Tracy McGrady 9.3, 21.9%
Dwight Howard 15.8, 21.8
Derrick Rose 15.3, 24.1% (has been putting up 19-20 ppg when playing the whole game lately)
Dwyane Wade 24.1 30.9%
deron williams 16.2, 22.2%

if its points you want to look at, derrick is going in the right direction lately with his ppg. if you want more points, vinny would have to run more plays for him.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#223 » by fisher » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:06 am

Rerisen wrote:As the Bulls should have certainly learned after drafting Eddy, Tyson, and Tyrus Thomas. That doesn't mean you go and trade a Derrick Rose, I certainly wouldn't. But you do start taking into account their skills, strengths and weaknesses, in figuring out how to plan your team going forward. If Rose is not showing the underlying abilities to be a high volume scorer, then it might be wise to not just assume that is going to happen with regards to roster moves.


Do you honestly think the current roster is going to be the same roster Rose has throughout his entire career? Bulls management knows the pieces aren't in place to win titles. Everyone knows that.

Rerisen wrote:I said this last year as well when fans just blithely repeated that "we have our s
uperstar". I know you have thrown Derrick's potential at me in the other thread in terms of him being a legitimate second option. Which is usually a player capable of 20 PPG on high efficiency. What do you base this happening on?


Just a guess based on what I've seen. There's a lot of talent there. He's shown flashes of greatness in most of his games. The way he drives down the court even after a made bucket like a one man fast break tells me that being a great player in this league is in his future. He's not a finished product yet and to expect him to be at this point is unrealistic expectations.

Rerisen wrote:More to the point the top post talked about him not being a legitimate *first* option. And I would agree, he won't be until he either gets a three point shot or can get to the line considerably more often than he has shown.


True. But what's to say he doesn't get better at both as his career progresses? Kobe Bryant didn't come into the league with his current post game. It took years to develop that. Dwayne Wade was a porr perimeter shooter during his early career. Took a few years to see significant progress in that.

It takes time for a player to get better.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#224 » by j-smooth » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:12 am

Come on. The last 2 games are the reasons his averages have gone down drastically. Vinny has kept Rose out of the last 15 mins of the last 2 games. Vinny throws the towel in early that's why he needs to go. Before the last 2 blowoutd Rose was 18pts 5ast 3rebs on 49% shooting the last 10 games. How can Rose put up the numbers if he's not in the game?
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#225 » by alucryts » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:13 am

Rerisen wrote:
alucryts wrote:Full Season


The season is 22% over. Rose would have to put up something like a 20 PER the rest of the way for it to end up in the area I suggested. And the area *pretty much every single person on this forum predicted or expected him to be at*.

You really think that is going to happen? If so, why do you believe he hasn't progressed all these first 18 games? Do you put that all on his ankle?

I think Rose started looking himself in the 2nd half of the Lakers game. It's been 7 games since then. His last 5 he is putting up just 15.8 and 5.4 assists. Lower numbers than last year. If his ankle is *still* bothering him at this point, we may have bigger issues, as it may be like Deng's nagging injuries that hobbled him all year. Personally don't think that's it.

um.... hasn't he basically not played the full games the last two because we've been blown out? it kinda skews stats a little when you don't play the fourth.
if rose puts up:
16 the rest of the way: 15.69
17 the rest: 16.429
18 the rest: 17.21
19 the rest: 17.99
20 the rest: 18.77
21 the rest: 19.551
22 the rest: 20.323
to get 20 overall, he needs 21.575 the rest of the way

he has a long way to go this season.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#226 » by Rerisen » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:14 am

alucryts wrote:second season and ppg

LeBron James 27.2, 29.7%
Kevin Garnett 17.0, 21.3%
Kobe Bryant 15.4, 27.2%
Chris Paul 17.3, 22.2%
Tracy McGrady 9.3, 21.9%
Dwight Howard 15.8, 21.8
Derrick Rose 15.3, 24.1% (has been putting up 19-20 ppg when playing the whole game lately)
Dwyane Wade 24.1 30.9%
deron williams 16.2, 22.2%

if its points you want to look at, derrick is going in the right direction lately with his ppg. if you want more points, vinny would have to run more plays for him.


