Image ImageImage Image

Patrick Williams is having his worst year

Moderators: HomoSapien, AshyLarrysDiaper, coldfish, Payt10, Ice Man, dougthonus, Michael Jackson, Tommy Udo 6 , kulaz3000, fleet, DASMACKDOWN, GimmeDat, RedBulls23

Dan Z
RealGM
Posts: 17,914
And1: 8,768
Joined: Feb 19, 2002
Location: Chicago
 

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#41 » by Dan Z » Sat Jan 18, 2025 8:29 pm

fleet wrote:He has never done anything to make me feel like he hasn’t already peaked his stats. Things that stay the same tend to stay the same. Objects at rest tend to stay at rest. If he had any life in his bones, he would have had a chance. He has shown me who he is, and Maya Angelou does not have to tell me to believe him.


I tend to agree because this is his fifth year in the league.

Every season it seems like people have said "If Patrick improves a little in this area then he'll be quite good" and it never comes to fruition.

However I say that and agree with Doug that PW should be better once he heals up a bit and has an off season to train. But that doesn't mean I like his contract or think he's someone the Bulls should stick with going forward.
Dan Z
RealGM
Posts: 17,914
And1: 8,768
Joined: Feb 19, 2002
Location: Chicago
 

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#42 » by Dan Z » Sat Jan 18, 2025 8:39 pm

League Circles wrote:
ChiTownHero1992 wrote:
League Circles wrote:IMO it's IMPERATIVE that we keep starting him and playing him significant minutes. If we bench him now you can basically kiss goodbye much of any hope that he'll rehabilitate his trade value. That's the critical thing.


I for the life of me do not understand this reasoning....people have been saying this for 3 years with Zach Lavine and where are we now? Reports that not a single team wants him still....you know why? Because once you've shown something for multiple years in a row, there is NO SUCH THING as "rehabbing your trade value".

Zach Lavine is who has always been, and teams no that, doesn't matter that he "looks like an all-star again" as many on here keep saying, teams no that he is not worth that contract, not gonna help on defense and take too many shots to be the 3rd option they want. Its the same damn thing with Patrick Williams, he has 0 offense, his "amazing defensive potential" is really just above average defense, his "he's only 23 and oozing with potential still" is nothing more than what it was 4 seasons ago which was zilch and every team knows that, it won't change. Williams isn't going to "rehab has value" it doesn't happen. If he had played this way for a season, maybe 2 tops then sure i could see saying that, but 4.5 years....no we know who he is, and so do the other 29 teams.


It's really simple reasoning:

1. Teams offers are in part based on (the minimum) they think the team with the player (us in this case) will accept. If you are openly showing you are down on a player by, for example, benching him a few months into a 5 year deal, they KNOW you want to get rid of him. No matter what you say, they KNOW you want to dump him. If you're starting him and playing him 30 mpg, they don't know that, and it suggests you like the player.
2. More minutes gives a player more opportunity to work out his deficiencies.
3. It's more palatable to a fan base to trade for another team's "starter" than a "bench player on a 5 year 90 mil deal". Yes, of course execs try to eliminate this from their minds in analyzing a player, but IMO, they simply cannot. It's just an aspect of human psychology.

I think his defense is still pretty good. Certainly one of our best few defenders.

Zach is playing his best ball ever. I'm sure teams would like him, but those that would mostly can't trade for him due to the newer CBA rules, and/or don't have anything to offer that we'd want.


I know it's not easy to predict the future, but I wish the Bulls were better at planning for it (especially when it comes to contracts).

Zach's a good player, but I never thought he was someone the team should stick with long term. Yet here we are.
ChiTownHero1992
Analyst
Posts: 3,373
And1: 2,246
Joined: Apr 28, 2017
       

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#43 » by ChiTownHero1992 » Sat Jan 18, 2025 8:43 pm

League Circles wrote:
ChiTownHero1992 wrote:
League Circles wrote:IMO it's IMPERATIVE that we keep starting him and playing him significant minutes. If we bench him now you can basically kiss goodbye much of any hope that he'll rehabilitate his trade value. That's the critical thing.


I for the life of me do not understand this reasoning....people have been saying this for 3 years with Zach Lavine and where are we now? Reports that not a single team wants him still....you know why? Because once you've shown something for multiple years in a row, there is NO SUCH THING as "rehabbing your trade value".

Zach Lavine is who has always been, and teams no that, doesn't matter that he "looks like an all-star again" as many on here keep saying, teams no that he is not worth that contract, not gonna help on defense and take too many shots to be the 3rd option they want. Its the same damn thing with Patrick Williams, he has 0 offense, his "amazing defensive potential" is really just above average defense, his "he's only 23 and oozing with potential still" is nothing more than what it was 4 seasons ago which was zilch and every team knows that, it won't change. Williams isn't going to "rehab has value" it doesn't happen. If he had played this way for a season, maybe 2 tops then sure i could see saying that, but 4.5 years....no we know who he is, and so do the other 29 teams.


