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Billy D or new coach

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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#81 » by jnrjr79 » Sun May 4, 2025 1:42 pm

Jcool0 wrote:
jnrjr79 wrote:
Jcool0 wrote:
Why are you ignoring the fact 12 of the Bulls 18 wins since February were against teams tanking or missing there best player or a clearly messed up Kings (Bulls west) team? Is that good coaching that they beat up on bad teams and were able to exceed there win projection? Is it good coaching Bulls were the 6-7th in the draft lottery a month ago? Is it good coaching Giddey and White ppg jumped 10 since the Lavine trade? Is it good coaching Matas would have 10+ ppg in the 1st half only to get benched for long stretches in the 2nd? Is it good coaching vets could make a million mistakes and still get 30 mpg? Is it good coaching to lose to Cleveland, OKC and Miami by a combined 69 points in the last week of season? Is it good coaching to beat Toronto, Portland, Charlotte, Washington and Philadelphia to end the year? Is it good coaching in 5 seasons with Chicago he has made the playoffs once going 1-4 & lost the last 3 seasons in the Play In?


Because it’s totally irrelevant. Every team will play bad, injured, and/or tanking teams over the course of the season, and this is built into the win/loss projections.


Chicago's SOS was #28 since February. W/L projections are calculated before the season. They don't factor in anything but what happens the year before and off season.


Again, “since February” is not relevant to the season-long performance.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#82 » by Red Larrivee » Sun May 4, 2025 1:59 pm

Jcool0 wrote:Bulls beat mostly bad teams during the resurgence, it doesnt matter if it's 1.2%, 2.7%, 657% better than the NFL, NBA or NHL bad is bad. If you want to think Billy is a good coach because he can coach Bulls teams from a top 10 lottery team to the Play In each year. Have at it. I can also give you NBA players are way more import then coaching. So Billy isn't the Bulls biggest issue. But he probably should of been fired based on what he has done here.


After trading LaVine, the Bulls played 32 games. 20 of those games were against teams that made the playoffs. They went 8-12 in those games.

Given that the Bulls just traded their best player, had no sort of depth, had injuries to rotation players (Ayo, Ball, Jones) and were playing a very young team, that's actually pretty decent.

You keep saying that their wins against good teams are tainted, because they weren't at full strength. But, they were underdogs in all of those wins.

+4 vs. Miami
+8 @ Orlando
+5 @ Miami
+4 vs. Indiana
+10.5 @ Lakers
+2.5 @ Denver
+4 vs. Lakers
+2 vs. Miami

At some point you just have to acknowledge that what the Bulls did was not expected or obvious in any sort of way.

8 wins against playoff teams and 10 wins against bad/tanking teams after the LaVine trade. That's not some extraordinary occurrence. It's normal for today's NBA.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#83 » by Jcool0 » Sun May 4, 2025 4:46 pm

Red Larrivee wrote:
Jcool0 wrote:Bulls beat mostly bad teams during the resurgence, it doesnt matter if it's 1.2%, 2.7%, 657% better than the NFL, NBA or NHL bad is bad. If you want to think Billy is a good coach because he can coach Bulls teams from a top 10 lottery team to the Play In each year. Have at it. I can also give you NBA players are way more import then coaching. So Billy isn't the Bulls biggest issue. But he probably should of been fired based on what he has done here.


After trading LaVine, the Bulls played 32 games. 20 of those games were against teams that made the playoffs. They went 8-12 in those games.

Given that the Bulls just traded their best player, had no sort of depth, had injuries to rotation players (Ayo, Ball, Jones) and were playing a very young team, that's actually pretty decent.

You keep saying that their wins against good teams are tainted, because they weren't at full strength. But, they were underdogs in all of those wins.

+4 vs. Miami
+8 @ Orlando
+5 @ Miami
+4 vs. Indiana
+10.5 @ Lakers
+2.5 @ Denver
+4 vs. Lakers
+2 vs. Miami

At some point you just have to acknowledge that what the Bulls did was not expected or obvious in any sort of way.

8 wins against playoff teams and 10 wins against bad/tanking teams after the LaVine trade. That's not some extraordinary occurrence. It's normal for today's NBA.