I'm looking at total production as that would help get an overall view of where he has advanced since last season. So far, its a flatline. As far as scoring and Derrick's 1st option potential, I'm looking at mostly efficiency and how he gets his points. He needs to learn to draw free throws or learn to shoot the three to take the next step as a scorer, same as last year.

I agree that Vinny should run more plays for him. The scary thing is that Rose is not asking for more plays, nor taking it upon himself to score whenever he feels its necessary for the team. He's not a big man that has to wait to get the ball, at the mercy of the PG, he *is* the PG and is showing no virtually no urgency to help pick up a offense that is right near the bottom of the league.

Case in point, Toronto game. Derrick only took 4 shots in the 1st quarter. That is pretty much right on his average pace for a game. But that's not good enough in a game you are getting crushed 37-16 at the end of the 1st quarter.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#227 » by alucryts » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:17 am

j-smooth wrote:Come on. The last 2 games are the reasons his averages have gone down drastically. Vinny has kept Rose out of the last 15 mins of the last 2 games. Vinny throws the towel in early that's why he needs to go. Before the last 2 blowoutd Rose was 18pts 5ast 3rebs on 49% shooting the last 10 games. How can Rose put up the numbers if he's not in the game?

i thought that was obvious as well but i guess not
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#228 » by Rerisen » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:18 am

alucryts wrote:um.... hasn't he basically not played the full games the last two because we've been blown out? it kinda skews stats a little when you don't play the fourth.


It doesn't when he has averaged 35.4 minutes his last 5 games, higher than his season average.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#229 » by League Circles » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:19 am

I agree with pretty much everything Rerisen has said, as usual.

What's lost in this thread, is that no one, including me, has said that Rose isn't a good player, or that he won't improve, or anything of the sort. Myself and some others have simply questioned the young Lebron, Kobe, Garnett, etc vision that people have had of Rose. Obviously the guy has a lot of talent. Obviously he could still become a HOFer.

Yet I don't know how anyone who follows this league cannot look at Rose and say, wow, he looks like he'll be an all-star - a great player - rather than looking at him and saying he's a sure fire franchise player superstar, which is what a lot of folks have been saying for a year now. It just doesn't jive. I listed the past 15 ROYs earlier in thi sthread. Most of them were better than Rose this early in their careers, and most of them you would not want to have made untouchable in retrospect by looking at their careers.

There's like 5-10 "untouchable" players in the league - guys you would only trade for one another. Everyone else has a price. I simply was pondering whether, due to the intense hype around Derrick Rose, it might be worth thinking abotu what we could get for him, as his value likley will not be higher than it is right now for a while - due to his rookie deal.

It would probably take a real star being unhappy with his current team - trying to force a trade - for there to be a good enough player hauled for me to actually want to trade Rose,. but that happens. I mean, think of Rose like Al Jefferson a few years ago. The Celtics got old KG for him and won a title.

No one ever said to trade him just to trade him, or to trade him for crap - that would be lunacy.

For the most part I think we should hold onto him - see if he can turn the corner this year and add a max FA. But if we fail, and he's still just an above average PG this time next year, we should trade him while he still has that new car smell.

And to the ball boys who insist on saying this is an overreaction, even accusing me of admitting it because I said I may not have made the thread had the Bulls won - why? Are we only supposed to come to ideas, thoughts or conclusions in the offseason? I don't get that. It's not like I was feeling differently before the game, it's just that at one point - that further additional poor game starts to turn you, and you feel like talking about it.

I love Derrick Rose - minus his blank stare and relatively low bball IQ (for a "PG"). I'm just not blindly following a guy who scores half of what he should into the next 10 years without thinking about it carefully.

Talent is a prequisite for a great player - but it's far from sufficient. I honestly believe that Tyrus Thomas and Marcus Fizer have (or had in Fizer's case) the talent to score 25 a game in this league just like Rose does. What happened to them?