It's really simple reasoning:

1. Teams offers are in part based on (the minimum) they think the team with the player (us in this case) will accept. If you are openly showing you are down on a player by, for example, benching him a few months into a 5 year deal, they KNOW you want to get rid of him. No matter what you say, they KNOW you want to dump him. If you're starting him and playing him 30 mpg, they don't know that, and it suggests you like the player.
2. More minutes gives a player more opportunity to work out his deficiencies.
3. It's more palatable to a fan base to trade for another team's "starter" than a "bench player on a 5 year 90 mil deal". Yes, of course execs try to eliminate this from their minds in analyzing a player, but IMO, they simply cannot. It's just an aspect of human psychology.

I think his defense is still pretty good. Certainly one of our best few defenders.

Zach is playing his best ball ever. I'm sure teams would like him, but those that would mostly can't trade for him due to the newer CBA rules, and/or don't have anything to offer that we'd want.


INSANITY: Doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results - Albert Einstein

Been there done that, team hasn't gotten any better in 4 years...in fact continuosly getting worse by the year! So sure lets just keep paying, playing and startin Lavine and Williams because in Chicago we love our 38-44 Play-In bound rosters! But its ok because if we keep playing them yearly, and winning between 35-40 games, eventually someone is going to want our crap, right! Sure let's just keep going down this road yearly, bound to work sometime right.
League Circles
RealGM
Posts: 35,163
And1: 9,849
Joined: Dec 04, 2001
       

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#44 » by League Circles » Sat Jan 18, 2025 8:46 pm

ChiTownHero1992 wrote:
League Circles wrote:
ChiTownHero1992 wrote:
I for the life of me do not understand this reasoning....people have been saying this for 3 years with Zach Lavine and where are we now? Reports that not a single team wants him still....you know why? Because once you've shown something for multiple years in a row, there is NO SUCH THING as "rehabbing your trade value".

Zach Lavine is who has always been, and teams no that, doesn't matter that he "looks like an all-star again" as many on here keep saying, teams no that he is not worth that contract, not gonna help on defense and take too many shots to be the 3rd option they want. Its the same damn thing with Patrick Williams, he has 0 offense, his "amazing defensive potential" is really just above average defense, his "he's only 23 and oozing with potential still" is nothing more than what it was 4 seasons ago which was zilch and every team knows that, it won't change. Williams isn't going to "rehab has value" it doesn't happen. If he had played this way for a season, maybe 2 tops then sure i could see saying that, but 4.5 years....no we know who he is, and so do the other 29 teams.


It's really simple reasoning:

1. Teams offers are in part based on (the minimum) they think the team with the player (us in this case) will accept. If you are openly showing you are down on a player by, for example, benching him a few months into a 5 year deal, they KNOW you want to get rid of him. No matter what you say, they KNOW you want to dump him. If you're starting him and playing him 30 mpg, they don't know that, and it suggests you like the player.
2. More minutes gives a player more opportunity to work out his deficiencies.
3. It's more palatable to a fan base to trade for another team's "starter" than a "bench player on a 5 year 90 mil deal". Yes, of course execs try to eliminate this from their minds in analyzing a player, but IMO, they simply cannot. It's just an aspect of human psychology.

I think his defense is still pretty good. Certainly one of our best few defenders.

Zach is playing his best ball ever. I'm sure teams would like him, but those that would mostly can't trade for him due to the newer CBA rules, and/or don't have anything to offer that we'd want.


INSANITY: Doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results - Albert Einstein

Been there done that, team hasn't gotten any better in 4 years...in fact continuosly getting worse by the year! So sure lets just keep paying, playing and startin Lavine and Williams because in Chicago we love our 38-44 Play-In bound rosters! But its ok because if we keep playing them yearly, and winning between 35-40 games, eventually someone is going to want our crap, right! Sure let's just keep going down this road yearly, bound to work sometime right.


I don't care about being good this year and I'd trade Patrick for a salary dump if it were possible, which I kinda doubt it is. I wouldn't trade Zach for garbage but I'd trade him. I don't want Patrick to keep starting because I think it's best for us on the court right now or cause I want to continue down this road.