2 wins were against Indiana without Haliburton (lost a week earlier by 15) and Denver without Joker. 3x vs Maimi who beat Chicago by 19 in the play-in. Best wins probably are against LA but seems that was a very flawed team & Orlando with Wagner and Banchero shooting under 36%.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#84 » by Red Larrivee » Sun May 4, 2025 4:52 pm

Jcool0 wrote:2 wins were against Indiana without Haliburton and Denver without Joker. 3x vs Maimi who beat Chicago by 19 in the play-in. Best wins probably are against LA but seems that was a very flawed team & Orlando with Wagner and Banchero shooting under 36%.


None of the Bulls wins against good teams count unless every player on the opposition plays and they play at their absolute best physically and statistically.

In other news, 97% of wins in the NBA no longer count.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#85 » by Jcool0 » Sun May 4, 2025 5:00 pm

Red Larrivee wrote:
Jcool0 wrote:2 wins were against Indiana without Haliburton and Denver without Joker. 3x vs Maimi who beat Chicago by 19 in the play-in. Best wins probably are against LA but seems that was a very flawed team & Orlando with Wagner and Banchero shooting under 36%.


None of the Bulls wins against good teams count unless every player on the opposition plays and they play at their absolute best physically and statistically.

In other news, 97% of wins in the NBA no longer count.


Hey if you want to think beating a Denver team with zero All Stars, was 3-6 in 2025 without Jokic & scoring dropping from 120 per game to 109 a quality win, go for it. Doesn't change that the Bulls didn't make the playoffs for the 3rd straight year.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#86 » by jnrjr79 » Sun May 4, 2025 5:07 pm

Jcool0 wrote:
Red Larrivee wrote:
Jcool0 wrote:2 wins were against Indiana without Haliburton and Denver without Joker. 3x vs Maimi who beat Chicago by 19 in the play-in. Best wins probably are against LA but seems that was a very flawed team & Orlando with Wagner and Banchero shooting under 36%.


None of the Bulls wins against good teams count unless every player on the opposition plays and they play at their absolute best physically and statistically.

In other news, 97% of wins in the NBA no longer count.


Hey if you want to think beating a Denver team with zero All Stars, was 3-6 in 2025 without Jokic & scoring dropping from 120 per game to 109 a quality win, go for it. Doesn't change that the Bulls didn't make the playoffs for the 3rd straight year.


Everyone understands the Bulls are very mid. It’s a meaningless point, though, unless you identify the cause. The roster is the cause. Billy has generally outperformed the roster quality.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#87 » by Jcool0 » Sun May 4, 2025 5:10 pm

jnrjr79 wrote:
Jcool0 wrote:
Red Larrivee wrote:
None of the Bulls wins against good teams count unless every player on the opposition plays and they play at their absolute best physically and statistically.

In other news, 97% of wins in the NBA no longer count.


Hey if you want to think beating a Denver team with zero All Stars, was 3-6 in 2025 without Jokic & scoring dropping from 120 per game to 109 a quality win, go for it. Doesn't change that the Bulls didn't make the playoffs for the 3rd straight year.


Everyone understands the Bulls are very mid. It’s a meaningless point, though, unless you identify the cause. The roster is the cause. Billy has generally outperformed the roster quality.


Why because Vegas told you so?
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#88 » by jnrjr79 » Sun May 4, 2025 6:52 pm

Jcool0 wrote:
jnrjr79 wrote:
Jcool0 wrote:
Hey if you want to think beating a Denver team with zero All Stars, was 3-6 in 2025 without Jokic & scoring dropping from 120 per game to 109 a quality win, go for it. Doesn't change that the Bulls didn't make the playoffs for the 3rd straight year.


Everyone understands the Bulls are very mid. It’s a meaningless point, though, unless you identify the cause. The roster is the cause. Billy has generally outperformed the roster quality.


Why because Vegas told you so?


I mean, yes, obviously. Vegas win predictions are a pretty good barometer for how good your team is expected to be. The fact that Billy has significantly over-performed them suggests he’s squeezed a lot out of mediocre rosters. I’m not sure what’s so hard to grasp about that.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#89 » by Red Larrivee » Sun May 4, 2025 8:13 pm

Jcool0 wrote:
Red Larrivee wrote:
Jcool0 wrote:2 wins were against Indiana without Haliburton and Denver without Joker. 3x vs Maimi who beat Chicago by 19 in the play-in. Best wins probably are against LA but seems that was a very flawed team & Orlando with Wagner and Banchero shooting under 36%.


