Red Larrivee wrote:The Bulls do need a long-term starting center, but I don't think you need to reach on it just to say you did it. Teams are finding these players with much less opportunity cost these days. It's very possible the Bulls can find that guy through trade, FA or a later draft pick.
is an end-of-lottery draft pick really that meaningful an investment, in the grand scheme of things? i'm pretty sure a long-term starting center would be an above-average outcome for the #12 pick.
likewise, while you can get solid/passable center play from guys who are relatively easy to acquire, the vast majority of "above average starting bigs" are players who were drafted in the top half of the first round and/or would cost a ton of money/assets to acquire after their rookie contract.
just a quick list i pulled together in an effort to identify the 17 best starting big men right now: nikola jokic (second round pick, now supermax player / never someone you're going to acquire in free agency or via trade), wemby (#1 overall pick), evan mobley (#3 overall pick), anthony davis (#1 overall pick), karl anthony towns (#1 overall pick), jaren jackson jr. (#4 overall pick), bam adebayo (#14 overall pick), ivica zubac (second round pick, probably relatively attainable for most of his career), domantas sabonis (#11 overall pick), joel embiid (#3 overall pick), chet holmgren (#2 overall pick), aperen sengun (#16 overall pick), jarrett allen (#22 overall pick), kristaps porzingis (#4 overall pick), rudy gobert (#27 overall pick, max player who cost a tremendous amount to acquire in trade), isaiah hartenstein (second rounder, eminently attainable until this past offseason), myles turner (#11 overall pick)
there's a lot of big man talent in the league right now, and the league seems to be pretty good at identifying the best of the best (or at least, identifying guys who
could be the best of the best and using a relatively high draft pick on them — i imagine the hit rate for lottery big men might not be particularly pretty). if we think maluach has the potential to be that caliber of player, we shouldn't hesitate to take him at 12 just because we imagine we might be able to get by at C with a cheaper option.