The discussion I meant to invoke was one where it was debated whether the mantra of buy low-sell high should also apply to great players.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#230 » by alucryts » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:19 am

Rerisen wrote:
alucryts wrote:um.... hasn't he basically not played the full games the last two because we've been blown out? it kinda skews stats a little when you don't play the fourth.


It doesn't when he has averaged 35.4 minutes his last 5 games, higher than his season average.

28.4 minutes the last 2 games. did you even watch or..?
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#231 » by Rerisen » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:20 am

alucryts wrote:
Rerisen wrote:
alucryts wrote:um.... hasn't he basically not played the full games the last two because we've been blown out? it kinda skews stats a little when you don't play the fourth.


It doesn't when he has averaged 35.4 minutes his last 5 games, higher than his season average.

28.4 minutes the last 2 games. did you even watch or..?


Um the stat I cited was his last 5 game averages. Not his last 2 game averages. The last 2 games are factored *into* his last 5, and his numbers are still down vs last year!

Might be time to take the teflon sign off Hinrich and put it on Rose I guess.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#232 » by alucryts » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:29 am

alucryts wrote:
Rerisen wrote:
alucryts wrote:um.... hasn't he basically not played the full games the last two because we've been blown out? it kinda skews stats a little when you don't play the fourth.


It doesn't when he has averaged 35.4 minutes his last 5 games, higher than his season average.

28.4 minutes the last 2 games. did you even watch or..?


Um the stat I cited was his last 5 game averages. Not his last 2 game averages. The last 2 games are factored *into* his last 5, and his numbers are still down vs last year!

Might be time to take the teflon sign off Hinrich and put it on Rose I guess.[/quote]

.... you can't factor in games where he only plays 3 quarters into it.... if you don't understand that....its not worth explaining really
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#233 » by j-smooth » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:36 am

One of the biggest difference I see with Roses situation compared to those of the players mentioned above is THE COACH! All those players the Wades the Lebrons the Chris Pauls The Kobes all had Great/Good coaches. What does Rose have? A guy with nice hair. Come on guys. Rose needs to be coached. He wants to be coached. And right now Vinny is handicapping and stunting Rose's develoment by now letting him running or telling him to run. Just immagine Rose in a Nash type offense or a Don Nelson playground style offense......
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#234 » by alucryts » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:39 am

j-smooth wrote:One of the biggest difference I see with Roses situation compared to those of the players mentioned above is THE COACH! All those players the Wades the Lebrons the Chris Pauls The Kobes all had Great/Good coaches. What does Rose have? A guy with nice hair. Come on guys. Rose needs to be coached. He wants to be coached. And right now Vinny is handicapping and stunting Rose's develoment by now letting him running or telling him to run. Just immagine Rose in a Nash type offense or a Don Nelson playground style offense......

its not that vinny can't coach, he just doesn't have enough experience and I don't want him to hold back rose because of it.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#235 » by Rerisen » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:39 am

alucryts wrote:.... you can't factor in games where he only plays 3 quarters into it.... if you don't understand that....its not worth explaining really


Yes you can when there are games in the same span where he played more than his average minutes to make up for it. If you want to be obstinate and make me do it by per minute, fine. A player's per minute stats are generally not going to change virtually at all regardless of what chunk of his playtime you snip them out of.

Derrick Rose has played 177 minutes the last 5 games.

Per 36 minutes in that stretch he is averaging 16.1 points, still less than last year!
Per 36 minutes in that stretch he is averaging 5.5 assists, still less than last year!
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#236 » by MrSparkle » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:52 am

teamCHItown wrote:I agree with pretty much everything Rerisen has said, as usual.

What's lost in this thread, is that no one, including me, has said that Rose isn't a good player, or that he won't improve, or anything of the sort. Myself and some others have simply questioned the young Lebron, Kobe, Garnett, etc vision that people have had of Rose. Obviously the guy has a lot of talent. Obviously he could still become a HOFer.