None of the Bulls wins against good teams count unless every player on the opposition plays and they play at their absolute best physically and statistically.

In other news, 97% of wins in the NBA no longer count.


Hey if you want to think beating a Denver team with zero All Stars, was 3-6 in 2025 without Jokic & scoring dropping from 120 per game to 109 a quality win, go for it. Doesn't change that the Bulls didn't make the playoffs for the 3rd straight year.


People who have ridiculous sums of money on the line, with unlimited statistical insight and unique insider knowledge decided that the Bulls were unlikely to win each of those games. I'm not sure what other impartial piece of evidence you can point to that's more informed.

Denver could absolutely beat the Bulls without Jokic, especially at home where they're 38-13 against the Bulls all-time.

The Bulls do not have the talent to be expected to make the playoffs. If they made the playoffs anyway, especially outright, Donovan would've received COY votes.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#90 » by WindyCityBorn » Sun May 4, 2025 8:21 pm

Keep Billy. No point in changing coaches unless we have a contender and it’s clear he can’t strategize to get us over the hump. He did a great job with the young players this past season.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#91 » by Infinity2152 » Sun May 4, 2025 8:31 pm

Bro is talking about wins against bad teams and teams without their top scorer right after we actually traded away our top scorer, unavailable for the rest of the season. Our starting SG minutes were replaced by bench players for the entire second half of the season. Our starting center Vuc missed some of those games. Starter/sixth man Ball missed a lot of those games. Starter/sixth man Pat Will missed a lot of games. Not like we were fully healthy going against teams missing players. Every 40-50 win teams has a ton of wins at the end of the season against bad, tanking or injured teams too, lol.

After the Lavine trade, we were still projected to lose most of our games. People were saying Giddey's not even a NBA starter at the time, and he's our best player. Even now, probably the only guy on the team that's a guaranteed starter level player next year (have hopes for Matas and Coby).
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#92 » by Stratmaster » Mon May 5, 2025 1:13 pm

dougthonus wrote:
Stratmaster wrote:You speak as if Donovan only started coaching the Bulls after the trade deadline last season. I've listed all of my reasons about 50 times in here and you and I have had this discussion more than once. I have also asked anyone to name one thing Donovan has accomplished in his tenure with the Bulls or one thing he has been shown to excel at as a coach and the only answer I ever get is "the players seem to like him". Not his out of bounds plays. Not clock management. Certainly not his player pairings and rotations. Not his game planning (where he almost always gets out-classed). Not his in game adjustments. Certainly not his player development; I mean the ongoing hype of Coby is the only thing anyone can try to use to make that hat fit.


The team has outperformed modeled expectations in 4 of 5 years.
The team has consistently played hard and not dropped the rope (maybe the #1 thing your coach can do)
He's well liked by players and gets them to buy into their roles
Despite having some of the worst defensive personnel in the NBA, he's generally put out a solid defense
He completely refit our offense this year so isn't stuck in just one system

Seems like a good player development coach to me generally speaking, certainly not a below average one by any stretch. I don't think he's at any particular deficit in preparation or adjustments either, he has to work with what he has on the roster (which has not been a lot).

Most of those complaints you have aren't grounded in any particular fact except that they are words people say without any real basis of comparison and are usually based on the results of an individual event while ignoring that in the grand scheme of things his results are well above expectations during his tenure so people are only grading the negative events.

But again, as I said, fans are terrible at judging coaches. Of all sports, all teams, and all fanbases, the amount of times the fans think their head coach is "average" or "decent" is almost none. If the team is not on an upwards trend they more or less hate the coach.

And sure, we've had this discussion many times. You keep saying he sucks, and I will keep pointing out I disagree with that assessment and why. If you don't want to discuss it, then don't bring it up in a public discussion forum about the topic.


Modeled expectations? I already addressed that. Performing poorly for 5 years straight but "beating modeled expectations" of Vegas by an average of 3 games per season is what you keep wanting to hang your and Billy's hat on.

you say my opinions are just "things people say" and not facts. And then you give me "the team has consistently played hard". But is that really true? Was it true of any of the vets? Craig? Lavine? Vuc? How about Patrick F'ing Williams? How about Matas? Billy didn't think he played hartd enough. Is he playing hard?Other than Coby White flinging himself all over the place, which he would have done with any coach, give me an example of someone "playing hard". Harder than expected. That "doesn't sound grounded in any particular fact" except that it is "words people say about a particular event while ignoring the grand scheme. The grand scheme being 5 seasons of zero progress.

