coldfish wrote:Patrick had 4 points on 1 for 4 shooting, 4 assists, 1 rebound, 1 steal, 1 TO and 3 fouls last night in 32 minutes.
At some point this is going to get worrying. Yes, I realize he is 19 but the knock on him coming into the league was his aggression or lack thereof. He is frequently completely invisible on the floor.
PW's SF line-ups with WCJ/Gafford and Lauri/Thad (where he's obviously the 3), even Otto... are really brutal. Of course that is on our bad bigs.. but the offense turns into a square wheel and nobody can do anything but chuck a 3P in iso when we go big with Pat at SF. If he was effective at SF, then we wouldn't look monumentally better with Valentine, Sato or Temple at the 3.
IMO we're looking more at Mikal Bridges than Kawhi. Hopefully an in-between. His potential to shoot that mid-ranger, he can become an automatic 1-on-1 threat. But I'm having a hard-time seeing him draw double-teams (as a primary handler), the way he dribbles. The ball doesn't stay glued to his hands. Before anyone imagined rookie Jimmy Butler could do more than defend, I noticed that he rarely turned the ball over, besides for when he drove into complete traps/walls (by that point he was facing double and triple-team coverage). That's very important.
Pat's TO rate is kinda high for his low usage. 14.2% TO on 15.5% USG. It's concerning because like you said, he's not really being aggressive either.
Rookie Jimmy had 11.9% TO on 14.9% USG in his very limited rookie year, before bringing it way down in his 2nd year (9.2% TO & 14.2% USG). Rookie Kawhi had 9% TO on 14.5% USG (he's currently at 8% TO on 30% USG, which is insane).
I've always targeted handles as the tell-tale sign of a star. Patrick is gonna be a little more complicated to analyze, because he's got a wide range of skills, and does have good handles, albeit loose. IMO his development is going to have to include foot-work and post-ups (and obviously shooting %, which I'm confident about). I don't think he'll take advantage of wings by facing-up, unless he just shoots over them while squaring up, ala Melo/Jordan/Kawhi. He does have that intimidating palm-fake.
I'm not seeing him as a "give me the ball and get out my way" type of player. To go back to your premise, I agree... I'm a bit worried- hoping our hype #4 pick isn't a taller Lu Dort.