nomorezorro wrote:people are treating this like it's a straight-up choice between "high upside" and "high floor", which is pretty obviously silly on the face of it. it makes sense as shorthand for fans who are casually following the draft process, but the professional talent evaluators who are actually making the pick should be considering the likelihood of a spectrum of outcomes for each player.
like, it's not just
trey young = possibly great but possibly bad
mikal bridges = probably pretty good but definitely not great and definitely not bad
there's a decent chance trey young doesn't bust but doesn't hit his ceiling. there's a chance mikal bridges busts! a lot of things can happen! this feels like an overly simplistic thing to point out, but i think it's pretty facile to have people repeatedly say "we should pick the guy with the most upside!"
What? Please elaborate. Every player selected within the Top 10 has a bust factor. I know you're not high on Mikal Bridges because he doesn't look like a sexy pick compared Trey Young who put mega stats in college. There IS a good chance that Young can be a bust. You're acting like Trey Young will not bust at all compared to Mikal Bridges. Even Mikal can suck in the NBA.
I like Mikal Bridges because:
- super motor for defense = cannot be taught in the NBA.
- Defensive IQ
- He's 6-7 and 7-2 wing span meaning that he can guard positions 1-4. Not a liability.
- He's proven to make big defensive plays in the clutch. He's disruptive.
- Physical guy
- No current health problems
That doesn't say "bust" to me because Mikal's defensive abilities are consistent in every game.
However for Trey, the odds of reaching Steph Curry heights are super low. Trey Young does NOT play defense. He's already a huge liability. Even Steph Curry plays some defense. Here's a Trey Young quote: “I know I can play defense when I want to."
https://newsok.com/article/5579397/ou-basketball-trae-young-picks-his-spots-on-the-defensive-end
Holy crap. Trey Young should really be a 2nd round pick with that. Let the Knicks take him.