You are once again simply back to "the players like him and they play hard". Like borderline players in their first few seasons, fighting for roster and starting spots, don't always play hard.

Your ONLY other point was that he "retrofitted the offense". After 3 seasons of saying he was going to do it the Bulls finally played with some pace. What was this retrofit though? Basically don't hold the ball, shoot as fast as you can and try a bunch of 3's. Genius! And I don't care how well they did it that approach will never win a playoff series unless you have Curry and Thompson doing the shooting.

Then you give your opinion that he is a "good player development coach". We have had this discussion before and the only player I can recall you or anyone else bringing up who has "developed" is Coby White. And that simply isn't true or demonstrable by any "facts". Coby is the same player he always was. The only change is volume. Who has blossomed under Donovan? And your other fact is that "you don't see a particular deficit...blah blah".

Referring to what you think "people" ignore has nothing to do with my post. I don't ignore anything. I would venture that until February of this season I watched a higher percentage of games than you did, and I sure as hell have watched a lot more games than you over the years. I don't ignore the positives. There just haven't been many with Billy.

You say "fans" are bad judges of coaches. Yes, some fans, like you, definitely are. Other fans aren't.

As far as "If you don't want to discuss it, then don't bring it up in a public discussion forum about the topic...." sure make an asinine **** statement like that. It's what "people" and "fans" all do when they don't have a basis for their argument. I was simply saying that specifically YOU AND I have had this discussion many times before so it likely is useless with you as always because you seem to want to laud mediocrity and poor performance in a coach because he talks a good game and you like him; while tearing apart above average performances by above average players (see Vucevic).
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#93 » by Stratmaster » Mon May 5, 2025 1:22 pm

dougthonus wrote:
Stratmaster wrote:See. "The players like him"

Respectfully, judging a coach with a 5 year tenure as competent by comparing him to Vegas odds at the start of an NBA season may be the most ridiculous thing I have seen yet. So if a team was predicted to win 10 games every season and they win 13 instead that makes the coach great? Seriously? The coach has no responsibility for making the team actually improve year over year? Man, I wish you had been my boss. You make AKME and Reinsdorf look like task masters.


I missed the point where BD won 13 games when predicted to win 10. He won an average of 5 games over Vegas predictions per year with absolute trash rosters that aren't fit for the modern NBA. He consistently had his players buying in and playing hard even when times were down and convinced them to sacrifice for the team in situations where players would traditionally start trying to get theirs.

There's also the fact that he's a HOF coach, but sure, you can think he's stupid. What do the vast majority of the players whom have played for him or the basketball HOF know? You want to say it's time for a change, go ahead, but when you say he's awful and clueless, it's really an outlier opinion not shared by any experts and not backed up by any factual evidence, but one shared primarily by fans whom are frustrated with the team and think a head coach can make a way bigger difference than they really can.


He is in the HOF for what he did in college. You know that. You also know that this sometimes, or maybe even most times, does not translate into the NBA.

The media loves him because he sucks up to them and talks a great game, and because he doesn't get mad when they ask tough questions. He never really answers them, but he doesn't get mad. He is a master at assessing what just happened in a basketball game when it is over. He just doesn't do a damned thing to fix the issues before the next game, month or season; or adjust to anything during the game. Just his stubborn adherence to what he believed at the start of the season. Still no results. Zero. He has been a failure. There has been no improvement in the team during his tenure and they have won 1 playoff game in 5 seasons. Sure. Great coach.

Who sacrificed for the team? This one I got to hear.

"but the players like him and play hard for him"
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#94 » by dougthonus » Mon May 5, 2025 1:32 pm

Stratmaster wrote:Modeled expectations? I already addressed that. Performing poorly for 5 years straight but "beating modeled expectations" of Vegas by an average of 3 games per season is what you keep wanting to hang your and Billy's hat on.