Benching Patrick just adds to our problems IMO. It's actually a very sane thought.
https://august-shop.com/ - sneakers and streetwear
Guru
Analyst
Posts: 3,466
And1: 678
Joined: Oct 29, 2001

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#45 » by Guru » Sun Jan 19, 2025 1:57 am

Patrick will be fine. He has flashed this year. Is he a disappointment? Absolutely, but he doesn't need to be much to be impactful. He will be a easy rotational 3 and D guy once he bounces back. DDR was impactful with these guys and their development and Pat misses him. Things will settle and Patrick will bounce back.
User avatar
ImSlower
Head Coach
Posts: 6,241
And1: 7,423
Joined: Jan 06, 2011
Location: STL-ish
   

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#46 » by ImSlower » Sun Jan 19, 2025 2:04 am

Guru wrote:Patrick will be fine. He has flashed this year. Is he a disappointment? Absolutely, but he doesn't need to be much to be impactful. He will be a easy rotational 3 and D guy once he bounces back. DDR was impactful with these guys and their development and Pat misses him. Things will settle and Patrick will bounce back.


Can you demonstrate something he's doing different this year to impress you compared to his first four seasons? Just saying "he has flashed" doesn't seem to mean anything. He's had three good games, which is about what he's averaged since he was a rookie.
Guru
Analyst
Posts: 3,466
And1: 678
Joined: Oct 29, 2001

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#47 » by Guru » Sun Jan 19, 2025 2:07 am

ImSlower wrote:
Guru wrote:Patrick will be fine. He has flashed this year. Is he a disappointment? Absolutely, but he doesn't need to be much to be impactful. He will be a easy rotational 3 and D guy once he bounces back. DDR was impactful with these guys and their development and Pat misses him. Things will settle and Patrick will bounce back.


Can you demonstrate something he's doing different this year to impress you compared to his first four seasons? Just saying "he has flashed" doesn't seem to mean anything. He's had three good games, which is about what he's averaged since he was a rookie.


I didn't say it was different.

ESPN does a good job of laying out stats by month. He was playing well up until January. Maybe somethings going bad off the court, I don't know.
https://www.espn.com/nba/player/gamelog/_/id/4431687/patrick-williams
User avatar
ImSlower
Head Coach
Posts: 6,241
And1: 7,423
Joined: Jan 06, 2011
Location: STL-ish
   

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#48 » by ImSlower » Sun Jan 19, 2025 2:20 am

I don't understand what you're getting at, then. Are you expecting him to improve his play this year? Next year? Or are you content with his play. I'm not sure, either, what you mean by "bounce back". What do you expect him to return to?
GoBlue72391
RealGM
Posts: 10,286
And1: 6,566
Joined: Oct 26, 2009
     

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#49 » by GoBlue72391 » Sun Jan 19, 2025 2:27 am

Guru wrote:Patrick will be fine. He has flashed this year. Is he a disappointment? Absolutely, but he doesn't need to be much to be impactful. He will be a easy rotational 3 and D guy once he bounces back. DDR was impactful with these guys and their development and Pat misses him. Things will settle and Patrick will bounce back.

What would need to happen in order for him to not be considered fine by your standards? You must have an incredibly low bar.

This is about as bad of a season he could conceivably have. This is just about worst case scenario, other than like a catastrophic knee injury or something.

I'm honestly not sure what he could do worse.
vxmike
Head Coach
Posts: 6,527
And1: 4,443
Joined: Sep 24, 2014
 

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#50 » by vxmike » Sun Jan 19, 2025 2:34 am

So you have a guy who not only underperformed his draft place, showed near-zero improvement over 4 years, and demonstrated no motor.

Was giving this guy a 5 year guaranteed deal the proper decision?
panthermark
RealGM
Posts: 21,639
And1: 3,958
Joined: Mar 15, 2010
Location: Undisclosed: MJ's shadow could be lurking....
         

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#51 » by panthermark » Sun Jan 19, 2025 2:37 am

Guru wrote:He will be fine. It will be a steal of a contract.

Man, I thought this was sarcasm.
Jealousy is a sickness.......get well soon....
GoBlue72391
RealGM
Posts: 10,286
And1: 6,566
Joined: Oct 26, 2009
     

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#52 » by GoBlue72391 » Sun Jan 19, 2025 2:41 am

vxmike wrote:So you have a guy who not only underperformed his draft place, showed near-zero improvement over 4 years, and demonstrated no motor.

Was giving this guy a 5 year guaranteed deal the proper decision?

Nope. It was a bad decision then and it's a bad decision now and it'll be a bad decision in 4 years. So many more sensible options to choose from and we chose the worst one.

We should have let him test the market and matched whatever he was offered if we were deadset on keeping him, because no team would have offered him 5/$90M, that's for sure. We bid against ourselves like we always do. Better yet, we should have traded him when he still had value.
GoBlue72391
RealGM
Posts: 10,286
And1: 6,566
Joined: Oct 26, 2009
     

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#53 » by GoBlue72391 » Sun Jan 19, 2025 2:42 am

panthermark wrote:
Guru wrote:He will be fine. It will be a steal of a contract.