Yet I don't know how anyone who follows this league cannot look at Rose and say, wow, he looks like he'll be an all-star - a great player - rather than looking at him and saying he's a sure fire franchise player superstar, which is what a lot of folks have been saying for a year now. It just doesn't jive. I listed the past 15 ROYs earlier in thi sthread. Most of them were better than Rose this early in their careers, and most of them you would not want to have made untouchable in retrospect by looking at their careers.

There's like 5-10 "untouchable" players in the league - guys you would only trade for one another. Everyone else has a price. I simply was pondering whether, due to the intense hype around Derrick Rose, it might be worth thinking abotu what we could get for him, as his value likley will not be higher than it is right now for a while - due to his rookie deal.

It would probably take a real star being unhappy with his current team - trying to force a trade - for there to be a good enough player hauled for me to actually want to trade Rose,. but that happens. I mean, think of Rose like Al Jefferson a few years ago. The Celtics got old KG for him and won a title.

No one ever said to trade him just to trade him, or to trade him for crap - that would be lunacy.

For the most part I think we should hold onto him - see if he can turn the corner this year and add a max FA. But if we fail, and he's still just an above average PG this time next year, we should trade him while he still has that new car smell.

And to the ball boys who insist on saying this is an overreaction, even accusing me of admitting it because I said I may not have made the thread had the Bulls won - why? Are we only supposed to come to ideas, thoughts or conclusions in the offseason? I don't get that. It's not like I was feeling differently before the game, it's just that at one point - that further additional poor game starts to turn you, and you feel like talking about it.

I love Derrick Rose - minus his blank stare and relatively low bball IQ (for a "PG"). I'm just not blindly following a guy who scores half of what he should into the next 10 years without thinking about it carefully.

Talent is a prequisite for a great player - but it's far from sufficient. I honestly believe that Tyrus Thomas and Marcus Fizer have (or had in Fizer's case) the talent to score 25 a game in this league just like Rose does. What happened to them?

The discussion I meant to invoke was one where it was debated whether the mantra of buy low-sell high should also apply to great players.


I agree with much of what you said... but there's sufficient evidence that points to Derrick having a pretty good bball IQ, and you can't seriously compare Fizer or Tyrus to him? Crawford, Deng, I could bundle in that group... Rose made it clear that he's on another level after the rookie campaign.

Thing with guards... I believe there's a reason Kobe and Wade became the players they are. In their youngest, most athletically prime years, they were playing in the shadow of a dominant Shaq, incredibly savy coaches (Jackson, Van Gundy, Riley), and in a locker room full of very savy veterans.

SHAQ...

Fox, Horry, Green, Horace Grant, Harper, Shaw, Fisher, Lindsey Hunter...
Zo, Posey, Payton, Walker...

Yeah some punks on those teams...but you can't deny that there's a level of respect and poise you'd expect in a locker room even with near-retirement Payton, Harper, Grant, Zo, etc.

Imagine if Carter had the same opportunity, instead of playing with a maxed out Antonio Davis and Oakley. Might not have questioned his lack of fire if he had 2-3 rings by the time he was 26. What if Pierce had been paired with Garnett when he was 10 years younger? I'm willing to bet his team's success would've put him in the same light as Kobe.

Instead we got Rose surrounded by:

Vinny, who never coached a professional game before Rose got here... might I add he pretty much sucked as a player.

Kirk? I don't want him to show Rose the ropes: "bring ball up slowly, dribble 10 seconds, wait for screen, pop a 20 ft brick"

Deng, our fearless captain, the man who's prediction for the season was "we'll probably lose some games"...

Brad Miller, who kind of reminds me of my 55 year old dad in terms of physique/athleticism...

It's really unfortunate that we perennially blame all our bust players, when they're expected to learn a post-game from Othella Harrington and how to score from Hinrich.

It's simple, really.
Just look at history and observe.

Rondo pre-KG/Allen ... vs... championship Rondo.

Wade/2nd-round/Odom... vs... sophmore champion Wade.