He hasn't performed poorly. The team has low quality players, and has outperformed their talent level. The coach can't turn Coby White in to Steph Curry.

you say my opinions are just "things people say" and not facts. And then you give me "the team has consistently played hard". But is that really true? Was it true of any of the vets? Craig? Lavine? Vuc? How about Patrick F'ing Williams? How about Matas? Billy didn't think he played hartd enough. Is he playing hard?Other than Coby White flinging himself all over the place, which he would have done with any coach, give me an example of someone "playing hard". Harder than expected. That "doesn't sound grounded in any particular fact" except that it is "words people say about a particular event while ignoring the grand scheme. The grand scheme being 5 seasons of zero progress.


Fair enough, saying the team played hard is just as subjective, I think it is an easier subjective thing to quantify than "making adjustments" which I believe tend to be based on looking at specific events you are frustrated by and thinking they could have gone better rather than really studying the amount of adjustments that work or do not work. It is also backed up on the objective results that we have exceeded expectations and we have bounced back from really poor starts consistently whereas "poor at adjustments" does not seem to be backed up in a similar way.

The Bulls are +4 wins in clutch games over BD's tenure which is better than their overall record and better than expectations (though perhaps not by more than expected variation) which would imply he's average to above average at adjustments / closing out games and not deficient.

I haven't seen the objective reasons why you hold your opinions or objective reasons why you think mine is wrong.

As far as "If you don't want to discuss it, then don't bring it up in a public discussion forum about the topic...." sure make an asinine **** statement like that. It's what "people" and "fans" all do when they don't have a basis for their argument. I was simply saying that specifically YOU AND I have had this discussion many times before so it likely is useless with you as always because you seem to want to laud mediocrity and poor performance in a coach because he talks a good game and you like him; while tearing apart above average performances by above average players (see Vucevic).


You think a hall of fame coach that is consistently praised by experts and the people he coaches is a clueless idiot, and back it up by saying that the results of a team with a roster expected to compete for the worst record in the league is only average. This would seem to me that you fundamentally do not understand how things work.

Many people are frustrated with the result and thus just want to burn everything down. I don't care if we do or not. I'd have actually preferred we were coached by Jim Boylen-quality coach the last couple years and everyone quit and we got better draft assets and realized what an unsustainable path we were on. When we get rid of Donovan, it will be like getting rid of Thibs, we'll almost certainly replace them with someone far worse, and given we're on the road to no where and need to rebuild, that isn't some huge concern to me right now. Donovan is super unlikely to be here when we next have a good team.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#95 » by jnrjr79 » Mon May 5, 2025 2:05 pm

Stratmaster wrote:
dougthonus wrote:
Stratmaster wrote:You speak as if Donovan only started coaching the Bulls after the trade deadline last season. I've listed all of my reasons about 50 times in here and you and I have had this discussion more than once. I have also asked anyone to name one thing Donovan has accomplished in his tenure with the Bulls or one thing he has been shown to excel at as a coach and the only answer I ever get is "the players seem to like him". Not his out of bounds plays. Not clock management. Certainly not his player pairings and rotations. Not his game planning (where he almost always gets out-classed). Not his in game adjustments. Certainly not his player development; I mean the ongoing hype of Coby is the only thing anyone can try to use to make that hat fit.


The team has outperformed modeled expectations in 4 of 5 years.
The team has consistently played hard and not dropped the rope (maybe the #1 thing your coach can do)
He's well liked by players and gets them to buy into their roles
Despite having some of the worst defensive personnel in the NBA, he's generally put out a solid defense
He completely refit our offense this year so isn't stuck in just one system

Seems like a good player development coach to me generally speaking, certainly not a below average one by any stretch. I don't think he's at any particular deficit in preparation or adjustments either, he has to work with what he has on the roster (which has not been a lot).

Most of those complaints you have aren't grounded in any particular fact except that they are words people say without any real basis of comparison and are usually based on the results of an individual event while ignoring that in the grand scheme of things his results are well above expectations during his tenure so people are only grading the negative events.

But again, as I said, fans are terrible at judging coaches. Of all sports, all teams, and all fanbases, the amount of times the fans think their head coach is "average" or "decent" is almost none. If the team is not on an upwards trend they more or less hate the coach.

And sure, we've had this discussion many times. You keep saying he sucks, and I will keep pointing out I disagree with that assessment and why. If you don't want to discuss it, then don't bring it up in a public discussion forum about the topic.