Man, I thought this was sarcasm.

He's a toxic optimist.
User avatar
Mk0
RealGM
Posts: 26,207
And1: 21,142
Joined: Jul 02, 2010
   

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#54 » by Mk0 » Sun Jan 19, 2025 3:22 am

I just watched a reel of his rookie year and he was just so much faster. Not sure if he bulked up too much or what. I have been saying he is playing this season with oven mitts and cement shoes on but jfc I didn't realize just how bad it really was.

Wouldn't be such an issue if he wasn't so slow to process things. Now he hesitates on everything and isn't fast enough to do anything about it. Which is why he just parks his butt on the 3pt line.
I AM A BUSINESS MAN NOW
Guru
Analyst
Posts: 3,466
And1: 678
Joined: Oct 29, 2001

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#55 » by Guru » Sun Jan 19, 2025 3:26 am

GoBlue72391 wrote:
Guru wrote:Patrick will be fine. He has flashed this year. Is he a disappointment? Absolutely, but he doesn't need to be much to be impactful. He will be a easy rotational 3 and D guy once he bounces back. DDR was impactful with these guys and their development and Pat misses him. Things will settle and Patrick will bounce back.

What would need to happen in order for him to not be considered fine by your standards? You must have an incredibly low bar.


I would have to have had one of those men in black neuralyzers that made me forget that December and November existed and then someone would have to go through the entirety of the internet and delete all history of those two months.
Dez
General Manager
Posts: 7,530
And1: 9,057
Joined: Jul 23, 2011
Location: Melbourne, Australia
 

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#56 » by Dez » Sun Jan 19, 2025 4:30 am

Guru wrote:
GoBlue72391 wrote:
Guru wrote:Patrick will be fine. He has flashed this year. Is he a disappointment? Absolutely, but he doesn't need to be much to be impactful. He will be a easy rotational 3 and D guy once he bounces back. DDR was impactful with these guys and their development and Pat misses him. Things will settle and Patrick will bounce back.

What would need to happen in order for him to not be considered fine by your standards? You must have an incredibly low bar.


I would have to have had one of those men in black neuralyzers that made me forget that December and November existed and then someone would have to go through the entirety of the internet and delete all history of those two months.


So yes you do have an incredibly low bar.
Guru
Analyst
Posts: 3,466
And1: 678
Joined: Oct 29, 2001

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#57 » by Guru » Sun Jan 19, 2025 4:34 am

Dez wrote:
Guru wrote:
GoBlue72391 wrote:What would need to happen in order for him to not be considered fine by your standards? You must have an incredibly low bar.


I would have to have had one of those men in black neuralyzers that made me forget that December and November existed and then someone would have to go through the entirety of the internet and delete all history of those two months.


So yes you do have an incredibly low bar.


11ppg and 37%3P in December
11ppg, 4.6rpg, 1s, 40%3P in November

Tha't's not a low bar. That's a fine rotational forward.
Dez
General Manager
Posts: 7,530
And1: 9,057
Joined: Jul 23, 2011
Location: Melbourne, Australia
 

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#58 » by Dez » Sun Jan 19, 2025 4:39 am

Guru wrote:
Dez wrote:
Guru wrote:
I would have to have had one of those men in black neuralyzers that made me forget that December and November existed and then someone would have to go through the entirety of the internet and delete all history of those two months.


So yes you do have an incredibly low bar.


11ppg and 37%3P in December
11ppg, 4.6rpg, 1s, 40%3P in November

Tha't's not a low bar. That's a fine rotational forward.


It's not a low bar you're right, it's an incredibly low bar.

20 million a season for that production is deplorable, not to mention the Bulls are better with him off the floor.
MalagaBulls
Lead Assistant
Posts: 5,060
And1: 2,218
Joined: Dec 15, 2013
Location: Malaga, Spain (Where the Sun shines 300 days a year))
         

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#59 » by MalagaBulls » Sun Jan 19, 2025 5:12 am

Can we honestly now label him a BUST? He just isn't ever going to get any better than he is now.
HearshotKDS
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,897
And1: 1,062
Joined: Apr 17, 2010
 

Re: Patrick Williams is having his worst year 

Post#60 » by HearshotKDS » Sun Jan 19, 2025 5:35 am

I've never liked the player as a prospect - I dont think you can reliably teach aggression or fix motor issues past puberty, but I thought he was like 1 rebound and 3 ppg per 36 away from being a good value 3 & D guy on his contract. I did not see coming this plummet of his efficiency. His low volume low efficiency scoring is tough to offset and we are a ton of minutes into the season for him to be 6-7% TS off his previous career average. Its worrying to me.

Return to Chicago Bulls