Can you imagine how useless Andrew Bynum would've been as a Bull? He'd probably average 200 minutes a season as Skiles insisted on playing Malik Allen and Hinrich at PF for 1 million minutes each.

All of you blaming Derrick's passiveness... please slow down, and remember he's 21, he's not 6'8 scorer who's gonna score 30 ppg regardless of his team's effort... and look at the big picture. We got a uber-talented PG playing with perhaps the worst matched team he can possibly play with in the NBA. He's got NO ONE but the blue-collar Noah to throw an alley-oop. He's got no one to kick out to for a 3P. He's got no one to feed the post.

It's not fun playing here. Hinrich and Deng don't know how to motivate teammates because they suck and have as much charisma as George Bush Sr. Can't blame Rose for ANYTHING.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#237 » by League Circles » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:55 am

Just a couple more quick thoughts:

I think a good coach can take an OK player and make him effective by using good schemes. He can also make a bad player serviceable with the right coaching. But I don't really think a coach can make a guy into a superstar. At some point Rose, if he wants to be a superstar, has to score 25 a game or so, and no coach is going to call the plays for that to happen. I think with regards to coaching, you'll have a coach who tries to game plan to win the game as a team, not fully knowing what he has on the team - really only a player can really know how good he can be. Not that they always do - Derrick clearly thinks he's not as good as even casual fans think he is, but ultimately a player is the only one with the capability to know fully how good he can be, because only the player knows how hard he's trying, how conscious his mistakes are, etc. A great player figures out how much better he can be, and says to hell withthe game plan, I'm going to crush this team. The coach holds his breath for a few minutes because his player is not following the game plan. Then he realizes what he's got and that that is what's best for the team. Then, if he's a good coach, he adapts and uses his new knowledge to improve the teams performances.

Rose, since he is not a pure PG creator who is going to ever get you league leading assist numbers, must be a huge scoring threat. After all, that's usually what wins in the NBA. Title teams usually have a dominant scorer, not a guy scoring 15-20 a game. The reality is that Rose isn't any better than Kirk was in his 2nd or 3rd year. Yeah, totally different strengths and weaknesses, but no better in my opinion. Rose simply has to be a dominant scorer to be a real star. That's where his greatest talent lies. He's not Steve Nash. He should watch games of Wade and Iverson (well, the ones where he played good!), not of Nash and Paul.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#238 » by boogydown » Tue Dec 8, 2009 5:58 am

Mr Sparkle is right.

It's about coaching, and we don't have it. Skiles had everyone playing at such a high level, and we have players that simply aren't working with each other. Add anyone on this team, and we'd still struggle.

The problem starts with a leader, proper coaching, and then the proper lineup and cast players.

We're missing all 3.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#239 » by League Circles » Tue Dec 8, 2009 6:06 am

I agree with your points Mr. Sparle and boogydown. Those are legitamite counter arguments to what I was trying to discuss. Especially the part about teammates. Rose clearly has not had had the teammates condusive to his progress that we'd like. As long as Kirk and Deng run the show this team will function like a college team. Under Skiles that was kind of cool because he got them to play unreal defense, but the big problem is that IMO it's simply pretty hard to evaluate NBA coaching. We really don't know a lot of what the coach wants vs what the players are doing, at least in a lot of situations.

I have generally liked VDNs rotations a lot more than Skiles, but Skiles was undoubtedly better with Xs and Os. Finding a gret coach is damn hard. I kind of wanted Larry Brown before VDN was hired. I'm not so sure he wouldn't have been a better choice. Overall I like Vinny and don't think he's too crappy to win with, but until I know of a coach that I personally feel would be better and is available, I can't blame much on him, if you know what I mean.
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Re: Trade Derrick Rose 

Post#240 » by eierluke » Tue Dec 8, 2009 9:41 am

Why trading him anymore?
My guess is that we'll never will get back in terms of value what we could have gotten last season.
I doubt that he'll become a "Wade like" superstar
Will he pan out as an average #1 overall selection?
Will he pan out as the best player of his class?
I have my doubts.
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