Modeled expectations? I already addressed that. Performing poorly for 5 years straight but "beating modeled expectations" of Vegas by an average of 3 games per season is what you keep wanting to hang your and Billy's hat on.

you say my opinions are just "things people say" and not facts. And then you give me "the team has consistently played hard". But is that really true? Was it true of any of the vets? Craig? Lavine? Vuc? How about Patrick F'ing Williams? How about Matas? Billy didn't think he played hartd enough. Is he playing hard?Other than Coby White flinging himself all over the place, which he would have done with any coach, give me an example of someone "playing hard". Harder than expected. That "doesn't sound grounded in any particular fact" except that it is "words people say about a particular event while ignoring the grand scheme. The grand scheme being 5 seasons of zero progress.


This all seems way off-base to me.

Craig always plays hard when he's actually playing. Lavine fought through a bunch of injuries and obviously played hard this season until he was traded. I don't think Vooch lacks effort - he's just slow-footed. Williams has no motor and that's not a Billy issue. And I have no idea what you're talking about with Donovan not thinking Matas played "hard" enough - that seems totally made up. If you watched more than about 5 minutes of Matas this season, he played plenty hard. He got benched when he made dumb rookie mistakes, not for lack of effort.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#96 » by Stratmaster » Mon May 5, 2025 2:19 pm

jnrjr79 wrote:
Stratmaster wrote:
dougthonus wrote:
The team has outperformed modeled expectations in 4 of 5 years.
The team has consistently played hard and not dropped the rope (maybe the #1 thing your coach can do)
He's well liked by players and gets them to buy into their roles
Despite having some of the worst defensive personnel in the NBA, he's generally put out a solid defense
He completely refit our offense this year so isn't stuck in just one system

Seems like a good player development coach to me generally speaking, certainly not a below average one by any stretch. I don't think he's at any particular deficit in preparation or adjustments either, he has to work with what he has on the roster (which has not been a lot).

Most of those complaints you have aren't grounded in any particular fact except that they are words people say without any real basis of comparison and are usually based on the results of an individual event while ignoring that in the grand scheme of things his results are well above expectations during his tenure so people are only grading the negative events.

But again, as I said, fans are terrible at judging coaches. Of all sports, all teams, and all fanbases, the amount of times the fans think their head coach is "average" or "decent" is almost none. If the team is not on an upwards trend they more or less hate the coach.

And sure, we've had this discussion many times. You keep saying he sucks, and I will keep pointing out I disagree with that assessment and why. If you don't want to discuss it, then don't bring it up in a public discussion forum about the topic.


Modeled expectations? I already addressed that. Performing poorly for 5 years straight but "beating modeled expectations" of Vegas by an average of 3 games per season is what you keep wanting to hang your and Billy's hat on.

you say my opinions are just "things people say" and not facts. And then you give me "the team has consistently played hard". But is that really true? Was it true of any of the vets? Craig? Lavine? Vuc? How about Patrick F'ing Williams? How about Matas? Billy didn't think he played hartd enough. Is he playing hard?Other than Coby White flinging himself all over the place, which he would have done with any coach, give me an example of someone "playing hard". Harder than expected. That "doesn't sound grounded in any particular fact" except that it is "words people say about a particular event while ignoring the grand scheme. The grand scheme being 5 seasons of zero progress.


This all seems way off-base to me.

Craig always plays hard when he's actually playing. Lavine fought through a bunch of injuries and obviously played hard this season until he was traded. I don't think Vooch lacks effort - he's just slow-footed. Williams has no motor and that's not a Billy issue. And I have no idea what you're talking about with Donovan not thinking Matas played "hard" enough - that seems totally made up. If you watched more than about 5 minutes of Matas this season, he played plenty hard. He got benched when he made dumb rookie mistakes, not for lack of effort.


Billy said that about Matas, not me. He also said he didn't train seriously enough.

Williams isn't a Billy issue? Who started him every game he was available until finally admitting defeat half way through this season? I don't think any of the other guys you mentioned lacked effort. It's the idea that their standard effort is somehow due to Billy that I disagree with.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#97 » by Stratmaster » Mon May 5, 2025 2:21 pm

dougthonus wrote:
Stratmaster wrote:Modeled expectations? I already addressed that. Performing poorly for 5 years straight but "beating modeled expectations" of Vegas by an average of 3 games per season is what you keep wanting to hang your and Billy's hat on.


He hasn't performed poorly. The team has low quality players, and has outperformed their talent level. The coach can't turn Coby White in to Steph Curry.

you say my opinions are just "things people say" and not facts. And then you give me "the team has consistently played hard". But is that really true? Was it true of any of the vets? Craig? Lavine? Vuc? How about Patrick F'ing Williams? How about Matas? Billy didn't think he played hartd enough. Is he playing hard?Other than Coby White flinging himself all over the place, which he would have done with any coach, give me an example of someone "playing hard". Harder than expected. That "doesn't sound grounded in any particular fact" except that it is "words people say about a particular event while ignoring the grand scheme. The grand scheme being 5 seasons of zero progress.


Fair enough, saying the team played hard is just as subjective, I think it is an easier subjective thing to quantify than "making adjustments" which I believe tend to be based on looking at specific events you are frustrated by and thinking they could have gone better rather than really studying the amount of adjustments that work or do not work. It is also backed up on the objective results that we have exceeded expectations and we have bounced back from really poor starts consistently whereas "poor at adjustments" does not seem to be backed up in a similar way.

The Bulls are +4 wins in clutch games over BD's tenure which is better than their overall record and better than expectations (though perhaps not by more than expected variation) which would imply he's average to above average at adjustments / closing out games and not deficient.

I haven't seen the objective reasons why you hold your opinions or objective reasons why you think mine is wrong.

As far as "If you don't want to discuss it, then don't bring it up in a public discussion forum about the topic...." sure make an asinine **** statement like that. It's what "people" and "fans" all do when they don't have a basis for their argument. I was simply saying that specifically YOU AND I have had this discussion many times before so it likely is useless with you as always because you seem to want to laud mediocrity and poor performance in a coach because he talks a good game and you like him; while tearing apart above average performances by above average players (see Vucevic).


You think a hall of fame coach that is consistently praised by experts and the people he coaches is a clueless idiot, and back it up by saying that the results of a team with a roster expected to compete for the worst record in the league is only average. This would seem to me that you fundamentally do not understand how things work.

Many people are frustrated with the result and thus just want to burn everything down. I don't care if we do or not. I'd have actually preferred we were coached by Jim Boylen-quality coach the last couple years and everyone quit and we got better draft assets and realized what an unsustainable path we were on. When we get rid of Donovan, it will be like getting rid of Thibs, we'll almost certainly replace them with someone far worse, and given we're on the road to no where and need to rebuild, that isn't some huge concern to me right now. Donovan is super unlikely to be here when we next have a good team.


If their was a college coaches HOF and a pro HOF... you know, like there is with players, Billy would not be in the NBA HOF. Do you really want to debate based on that?
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#98 » by Stratmaster » Mon May 5, 2025 2:24 pm

dougthonus wrote:
Stratmaster wrote:Modeled expectations? I already addressed that. Performing poorly for 5 years straight but "beating modeled expectations" of Vegas by an average of 3 games per season is what you keep wanting to hang your and Billy's hat on.


He hasn't performed poorly. The team has low quality players, and has outperformed their talent level. The coach can't turn Coby White in to Steph Curry.

you say my opinions are just "things people say" and not facts. And then you give me "the team has consistently played hard". But is that really true? Was it true of any of the vets? Craig? Lavine? Vuc? How about Patrick F'ing Williams? How about Matas? Billy didn't think he played hartd enough. Is he playing hard?Other than Coby White flinging himself all over the place, which he would have done with any coach, give me an example of someone "playing hard". Harder than expected. That "doesn't sound grounded in any particular fact" except that it is "words people say about a particular event while ignoring the grand scheme. The grand scheme being 5 seasons of zero progress.


Fair enough, saying the team played hard is just as subjective, I think it is an easier subjective thing to quantify than "making adjustments" which I believe tend to be based on looking at specific events you are frustrated by and thinking they could have gone better rather than really studying the amount of adjustments that work or do not work. It is also backed up on the objective results that we have exceeded expectations and we have bounced back from really poor starts consistently whereas "poor at adjustments" does not seem to be backed up in a similar way.

The Bulls are +4 wins in clutch games over BD's tenure which is better than their overall record and better than expectations (though perhaps not by more than expected variation) which would imply he's average to above average at adjustments / closing out games and not deficient.

I haven't seen the objective reasons why you hold your opinions or objective reasons why you think mine is wrong.

As far as "If you don't want to discuss it, then don't bring it up in a public discussion forum about the topic...." sure make an asinine **** statement like that. It's what "people" and "fans" all do when they don't have a basis for their argument. I was simply saying that specifically YOU AND I have had this discussion many times before so it likely is useless with you as always because you seem to want to laud mediocrity and poor performance in a coach because he talks a good game and you like him; while tearing apart above average performances by above average players (see Vucevic).


You think a hall of fame coach that is consistently praised by experts and the people he coaches is a clueless idiot, and back it up by saying that the results of a team with a roster expected to compete for the worst record in the league is only average. This would seem to me that you fundamentally do not understand how things work.

Many people are frustrated with the result and thus just want to burn everything down. I don't care if we do or not. I'd have actually preferred we were coached by Jim Boylen-quality coach the last couple years and everyone quit and we got better draft assets and realized what an unsustainable path we were on. When we get rid of Donovan, it will be like getting rid of Thibs, we'll almost certainly replace them with someone far worse, and given we're on the road to no where and need to rebuild, that isn't some huge concern to me right now. Donovan is super unlikely to be here when we next have a good team.


If players were out into the HOF based primarily on their college success... here is a list that should be in the HOF:

Shawn Kemp, Shawn Marion, Rasheed Wallace, Chauncey Billups, Amar'e Stoudemire, Stephon Marbury, Richard Hamilton, Tim Hardaway, and Anfernee Hardaway.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#99 » by dougthonus » Mon May 5, 2025 2:30 pm

Stratmaster wrote:If their was a college coaches HOF and a pro HOF... you know, like there is with players, Billy would not be in the NBA HOF. Do you really want to debate based on that?


I'm fine having a debate about the fact that Billy Donovan is in the HOF due to achievements in college with the additional evidence that all the pro players he coaches also respect him and think he's a good coach is not a clueless idiot, and am certainly fine agreeing that he is not an NBA HOF candidate (if they had separate HOFs). I think there is a pretty wide gap between clueless idiot (Jim Boylen level coach) and HOF coach, and Donovan falls inside that gap as a quality but not elite coach.

When Donovan eventually leaves the Bulls, he will be a head coach again somewhere (college or NBA) at big money. That just isn't something that will be true of clueless idiots.
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Re: Billy D or new coach 

Post#100 » by jnrjr79 » Mon May 5, 2025 3:14 pm

Stratmaster wrote:
jnrjr79 wrote:
Stratmaster wrote:
Modeled expectations? I already addressed that. Performing poorly for 5 years straight but "beating modeled expectations" of Vegas by an average of 3 games per season is what you keep wanting to hang your and Billy's hat on.

you say my opinions are just "things people say" and not facts. And then you give me "the team has consistently played hard". But is that really true? Was it true of any of the vets? Craig? Lavine? Vuc? How about Patrick F'ing Williams? How about Matas? Billy didn't think he played hartd enough. Is he playing hard?Other than Coby White flinging himself all over the place, which he would have done with any coach, give me an example of someone "playing hard". Harder than expected. That "doesn't sound grounded in any particular fact" except that it is "words people say about a particular event while ignoring the grand scheme. The grand scheme being 5 seasons of zero progress.


This all seems way off-base to me.

Craig always plays hard when he's actually playing. Lavine fought through a bunch of injuries and obviously played hard this season until he was traded. I don't think Vooch lacks effort - he's just slow-footed. Williams has no motor and that's not a Billy issue. And I have no idea what you're talking about with Donovan not thinking Matas played "hard" enough - that seems totally made up. If you watched more than about 5 minutes of Matas this season, he played plenty hard. He got benched when he made dumb rookie mistakes, not for lack of effort.


Billy said that about Matas, not me. He also said he didn't train seriously enough.

Williams isn't a Billy issue? Who started him every game he was available until finally admitting defeat half way through this season? I don't think any of the other guys you mentioned lacked effort. It's the idea that their standard effort is somehow due to Billy that I disagree with.


I am not aware of any such comments by Billy re: Matas, nor can I find any when Googling for them. You may be right, but I'm not aware of it.

And, yes, I don't think the fact that Patrick Williams has no motor has anything whatsoever to do with Billy Donovan and it is curious that. you apparently do.

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